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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kutasoff Hedzoff, Apocrypha)
  Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline
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Poll
Question: Who should Obama choose as his Running Mate?
#1
Tim Kaine
#2
Julian Castro
#3
Tom Vilsack
#4
Amy Klobucher
#5
Kirsten Gillibrand
#6
Al Franken
#7
Jeff Merkley
#8
John Hickenlooper
#9
Martin Heinrich
#10
WHO SHOULD TRUMP CHOOSE?
#11
Newt Gingrich
#12
Ben Carson
#13
Chris Christie
#14
Mary Fallin
#15
Scott Brown
#16
Marsha Blackburn
#17
Mike Flynn
#18
Jeff Sessions
#19
Jim Webb
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Author Topic: Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline  (Read 37326 times)
Parrotguy
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« Reply #50 on: October 02, 2017, 07:43:57 am »
« edited: October 05, 2017, 03:43:29 pm by Parrotguy »

December 19th, 2015

Obama, Sanders perform well in third Democratic Debate, Clinton under fire by Webb



GOFFSTOWN - In the third Democratic Presidential debate, the same candidates stood on the same podium locations, but one major thing did change- Hillary Clinton's email scandal was back in the forefront. While most Demcoratic contenders, probably not wishing to damage Clinton's chances if she does become the party's nominee, mostly ignored it, Jim Webb came for the kill and viciously attacked her for it, in a way that many voters considered "degrading" according to post-debate polls. These are two of the moments that defined the debate:


Barack Obama: "Look, I can't know right now if Secretary Clinton mishandled national security secrets while using this private server. And yes, using such a server is not something I'd do. But Hillary Clinton is a true patriot and a woman who truly wanted to serve her nation, and did so capably. I have no doubts that this was just a mistake, and that all she did was with a good intention."
Hillary Clinton: "Thanks, Obama [actually said: Thank you, Mr. President]. And I want to say this, Martha... I already apologized for using this private servet. It was a mistake, and I won't do it again. But this so-called scandal is just a distraction that Republicans are trying to use in their witchhunt against me, to distract the American people from real issues that they can't solve!"
Jim Webb: "Excuse me, Secretary Clinton, but this is ridiculous. You can't just call this issue a distraction- the fact that you did something so foolish, so ridiculous, as using a private server for communications as Secretary of State is very much an important issue. It shows that you lack the necessary judgement and cool head to be President. I was Secretary of the Navy and Undersecretary of Defence, and I never even thought of doing something so foolish."
Hillary Clinton: "I did say Republicans are trying to use this issue as a distraction, and here is an example, because Senator Webb is basically a Republican. Remind me, Senator, in whose administration did you serve, and what did the actions of this administration do to help working class Americans?"
Jim Webb: "I served my nation under my President, and I am proud of it, Secretary!"


Martin O'Malley: "ISIL videos, ISIL training videos are telling lone wolves the easiest way to buy a combat assault weapon in America is at a gun show. And it's because of the flip-flopping, political approach of Washington that both of my two colleagues on this stage have represented there for the last forty years."
Bernie Sanders: "Please, do not explain to me, coming from a state where democratic governors and republican governors have supported virtually no gun control, do not tell me that I have not shown courage in standing up to the gun people, in voting to ban assault weapons, voting for instant background checks, voting to end the gun show loop hole and now we're in a position to create a consensus in America on gun safety."

The polls after the debate showed that by appearing above the fray, and using their charisma and humour, President Obama and Senator Sanders won the debate, while Clinton's email issues bogged her down:

Who do you think won the third Democratic debate?
Barack Obama- 35%
Bernie Sanders- 29%
Hillary Clinton- 18%
Andrew Cuomo- 5%
Jim Webb- 5%
Lincoln Chafee- 2%
Martin O'Malley- 1%
Unsure- 5%

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 34%  (+2)
Hillary Clinton- 27%  (-2)
Bernie Sanders- 20%  (+1)
Andrew Cuomo- 6%  (+1)
Jim Webb- 4%  (-1)
Martin O'Malley- 2%  (+-0)
Lincoln Chafee- 2%  (-1)
Undecided- 5%  (+-0)

Democratic Primary (Iowa)-
Barack Obama- 31%  (+1)
Hillary Clinton- 26%  (-2)
Bernie Sanders- 22%  (+1)
Jim Webb- 9%  (-1)
Andrew Cuomo- 4%  (+-0)
Martin O'Malley- 2%  (+-0)
Lincoln Chafee- 0%  (+-0)
Undecided- 6%  (+-0)

Democratic Primary (New Hampshire)-
Bernie Sanders- 28%  (+2)
Barack Obama- 27%  (+1)
Hillary Clinton- 24%  (-2)
Andrew Cuomo- 10%  (+-0)
Lincoln Chafee- 5%  (-1)
Martin O'Malley- 1%  (+-0)
Jim Webb- 0%  (+-0)
Undecided- 5%  (+-0)
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« Reply #51 on: October 02, 2017, 08:31:03 am »
« Edited: October 05, 2017, 03:16:25 pm by Parrotguy »

January 15th, 2016

Al Gore endorses Obama before final pre-Iowa debate



CEDAR RAPIDS - Former Vice President and Democratic Presidential nominee in 2004 Al Gore gave, today, an enthusiastic endorsement of the second reelection campaign of incumbent President Barack Obama. He made an enthusiastic speech before a large rally crowd in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, calling Obama "an outstanding President" and decrying Republicans as "obstructionists who prevent real change for the Amaerican people". Gore also made a subtle barb against the President's major opponent in the primaries, Secretary Clinton, saying that "some people think that they deserve the Presidency on the merits of dynastic politics, while others, like the President, are in this to help the American people." The former Vice President finished his speech by calling Democrats to reelect Obama with a Democratic congress, declaring "a unique opportunity for real change".

This endorsement was considered unsurprising and inevitable- Gore is known to have an uneasy relationship with Clinton ever since butting heads with her during her husband's administration, and his views are considered to the right of Sanders', both in substance and in style. In light of this, Obama was the natural choice for him.

Still a popular figure in the Democratic Party, Gore is expected to campaign with Obama extensively throughout the campaign, especially in states like New Hampshire and Florida, where climate change, for which Gore is a major advocate, is an important issue.

With this endorsement, Barack Obama has officially gained, save for three exceptions, the support of every living Democratic President or Vice President and nominees for these positions- 1988 nominee Michael Dukakis endorsed him early, joining him at a November rally in New Hampshire, while former Vice President Walter Mondale endorsed Obama in a Youtube video four days prior to Gore. One of the three exceptions is, of course, former President Bill Clinton, who endorsed his wife. Jimmy Carter decided to remain neutral too, though sources claim that in private conversations he has shown surprising support for Bernie Sanders, and 2000 Vice Presidential nominee Joe Lieberman has not endorsed anyone but expressed his support for Hillary Clinton.
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« Reply #52 on: October 02, 2017, 08:53:29 am »

This is good hopefully Clinton drops out after Iowa and New Hampshire and it becomes Obama VS Sanders
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« Reply #53 on: October 02, 2017, 03:36:44 pm »

SPECIAL: The 2004 Democratic Primaries Part 1



After nominating former President Bill Clinton as their presidential candidate in the last three cycle, the Democrats in 2004 were ready for a change. Many possible candidates were widely expected to run- from big guns everyone was watching like Senator Hillary Clinton, former Vice President Al Gore and even Bill Clinton himself, to other popular politicians like Tom Daschle, Dick Gephardt, John Kerry, Bob Graham, Joe Lieberman, Bill Bradley and Joe Biden.

Though Howard Dean, a popular, anti-war Vermont Governor who would later gain steam and a big grassroots following, announced an exploratory committee in May 31st of the year 2002, the race is considered to have truly begun in January 1st, 2003, when, in a joint New Year's Eve statement, former President Bill Clinton and Senator Hillary Clinton have both announced that they will not be running for President in 2004. These announcements cleared the field considerably, and caused a lot of jockeying among potential candidates- a day later, both Senators John Edwards (D-NC) and Joe Lieberman (D-CT) announced exploratory committees, and they were followed by Former House Minority Leader Dick Gephardt, Massachussetts Senator (January 4th) Senator John Kerry (January 6th), Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd (January 11th) and Florida Senator Bob Graham (January 12th).

However, everyone was still waiting for one, major hurdle to potentially get itself out of the way- former Vice President Al Gore was giving mixed signs about his intentions, and many of the more establishment-minded Democrats were anxiously waiting for his announcement. Though most assumed that he would decline to run after saying in a December interview that "the Democrats need a fresh face", he changed his opinion and surprised pundits by declaring a run in January 21st.


Al Gore's announcement in Nashville, Tennessee, surprised many and shook the political world

Gore's decision pulled the rag from beneath the potential candidates, deterring many of them from running. Polls were showing him decisively leading the pack, with his post-Vice Presidential environment advocacy adding grassroots popularity to his already existent establishment support. As a result, John Kerry, Joe Lieberman and Chris Dodd announced, in the following two weeks, that they would not be running for President, rescinding their exploratory committees.

However, some candidates were not deterred. Into a field populated only by Activist Al Sharpton and Al Gore himself jumped Rep. Dick Gephardt (D-MO) in January 29th, Senator Fmr. Sen. Carol Mosely Braun (D-IL) in February 18th, Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) a day after her and finally, Senator Bob Graham in February 28th. Though both had been, de-facto, candidates for quite a while, Howard Dean and John Edwards both announced officially months after the others- Dean in June 23rd and Edwards in September 16th. A day later, September 17th, retired General Wesley Clark also announced his candidacy after many attempts to draft him. And thus, the field was complete, and the race was on.


The 2004 Democratic candidates

At first, as the primary season heated up, the biggest challenger to Al Gore, according to opinion polls, was Former Minority Leader Gephardt, who still had strength within the establishment and some support among grassroots. He was followed by Senator Bob Graham, whose popularity and location in a swingstate gave him a strong appeal. This is an example of a poll conducted during the month of September, that shows the state of the race:

2004 Democratic Primary (National)
Al Gore- 42%
Dick Gephardt- 17%
Bob Graham- 13%
Howard Dean- 7%
Wesley Clark- 6%
John Edwards- 4%
Dennis Kucinich- 2%
Carol Mosely Brown- 2%
Al Sharpton- 1%
Undecided- 6%

However, soon enough, both of Gore's major opponents begun to slip. Lackluster debate performances and an inability to excite the base and find themselves a niche to run on harmed both candidates, and their polling numbers swiftly decreased. Bob Graham dropped out of the race in October 6th, and though he stayed in the race, Rep. Gephardt was no longer that much of a viable contender. A new power rose to challenge Gore in their stead: Governor Howard Dean (D-VT).


Howard Dean swiftly gained grassroots popularity, becoming Al Gore's biggest challenger

With powerful, energetic speeches and a strong internet operation, Dean gained a strong, loyal and enthusiastic grassroots following of anti-war progressives. With that, he became Gore's major opponent, and started gaining endorsements from progressive politicians. Wesley Clark also rose in the polls, his experience as General earning him respect and support from some voters.

In January 13th, the non-binding Washington D.C. primary is won by Dean, though Gore didn't contest it. Braun, who placed third after Dean and Sharpton, withdrew from the race following it. With that contest out of the way, Democrats were ready for the early states to start voting. Gore was still strongly leading the polls, but his lead eroded and Howard Dean was breaking into the twenties:

2004 Democratic Primary (National)
Al Gore- 43%
Howard Dean- 21%
Wesley Clark- 14%
John Edwards- 9%
Dick Gephardt- 8%
Dennis Kucinich- 3%
Al Sharpton- 2%
Undecided- 5%

To be continued...
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« Reply #54 on: October 05, 2017, 04:58:16 am »
« Edited: October 05, 2017, 03:16:39 pm by Parrotguy »

January 17th, 2016

Candidates stick to their guns in final pre-Iowa Democratic debate



CHARLESTON - In a fiery debate, the last one before the Iowa Caucuses, the seven Democratic candidates clashed on a host of issues, including guns, healthcare and rural America. Let's look at a few highlights:


Andrew Cuomo: "We need access to affordable healthcare for all Americans, yes, but we also need to make sure the whole thing doesn't collapse on itself. If we try dangerous reforms that cost a lot of money we don't have, there is this danger, and I'd hate to see so many people losing their coverage!"
Bernie Sanders: "Um, I'm sorry, but this just isn't true. A single-payer healthcare system is doable, in fact, it's not only doable, but it's more sustainable than our current system, with its rising premiums and hiking costs. Single payer is a system that works in most western countries, and we can definitely do it!"
Hillary Clinton: "I agree with Senator Sanders that we need a universan healthcare system, like I said before, but I do think that it's better attained with a public option. America is not like any other nation, after all. Still, I believe Governor Cuomo needs to realize that the current system is unsustainable and that we can't have uninsured Americans."


As is usual, Obama, Clinton and Sanders got the most attention and speaking time, and while none of them had any gaffes, none of them actually won, though Obama did manage to use his natural charisma to appear as a victor of sorts. But the other candidates certainly tried to stand out. Iowa is the last chance for some of them, and they needed to make their case. One such contender, Martin O'Malley, is a noteable loser of the debate- he tried to position himself to the left of Clinton and Obama, but Sanders just did it much better, boxing the former Maryland Governor out. He looked out of his game, flustered, and at some point, when a commercial break started, reportedly stormed out after all the other candidates started talking to each other. Lincoln Chafee was mostly a non-factor, Andrew Cuomo worked hard to appear like a pragmatic liberal but was, once again, attacked by the others, and Jim Webb tried hard to appeal to Iowa voters. We'll see how this goes, as we enter the final stretch before the Iowa Caucuses.

Who do you think won the fourth Democratic debate?
Barack Obama- 30%
Hillary Clinton- 28%
Bernie Sanders- 26%
Jim Webb- 6%
Andrew Cuomo- 4%
Martin O'Malley- 1%
Lincoln Chafee- 0%
Unsure- 5%
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« Reply #55 on: October 05, 2017, 12:28:37 pm »

I predict a Bernie upset in Iowa.
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« Reply #56 on: October 05, 2017, 02:36:24 pm »
« Edited: October 05, 2017, 03:16:56 pm by Parrotguy »

January 30th, 2016

Campaigns sweep over Iowa as Caucuses loom ahead


Governor Martin O'Malley speaking to voters in Marshalltown, Iowa

When he first announced, former Governor Martin O'Malley (D-MD) looked like the likeliest candidate, save for Sanders, to break into the Obama-Clinton duopoly. Now, he looks like the weakest candidate in a field that includes Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb. With numbers close to the zero in New Hampshire, O'Malley is banking everything on a better-than-expected win in Iowa. While no one in the O'Malley campaign is expecting a win, they're hoping to exceed expectations and get new life breathed into the former Governor's bid for the White House. And so, with little to no surrogates, O'Malley is running around the Hawkeye State and hoping for the best.
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« Reply #57 on: October 05, 2017, 03:44:41 pm »

February 1st, 2016

Iowa Caucuses starting: Results in the evening



DES MOINES - The day has finally arrived. All around Iowa, voters are gathering to caucus for their preferred candidates, and the candidates are making one last push to convince as many people as possible. Andrew Cuomo and Lincoln Chafee are holding campaign events in New Hampshire today, but the rest are spending their hours in the Hawkeye State.

This is the current polling situation, before Iowans started voting:

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 33%  (-1)
Hillary Clinton- 28%  (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 21%  (+1)
Andrew Cuomo- 6%  (+-0)
Jim Webb- 4%  (+-0)
Martin O'Malley- 1%  (-1)
Lincoln Chafee- 2%  (+-0)
Undecided- 5%  (+-0)

Democratic Primary (Iowa)-
Barack Obama- 32%  (+1)
Hillary Clinton- 26%  (+-0)
Bernie Sanders- 23%  (+1)
Jim Webb- 10%  (+1)
Martin O'Malley- 3%  (+1)
Andrew Cuomo- 3%  (-1)
Lincoln Chafee- 0%  (+-0)
Undecided- 3%  (-3)

Democratic Primary (New Hampshire)-
Bernie Sanders- 29%  (+1)
Barack Obama- 27%  (+-0)
Hillary Clinton- 24%  (+-0)
Andrew Cuomo- 9%  (-1)
Lincoln Chafee- 5%  (+-0)
Martin O'Malley- 1%  (+-0)
Jim Webb- 0%  (+-0)
Undecided- 5%  (+-0)
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« Reply #58 on: October 05, 2017, 11:23:45 pm »

Come on Bernie! I'm rooting for you!
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« Reply #59 on: October 06, 2017, 06:14:42 am »
« Edited: October 06, 2017, 06:33:20 am by Parrotguy »



The light from the TV screen was flickering in the dimly lit campaign HQ. A CNN reporter was standing in a caucus hall, reporting some statistical details about the voting that he already knew for a few hours. "High turnout today in the Democratic caucuses, we're seeing full halls even in rural areas... This could be a good omen for Sanders and Webb..."

The President lowered the volume, turned away from the screen and took another worried stroll back and forth in his office, the sound of his shoes muffled by the soft rug. Michelle was there, sitting on the sofa with Joe beside her as they watched the screen. Deval, who became his campaign's co-chair, was also there, seated on the opposite sofa with John [Kerry] and Tom [Vilsack]. His campaign's senior staff, Campaign Manager Jim Messina and Chief Strategist David Axelrod, were standing together, worriedly staring at the screen. It was five minutes before 7 p.m. CST, and soon, the results would start coming in.

"Come," Michelle said softly, patting on the place beside her. "Sit, Barack, don't be so tense. Whatever happens, you'll still be the frontrunner."

"Besides," Joe added in his usually cheeful tone, "the polls are looking good. Hillary is losing popularity, and Bernie is just too far away to catch up."

"Iowa is still make or break fo us." The President said nervously as he sat down. His leg was fidgeting. "We can basically put the primaries away here, or we can lose momentum and become a disappointment. I don't intend to be the first incumbent President to lose his primary in recent history."

"And you won't." David said confidently. "You have very strong opposition from the Clinton machine and from an insurgent progressive, something Bill or FDR didn't have to plague them. But we will emerge victorious."

"I hope you're right..." Obama replied pensively, his voice trailing off. Wolf Blitzer was announcing something in the TV, but the President didn't really hear, he was too absorbed in the discussion. "Still, this primary can hurt us in the general electio, and even if we're up against Trump, of all people, it still worries me that..."

"Wait," Tom said suddenly, pointing at the screen. "What did he say?"

Joe stared at the screen, his eyes wide. "I think he said that they can call the caucuses. Now. Without delay. At poll closing time."

Barack turned up the volume.



February 1st, 2016



Democratic Iowa Caucuses results, 100% counted:
Barack Obama- 35.9% (19 pledged delegates) ✓
Bernie Sanders- 26.3% (13 pledged delegates)
Hillary Clinton- 25.0% (12 pledged delegates)
Jim Webb- 8.4% (0 pledged delegates)
Martin O'Malley- 2.2% (0 pledged delegates)
Andrew Cuomo- 1.7% (0 pledged delegates)
Lincoln Chafee- 0.3% (0 pledged delegates)
Others- 0.2% (0 pledged delegates)
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« Reply #60 on: October 06, 2017, 04:04:25 pm »
« Edited: October 07, 2017, 10:23:03 am by Parrotguy »

February 2nd, 2016

Barack Obama wins Iowa Caucuses by solid margin, Sanders places second


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DES MOINES - The Iowa Democratic Caucuses yesterday produced not just one big story, but two- the incumbent President's big win, and Senator Sanders' upset of Secretary Clinton to take the second place.

Barack Obama didn't only win the caucuses, but he won big- with a nearly double-digits margin, the President secured a doubtless mandate from the people of Iowa. Exit polls are indicating that he performed well across the board, winning among both men and women and most age groups. The only groups with which he lost are very young voters, 18-20, who voted for Sanders over him by a 2% margin. Pundits are speculating that the President's big win comes from a number of facors- Hillary Clinton's dropping popularity, his own big popularity in the Hawkeye State, and the support of prominent and well-loved Iowa politicians like Tom Vilsack and Tom Harkin. This is very good news for the President, who now gains powerful momentum and is the undisputed frontrunner.


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The other big news coming from Iowa is that Bernie Sanders, the Independent Vermont Senator, exceeded expectations and upset Hillary Clinton to take the second place in Iowa. This is very significant because, combined with a possible win in New Hampshire, it could make Sanders the main challenger to Obama. The self-described Democratic Socialist now gains even more steam, and could become a force to be reckoned with.


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Hillary Clinton, former frontrunner, is the big disappointment tonight. She hoped for a strong second place showing, maybe even a win, but instead got a weak third place, with her chief rival winning big and an insurgent progressive taking the second place. Clinton vows to continue and fight on, but without a win in Iowa, it's hard to see where her campaign can gain steam before Super Tuesday- New Hampshire looks unlikely to give her the same boost as in 2008, South Carolina looks like a lock for the President, and only Nevads appears paltable to her. We'll see where she continues from here.


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Jim Webb, Former Virginia Senator and Navy Secretary under the Reagan Administration, is perhaps the greatest loser of the caucuses. He hoped for a double digit victory, maybe even breaking the 15%, but he fell way short. This is a blow for Blue Dogs, who saw Webb's momentum in Iowa and nationwide as a glimmer of hope. But after his disappointing showing in Iowa, Webb has suspended his campaign for President, snuffing out that hope. Still, he hinted at, perhaps, a future run, or maybe even an independent bid.


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The slow but certain death of the O'Malley campaign didn't surprise anyone. The former Maryland Governor looked promising in the beginning, but he just couldn't find his place in the race. He tried to run as a strong progressive and liberal, but Sanders outdid him in that field. He tried to be the tough one on gun control or the experienced governor, but Barack Obama and Andrew Cuomo did it better. In the end, with polling numbers that give him no hope whatsoever, he had to withdraw.

In other news, the Republican Iowa Caucuses were won by Ted Cruz, with frontrunner Donald Trump placing second and Marco Rubio in a surprising third...
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« Reply #61 on: October 07, 2017, 12:50:04 pm »
« Edited: October 09, 2017, 04:10:23 am by Parrotguy »

February 4th, 2016

Remaining Democrats gather for the last pre-New Hampshire debate



DURHAM - as the Democratic campaigns swoop over New Hampshire in an attemt to make strong showings in the Granite State, their candidates gathered for a contentious debate. While Barack Obama, Bernie Sandes and Hillary Clinton just needed to prevent themselves from doing any major gaffes, Cuomo and Chafee needed big moments tonight if they wanted to break through. It didn't really materialize.


Lincoln Chafee: "We have to repair American credibility after we told the world that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, which he didnít. So thereís an issue of American credibility out there. So any time someone is running to be our leader, and a world leader, which the American president is, credibility is an issue out there with the world. And we have repair work to be done. I think we need someone that has the best in ethical standards as our next president. Thatís how I feel."
Anderson Cooper: "Secretary Clinton, do you want to respond?"
Hillary Clinton: "Naw."


Bernie Sanders: "I believe that President Obama did the right thing with the Iran Deal, and I applaud him, Secretary Clinton and Secretary Kerry for that. Now, I didn't say that we should normalize relations with Iran tomorrow like Secretary Clinton suggested. I didn't say that, and we should address the fact that Iran is a big sponsor of terrorism, but a few years ago no one thought that we can normalize relations with Cuba, but it happened. So it can happen."
Andrew Cuomo: "Come on, Senator. Iran is a sponsor of terrorism, just like you said. They support Hezbollah, they support Hamas, they threaten to destroy our allies in Israel, basically threatened a genocide! We need to be tough of them, and this deal isn't tough of them. I think the President made a mistake in striking that deal, and that it will allow Iran to make nuclear weapons further down the line and slip into the concensus despite their horrible actions."
Barack Obama: "I'm proud of that deal, and I stand behind that deal. We needed to stop a nuclear Iran and we succeeded- they're abiding by the terms, they're not building nuclear weapons, I consider this a success!"



While performing better than usual, especially on foreign policy, Governor Cuomo didn't manage to make any breakthroughs, and Chafee sounded robotic. But the strengths and weaknesses of the other three candidates seem to start getting clearer- Clinton is better on foreign policy, Sanders is not very strong on that field but is very strong on economic policy, and Barack Obama seems to perform well on both and relies on his charisma.

Who do you think won the fifth Democratic debate?
Barack Obama- 31%
Hillary Clinton- 27%
Bernie Sanders- 23%
Andrew Cuomo- 9%
Lincoln Chafee- 2%
Unsure- 8%
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« Reply #62 on: October 09, 2017, 06:11:14 am »

February 9th, 2016

Democrats campaign in New Hampshire one last time as primary voting starts



CONCORD - As the first-in-the-nation primary in New Hampshire begins and voters go to the polls, the Democratic candidates and their campaign canvass the state in an attempt to sway as many voters as possible. As Bernie Sanders and Barack Obama angle for a win, and Hillary Clinton for as strong a showing as possible, the two other campaigns are seeing the Granite State as one last chance to gain traction in the primaries.

Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY), initially considered a strong candidate, didn't manage to find his place in the primaries and was sunk by bad debate performances and attacks from other candidates. Now, he's looking at New Hampshire as his last chance. Meanwhile, former Governor Lincoln Chafee (D-RI) actually managed to perform better in the primaries than initially expected, but his polling numbers are still in very low single digits and his neighbouring state, New Hampshire, is his last and only chance to perform strongly in the primaries.

The three main contneders- Obama, Clinton and Sanders- were all initially hoping for victories here, but as the primary got closer, the President and the Vermont Senator seemed to gain an advantage over the former First Lady, whose campaign is now reportedly concentrating on Nevada as their last chance to win an early state. While Sanders, his progressive views surprisingly popular in the Granite State and hailing from the neighbouring Vermont, is currently favoured to win, President Obama is hoping that his momentum from the Iowa triumph will carry him over the line.

A new bunch of polling has been released before the primary, including polling averages for Nevada and South Carolina, where we see, respectively, a three way race and a strong Obama lead.

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 35%  (+2)
Hillary Clinton- 28%  (+-0)
Bernie Sanders- 22%  (+1)
Andrew Cuomo- 7%  (+1)
Lincoln Chafee- 2%  (+-0)
Undecided- 6%  (+1)

Democratic Primary (New Hampshire)-
Bernie Sanders- 30%  (+1)
Barack Obama- 29%  (+2)
Hillary Clinton- 24%  (+-0)
Andrew Cuomo- 8%  (-1)
Lincoln Chafee- 5%  (+-0)
Undecided- 4%  (-1)

Democratic Primary (Nevada)-
Hillary Clinton-29%
Barack Obama- 28%
Bernir Sanders- 27%
Andew Cuomo- 4%
Lincoln Chafee- 1%
Undecided- 11%

Democratic Primary (South Carolina)-
Barack Obama- 38%
Hillary Clinton- 27%
Bernie Sanders- 19%
Andrew Cuomo- 8%
Lincoln Chafee- 0%
Undecided- 8%
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« Reply #63 on: October 09, 2017, 08:38:07 am »

February 9th, 2016

BREAKING: SANDERS WINS NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY

Democratic New Hampshire Primary results, 100% counted:
Bernie Sanders- 37.5% (12 pledged delegates) ✓
Barack Obama- 31.6% (8 pledged delegates)
Hillary Clinton- 19.8% (4 pledged delegates)
Andrew Cuomo- 6.1% (0 pledged delegates)
Lincoln Chafee- 3.8% (0 pledged delegates)
Others- 1.2% (0 pledged delegates)
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« Reply #64 on: October 09, 2017, 08:56:49 am »

Great TL!! A Obama versus TRUMP election TL would be amazing.
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« Reply #65 on: October 09, 2017, 09:43:00 am »

Great TL!! A Obama versus TRUMP election TL would be amazing.

Thanks! Smiley I'm hoping to get the primary wrapped up this month, it should go faster after the early states are done.
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« Reply #66 on: October 09, 2017, 11:29:59 am »

Aww.... was going for Webb all the way. Also, why is Chafee still in after O'Malley and Webb suspend?
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« Reply #67 on: October 09, 2017, 11:32:09 am »

Aww.... was going for Webb all the way. Also, why is Chafee still in after O'Malley and Webb suspend?

He was banking on New Hampshire. But as you see... Tongue
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« Reply #68 on: October 09, 2017, 01:59:33 pm »

February 10th, 2016

Sanders win big in New Hampshire, field narrows down to three


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CONCORD - The polls predicted a Sanders victory in his neighbouring New Hampshire, but not such a big one. In a possible reaffirmattion of his movement's staying power, Sanders won the primary in the granite state by more than 5%, defeating President Obama. In his victory speech, the Vermont Independent Senator said that his campaign "absolutely intends to win", and that he will go on to Nevada, South Carolina, Super Tuesday and beyond. The victory is expected to give him momentum going forward, and perhaps a real shot at the Presidency.

While the Obama Campaign isn't too bothered by the loss, with the President giving a high-spirited speech about going forward, the Clinton Campaign is reeling from their showing in the Granite State, less than 20%. This is considered a major blow to Clinton's already-weakening candidacy, and her last chance at survival is probably a victory in the Nevada Caucuses, where she has the support of casino workers. The former First Lady gave a somber speech and promised supporters to "fight to the end until the glass ceiling is broken".

But two other campaigns were struck a fatal blow by New Hampshire voters.


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When both Cuomo and Chafee underperformed their already-poor polling in the Granite State, it was no surprise to anyone that they would withdraw. While Chafee's endorsement of Obama carries little to no weight, Cuomo's endorsement, yet unrevealed, could have significance.

Now, with the field narrowed down to the big three, the sixth debate is looming close, followed by Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday. On the Republican side, meanwhile, Donald Trump won New Hampshire, solidifying his status as frontrunner, with John Kasich coming second...
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« Reply #69 on: October 10, 2017, 05:38:57 am »

February 11th, 2016

Sixth Democratic debate held in Milwaukee, Obama considered victor



MILWAUKEE - For the first time, the Democratic debate included only the big three frontrunners- President Obama, Secretary Clinton and Senator Sanders. It was a debate that held importance for all three- Sanders needed to do well in order to keep on his momentum, Barack Obama needed to keep his status as frontrunner and Hillary Clinton needed to regain her quickly loosening grip on the runner-up status. However, results were fairly inconclusive- all three candidates managed to remain fairly strong, and no one slipped too hard. Still, Obama is considered the victor according to most polls. The major topics debated were Henry Kissinger's support for Clinton, Barack Obama's race relations legacy and, once again, healthcare. This exchange on healthcare was one of the defining moments of the debate:


Hillary Clinton: "If it's Medicare for all, then you no longer have the Affordable Care Act, because the Affordable Care Act, as you know very well, is based on the insurance system, based on exchanges, based on a subsidy system. The Children's Health Insurance Program, which I helped to create, which covers 8 million kids, is also a different kind of program. So if you're having Medicare for all, single-payer, you need to level with people about what they will have at the end of the process you are proposing. And based on every analysis that I can find by people who are sympathetic to the goal, the numbers don't add up, and many people will actually be worse off than they are right now."
Bernie Sanders: "That is absolutely inaccurate. Look, here is the reality, folks. There is one major country on Earth that does not guarantee health care to all people. There is one major country - the United States - which ends up spending almost three times per capita what they do in the U.K. guaranteeing health care to all people, 50 percent more than they do in France guaranteeing health care to all people, far more than our Canadian neighbors, who guarantee health care to all people. Please do not tell me that in this country, if - and here's the if - we have the courage to take on the drug companies, and have the courage to take on the insurance companies, and the medical equipment suppliers, if we do that, yes, we can guarantee health care to all people in a much more cost effective way."
Barack Obama: "Um, look. I'm proud of the Affordable Care Act, or as many people like to call it, Obamacare. We've worked very hard to pass it, like Secretary Clinton said, and it was certainly not an easy process. But here's the thing- we can go forward. We will go forwar. It's the common sensical thing to do- we need to cover everyone, which includes the 10 percents who aren't covered right now. But the way to do it, at least right now, is, I think, a public option- an option that provides high-quality healthcare and could cover everyone. Look, right now, the insurance industry is controled by a very small amount of companies. That allows them to raise prices, to take more money out of working people. We're going to change that with a public option, a tough competition for all of them that will force them to make their insurance more attractive and to lower prices. It's a simple and doable solution, not a vague one which we don't know how to fund like the one Senator Sanders is proposing, and not a stagnant one like Secretary Clinton is proposing. And I pledge to do it in my third term."



In the debate, Obama managed to position himself between Clinton and Sanders, to the left of the former First Lady but to the right of the Independent Senator. This could be a smart choice that attracts voters from both candidates, and could allow him to unite the party behind him. Let's look at the polls released after the debate:

Who do you think won the sixth Democratic debate?
Barack Obama- 33%
Bernie Sanders- 29%
Hillary Clinton- 28%
Unsure- 10%

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 38%  (+3)
Hillary Clinton- 30%  (+2)
Bernie Sanders- 25%  (+3)
Undecided- 7%  (+1)

Democratic Primary (Nevada)-
Hillary Clinton- 31%  (+2)
Bernir Sanders- 30%  (+3)
Barack Obama- 29%  (+1)
Undecided- 10%  (-1)

Democratic Primary (South Carolina)-
Barack Obama- 44%  (+6)
Hillary Clinton- 31%  (+4)
Bernie Sanders- 19%  (+-0)
Undecided- 6%  (-2)
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« Reply #70 on: October 10, 2017, 02:48:37 pm »

This timeline is amazing.
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« Reply #71 on: October 10, 2017, 03:33:56 pm »

February 19th, 2016

Clinton, Sanders campaign heavily in Nevada, Obama moves to solidify South Carolina



LAS VEGAS - Ahead of the Nevada Caucuses tomorrow, Hillary Clinton (D-NY) and Bernie Sanders (I-VT) are campaigning heavily in the Silver State. Namely, Bernie Sanders is lobbying for the support of Labour Unions and voters in rural areas, as well as young Las Vegas progressives, while Clinton is putting all her weight on gaining the support of Hispanics and casino workers. Meanwhile, Barack Obama is making a controversial move- he went to campaign in South Carolina today, and though he still campaigns in Nevada, it seems like he forfeited the state.

For the Secretary, especially, this state is incredibly important- she came third in both Iowa and New Hampshire, with an especially scalding result in the state that saved her 2008 campaign, and according to sources in the Clinton campaign, she will consider dropping out if she doesn't win Nevada.

These are the last poll numbers for the Democratic primaries:

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 38%  (+-0)
Hillary Clinton- 29%  (-1)
Bernie Sanders- 26%  (+1)
Undecided- 7%  (+-0)

Democratic Primary (Nevada)-
Hillary Clinton- 33%  (+2)
Bernir Sanders- 31%  (+1)
Barack Obama- 29%  (+-0)
Undecided- 7%  (-3)

Democratic Primary (South Carolina)-
Barack Obama- 46%  (+2)
Hillary Clinton- 30%  (-1)
Bernie Sanders- 18%  (-1)
Undecided- 6%  (+-0)

Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Donald Trump is expected to sweep both South Carolina and Nevada, and the establishment is starting to panick...
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« Reply #72 on: October 11, 2017, 05:15:37 am »
« Edited: October 11, 2017, 05:21:48 am by Parrotguy »

February 20th, 2016

Clinton takes razor-thing victory in Nevada, Sanders close second



LAS VEGAS - In a win that saved her campaign from immediate death and allowed her to continue for at least a little more, Hillary Clinton edged out her opponents in the Nevada Democratic Caucuses. It was an extremely narrow victory, though, with Bernie Sanders a very close second, less than 0.1% behind, and Barack Obama a not-too-distant third. According to exit polls, it appears like Hillary won the caucuses with the help of hispanic voters, to whom she appealed with immigration ads, and casino workers, with whom she and her husband campaigned extensively. Sanders, meanwhile, won amongst young and white voters, and Obama won only amongst the small African-American community in the Silver State.


Democratic Nevada Caucuses results, 100% counted:
Hillary Clinton- 33.89% (14 pledged delegates) ✓
Bernir Sanders- 33.83% (13 pledged delegates)
Barack Obama- 30.88% (8 pledged delegates)
Others- 1.4% (0 pledged delegates)

As she gave her victory speech, the loyal supporters of the Clinton campaign cheered, but the tension in the HQ could still be felt- a South Carolina defeat was iminent, and then a tough Super Tuesday loomed, with an uncertain future for the former Secretary of State, Senator from New York and First Lady of the United States.



Meanwhile, Trump wins the Republican South Carolina Primaries by a strong margin, forcing Jeb Bush to withdraw, and is looking more and more like an unstoppable frontrunner...
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« Reply #73 on: October 11, 2017, 08:57:54 am »

SPECIAL: The 2004 Democratic Primaries Part 2



The Democratic nomination battle heat up after the non-binding Washington, D.C. primary was done. With Graham and Mosely Braun out, Howard Dean started gaining momentum leading up to Iowa- he performed strongly in debates, held big, enthusiastic rallies and attracted a large group of loyal grassroots supporters. Many liken Dean's campaign to that of another insurgent Vermont progressive- Bernie Sanders, in 2016, whom Dean did not, actually, endorse. Though both failed to clinch their party's nomination, both influenced the eventual nominee and forced him to move to the left. There was one, big difference, though- Dean's progressives did not have lasting power in the Democratic party, and the party's move to the left could only slightly be attributed to him. Sanders, meanwhile, helped cause a real change amongst Democrats, moving the whole party leftwards, with support to universal healthcare, free college tuition and more.

Both Dean and Gore, as well as other candidates who hoped to do well, like Clark, Gephardt and Edwards, campaigned heavily in Iowa. The polls before the caucuses were fairly close:

2004 Democratic Primary (Iowa)
Al Gore- 31%
Howard Dean- 28%
Dick Gephardt- 15%
Wesley Clark- 13%
John Edwards- 9%
Dennis Kucinich- 4%
Al Sharpton- 1%
Undecided- 4%

However, in the end, the former Vice President's popularity in the Hawkeye State, as well as Howard Dean's lack of appeal to rural voters, sealed the deal.


Senator Zell Miller (D-GA) giving his surprising endorsement of George Bush in a 2004 RNC keynote address
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« Reply #74 on: October 11, 2017, 10:22:24 am »

February 23rd, 2016

Andrew Cuomo endorses Hillary Clinton ahead of South Carolina



CHARLESTON - In a joint South Carolina rally, New York Governor and former Democratic presidential hopeful Andrew Cuomo endorsed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for President. In his speech, Cuomo called for voters to vote for "a qualified candidate of change who has a proven track record of getting things done for hardworking Americans", and introduced her as "a great New Yorker, a tremendous public servant and my personal friend".

The endorsement does not surprise anyone- Cuomo has always been close to the Clintons, and reportedly hopes for the Vice Presidential spot, or even a prominent cabinet position like Secretary of State, in a possible Clinton Administration. Pundits speculate that after suspending his campaign due to his New Hampshire loss, Cuomo decided to wait until Nevada and see if the Clinton campaign could survive going forward, and now endorsed her in an attempt to boost her chances in South Carolina. Cuomo was polling at around 8%, sometimes even breaking into the double digits, in the Palmetto State before suspending his campaign. Here are the latest polling aggregates from the last early state before Super Tuesday, before Cuomo's endorsement of Clinton:

Democratic Primary (National)-
Barack Obama- 38%  (+-0)
Hillary Clinton- 30%  (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 27%  (+1)
Undecided- 5%  (-2)

Democratic Primary (South Carolina)-
Barack Obama- 47%  (+1)
Hillary Clinton- 31%  (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 18%  (+-0)
Undecided- 4%  (-2)
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