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  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Keyboard Jacobinism, Apocrypha)
  Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline
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Poll
Question: Who should Obama choose as his Running Mate?
#1Tim Kaine
#2Julian Castro
#3Tom Vilsack
#4Amy Klobucher
#5Kirsten Gillibrand
#6Al Franken
#7Jeff Merkley
#8John Hickenlooper
#9Martin Heinrich
#10WHO SHOULD TRUMP CHOOSE?
#11Newt Gingrich
#12Ben Carson
#13Chris Christie
#14Mary Fallin
#15Scott Brown
#16Marsha Blackburn
#17Mike Flynn
#18Jeff Sessions
#19Jim Webb
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline  (Read 32885 times)
Duke of York
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« Reply #300 on: April 05, 2018, 10:25:38 am »
« edited: April 05, 2018, 10:44:14 am by Duke of York »

Img


a fantastic timeline. I wish this was our reality.  with a wave election like this I would imagine many state legislatures flipped as well.
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #301 on: April 05, 2018, 11:24:27 am »

I am very happy with this result, Trump is dead!

I'd love for you to continue this to 2020 somehow, something tells me it'll be Biden running Wink
Hopefully with Huntsman getting the R nomination or something.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #302 on: April 05, 2018, 11:45:53 am »

I am very happy with this result, Trump is dead!

I'd love for you to continue this to 2020 somehow, something tells me it'll be Biden running Wink
Hopefully with Huntsman getting the R nomination or something.

Thanks everyone! And I am planning to continue this at least until the end of Obama's third term, though I'm contemplating freezing it for now and starting a new timeline (anyone interested in an American Democrats and Republicans in the 60s or 70s uniting against an increasingly strong communist party? Tongue), to continue this later (in a new thread). I'm most likely not going to continue this beyond 2020, but I do already have an epilogue in mind, and I can assure you Huntsman's role still isn't done.
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #303 on: April 05, 2018, 11:47:59 am »

I am very happy with this result, Trump is dead!

I'd love for you to continue this to 2020 somehow, something tells me it'll be Biden running Wink
Hopefully with Huntsman getting the R nomination or something.

Thanks everyone! And I am planning to continue this at least until the end of Obama's third term, though I'm contemplating freezing it for now and starting a new timeline (anyone interested in an American Democrats and Republicans in the 60s or 70s uniting against an increasingly strong communist party? Tongue), to continue this later (in a new thread). I'm most likely not going to continue this beyond 2020, but I do already have an epilogue in mind, and I can assure you Huntsman's role still isn't done.
I see.
Also, a national unity party against Communism?  I like that idea.
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« Reply #304 on: April 05, 2018, 12:01:27 pm »

Please finish election night in this timeline before starting a new one.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #305 on: April 05, 2018, 12:09:08 pm »

Please finish election night in this timeline before starting a new one.

Of course I will, don't worry.
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« Reply #306 on: April 05, 2018, 02:52:37 pm »
« Edited: April 28, 2018, 03:03:58 pm by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part XI

Img

Blitzer: Welcome back, folks. The election might've already been decided, as were the fate of the House and Senate, but several races up and down the ballot are yet to be determined, and so, while most of you have probably gone to sleep, here we are, still reporting. And in the commercial break, we've been able to make two new projections for those of you who are still awake- Pennsylvania will vote for President Obama tonight, adding 20 more electoral votes to his tally, as will Wisconsin, the home state of his running mate, Senator Tammy Baldwin. She delivered him a large margin in this state tonight, despite initial worry about Trump's strength there.

Tapper: And right now, we're able to make yet another projection. South Dakota will vote for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, by a small margin. Jon Huntsman gave him a real race in this state. And we can also call another elector for President Obama, from Maine's 2nd congressial district.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (21% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.0%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 25.7%

Idaho Presidential Election (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 20.8%

Iowa Presidential Election (61% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.0%

Kansas Presidential Election (95% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.6%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (90% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 43.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.5%

Missisippi Presidential Election (94% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 44.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.5%

Missouri Presidential Election (91% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.3%

Montana Presidential Election (63% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.3%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.0%

Nebraska Presidential Election (64% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.9%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (91% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.5% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.0%

South Dakota Presidential Election (90% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 39.7% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 20.9%

Texas Presidential Election (94% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.3%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 46.8% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.1%

Cooper: This means that we are, right now, at 388 electoral votes for President Obama, 65 for Mr. Trump and 7 for Ambassador Huntsman. This is turning out to be a better-than-expected night, not just for Democrats but also for Huntsman, who's leading right now in Idaho, Montana, Alaska and Nebraska, and is within striking distance in Kansas. Certainly an interesting night.

Bash: And in the downballot races, we can call the Missouri Gubernatorial election for Democrat Chris Koster, who will defeat Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder to succeed Democratic Governor Jay Nixon, a hold for Democrats. This is after Kinder had to face a nasty primary against strong candidates like businessman John Brunner, House Speaker Catherine Hanaway, State Senator Bob Dixon and former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, who was a frontrunner for a while until a bruising affair scandal emerged, letting Kinder, the man with the most name recognition despite being considered by many a weak candidate, to emerge as victor. Nontheless, this is not the only race we've been able to call- we've also been able to project that John McCain will be reelected to his seat in Arizona, a big sigh of relief for Republicans who finally managed to hold onto a seat. But a few minutes after this call we've been able to make another projection, less gladdening for Republicans- with most Ohio prescints reporting, we've been able to project that former Congresswoman Betty Sutton will win the Ohio Senate race, unseating Senator Rob Portman. So right now, we only have...

Blitzer: Hold on, Dana, because I'm receiving news that... yes, we can finally make our two last calls in the major downballor races- Republican Lisa Murkowski will win reelection in Alaska, not a big surprise, and Obama's Agriculture Secretary, Tom Vilsack, will unseat longtime Republican Senator Chuck Grassley in the state where he served as popular Governor. This is a big and shocking blow to Republicans, who have been refusing to give Obama's Supreme Court nominee, Merick Garland, a hearing. Grassley, the Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, has spearheaded this attempt, and now will have to leave the Senate. The next Senate will compromise of 57, or 58, Senators caucusing with the Democrats against 43 or 42 for Republicans, depending on the outcome of the Louisiana runoff election. This means that Obama will, most likely, be able to pass whichever judge he wishes, so it'll be interesting to see in the coming days if he keeps to his promise to appoint Garland.

Arizona Senate Race (71% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator John McCain (R)*- 49.2% ✓
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 46.8%

Iowa Senate Race (63% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack (D)- 51.1% ✓
Senator Chuck Grassley (R)*- 48.0%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (92% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 50.9% ✓
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 48.6%

Ohio Senate Race (100% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 49.5% ✓
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.2%
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Duke of York
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« Reply #307 on: April 05, 2018, 03:37:05 pm »

I am in love with this timeline. Im really curious to find out what happens with the Supreme Court and the gerrymandering cases. Plus I hope the losses in the next midterms aren't like 2014. I wish our reality could have been this.  Put in the immediate I wonder what Trump will do with such a massive loss and Democratic wave.
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« Reply #308 on: April 05, 2018, 03:56:56 pm »

Unless I lost track of a result in this timeline, I think you meant to say "57 or 58" instead of "56 or 57":

Img
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #309 on: April 05, 2018, 04:44:48 pm »

Unless I lost track of a result in this timeline, I think you meant to say "57 or 58" instead of "56 or 57":

Img


Yeah you're right, I probably forgot to flip one race on the map. Fixed.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #310 on: April 05, 2018, 05:33:48 pm »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part XI

Img

Cooper: ...Folks, this is huge. Not as huge a projection as the Presidency, but this will be very important for Democrats. With most prescints in, we can finally call the state of Texas- and we're projecting it to President Barack Obama. This means that Texas will vote for the Democratic nominee for the first time since 1976.

King: Yes. It's indicative of a larger trend, with Democrats increasingly doing better in this state, but also of Trump's weakness as a candidate and Huntsman's strong third party bid. We've also seen South Carolina and Indiana flipping tonight, something they wouldn't do under normal circumstances. And Missouri and Mississippi both might flip, too.

Blitzer: Speaking of which, as almost nothing remains to be counted in these two states, we can now make two consecutive projections- Donald Trump will narrowly hold onto Mississippi, while President Obama will win Missouri, by a very narrow margin. Republican states voting for the President one after the other.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (32% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.8%
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 26.2%

Idaho Presidential Election (70% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Iowa Presidential Election (70% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.0%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.3%

Kansas Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.7%

Missisippi Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 44.6% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.5%

Missouri Presidential Election (98% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.1%

Montana Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 31.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.1%

Nebraska Presidential Election (72% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.7%

Texas Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 41.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.4%

..........

Blitzer: ...So indeed, we can right now project Iowa for President Obama. Iowa will go to the President, a relief for Democrats who would definitely not want to lose a swing state in such a good night. Still, the relative closeness here is indicative that Trump has performed well with this white working class demographic, just that it was overshadowed elsewhere. Perhaps  if Mr. Trump ran a competent, scandal-free campaign, and if someone else, like scandal-plagued Hillary Clinton, was the Democratic nominee, we'd be having a very different night.

King: We can additionally project Alaska, which will comfortably go to Jon Huntsman tonight. You can attribute it to a combination of various factors- the state's fondness of independent candidates, the sheer amount of time Huntsman spent around the state with surrogates like Governor Bill Walker and Senator Lisa Murkowski, and the depressed pro-Trump turnout in this state as results from the rest of the nation got increasingly bleak for him.

Cooper: And another projection, this one will probably make Mr. Trump's supporters even less happy- we're calling Montana for independent candidate Jon Huntsman. Yet another traditionally Republican state voting for another candidate tonight, and this time Huntsman wins 3 more electoral votes, bolstering his status as a very successful third party candidate.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (45% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.5% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 26.2%

Idaho Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Iowa Presidential Election (80% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.5%

Kansas Presidential Election (>99% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.8%

Montana Presidential Election (82% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 31.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.0%

Nebraska Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 38.0%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.8%

..........

Blitzer: And now, folks, it's very late into night, over 4 A.M., but we can call two of the last states- Idaho and Nebraska will both go to Jon Huntsman tonight. This is an impressive string of western victories for him, and goes to show just how strong his candidacy was.

Bash: For sure. With his popularity in his home state, I can definitely see a future for Huntsman- perhaps a Senate seat in 2018, when Senator Orrin Hatch might retire. Now, what's happening in Kansas? It's a very conservative state, but after Governor Sam Brownback's hardline conservative policies backfired, it seemed to be moving in a more moderate direction. Will it vote against Republicans tonight?

King: Most likely, yes. It's interesting because there are very few ballots left there, a thousand votes at best. The two major candidates exchanged leads throughout the night, and we almost called this state for Obama recently, as he had a narrow but comfortable lead, but then we've seen a surge for Huntsman, and now, for the first time tonight, he actually holds a lead- several hundreds of votes, close to a thousand, I'm told.

Cooper: Very interesting. Kansas has 6 electoral votes, more than any state Huntsman won tonight save for Utah. If he wins it, this will mean that...

Blitzer: Hold on, Anderson, because we have a projection to make, our last projection of the night. Jon Huntsman has narrowly won Kansas, by a little over a thousand votes.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Idaho Presidential Election (98% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Kansas Presidential Election (100% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.98% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.90%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.87%

Nebraska Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 38.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.0%

Cooper: And this is it for tonight, folks. For those of you still awake to hear the results from Kansas, you can go to sleep now, because our election night coverage is officially over. This fascinating election had an even more fascinating result- an overwhelming landslide victory for President Barack Obama and Senator Tammy Baldwin, making him the first President since FDR to win a third term in office, with 442 electoral votes, a big blow for Mr. Donald Trump and Governor Chris Christie with only 71 electoral votes, and a very impressive result for independent candidate Jon Huntsman and running mate James Stavridis, with 25 electoral votes. Thank you very much for tuning into CNN's election night coverage- I was Anderson Cooper, and these were Wolf Blitzer, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash and John King. Good night.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #311 on: April 06, 2018, 09:36:28 am »
« Edited: April 06, 2018, 02:18:52 pm by Parrotguy »

Final Results of the 2016 Presidential Election


President Barack Obama (D-IL)\Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)- 47.4%, 442 Electoral Votes ✓
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)\Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)- 31.1%, 71 Electoral Votes
Fmr. Governor Jon Huntsman (R-UT)\Ret. Admiral James Stavridis (I-FL)- 20.3%, 25 Electoral Votes
Fmr. Governor Gary Johnson (L-NM)\Businessman Austin Petersen (L-MO)- 0.8%, 0 Electoral Votes
Dr. Jill Stein (G-MA)\Activist Ajamu Baraka (G-GA)- 0.3%, 0 Electoral Votes
Others- 0.1%, 0 Electoral Votes

Downballot Races

2016 Elections for the U.S. Senate


Composition of the U.S. Senate:

Democratic Majority- 57 Seats (Leader: Chuck Schumer)
Democrats: 55 Seats
Img
(+11)

Independents (Caucusing with the Democrats): 2 Seats
Img
(+-0)


Republican Minority- 43 Seats (Leader: Mitch McConnell)
Republicans: 43 Seats
Img
(-11)

Freshman Senator Class, 2017: Maggie Hassan (D-NH), Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), Joe Sestak (D-PA), Kay Hagan (D-NC), Jason Carter (D-GA), Gwen Graham (D-FL), Betty Sutton (D-OH), Evan Bayh (D-IN), Tammy Duckworth (D-IL), Russ Feingold (D-WI), Tom Vilsack (D-IA), Jason Kander (D-MO), John Neely Kennedy (R-LA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), Kamala Harris (D-CA).

2016 Elections for the U.S. House of Representatives

Img

Composition of the U.S. House of Representatives:
Democratic Party: 231
Img
(+43)

Republcian Party: 204
Img
(-43)

New House Leadership:
House Speaker: Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)
House Majority Leader: Steve Israel (D-NY)
House Majority Whip: Steny Hoyer (D-MD)

House Minority Leader: Paul Ryan (R-WI)
House Minority Whip: Steve Scalise (R-LA)

2016 Gubernatorial Elections


State of the U.S. Governorships:
Republican Party- 31
Img
(+-0)

Democratic Party- 18
Img
(+-0)

Independents- 1
Img
(+-0)

2016 Presidential Election Final Results from: Wikipedia

Img

End of Part 1
To Be Continued
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #312 on: April 06, 2018, 09:37:49 am »

YEEEEES! Four more years of OBAMA! That is great! And the orange clown got crushed big league.
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #313 on: April 06, 2018, 10:55:55 am »

Great Job Huntsman!  Glad King Cheeto got stumped, let's see what the 2018 midterms are like for Dems.  (Go Rauner!)
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« Reply #314 on: April 06, 2018, 11:06:56 am »

Can we please have a map of the House results by District?
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Gravelanche
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« Reply #315 on: April 06, 2018, 11:16:41 am »

Huh, Dems might actuall have enough of a pad to hold the Senate in 2018 (WV+ND+MT+MO+IN+OH+FL is only a tie)
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #316 on: April 06, 2018, 11:37:25 am »
« Edited: April 06, 2018, 11:42:38 am by Parrotguy »

Can we please have a map of the House results by District?

Sorry, this is not my area of expertise Tongue You can ask about specific races and I'll decide whether they're included in the flipped ones (though please don't ask about like 20 races, lol).

Huh, Dems might actuall have enough of a pad to hold the Senate in 2018 (WV+ND+MT+MO+IN+OH+FL is only a tie)

Remember that a special election is coming in Wisconsin, too Wink But yeah, Schumer and Obama must be very happy with the 2016 gains. A bit like the situation in 2010- though, I can't confirm that the midterms will be all that linear. There might be some races that surprise you, likely in both ways. What I have in mind is actually quite exciting imo, so I'm probably going to start the next part soon, without any freezing.
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« Reply #317 on: April 06, 2018, 12:20:43 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #318 on: April 06, 2018, 12:24:04 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.
no u
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #319 on: April 06, 2018, 12:27:26 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.
no u

"Improper, illegal, or negligent professional activity or treatment"? o boi am I in trouble? Tongue
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Solid4096
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« Reply #320 on: April 06, 2018, 12:49:21 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.

Why was this UWS sockpuppet not banned when the other UWS sockpuppets were?
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Jaguar4life
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« Reply #321 on: April 06, 2018, 12:58:25 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.

Why was this UWS sockpuppet not banned when the other UWS sockpuppets were?

How do we know if itís UWS?
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Edgeofnight
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« Reply #322 on: April 06, 2018, 01:06:43 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.

Everyone has their opinions, its just that some opinions are wrong. How does it feel, being wrong?
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« Reply #323 on: April 06, 2018, 01:54:51 pm »

Love this!! Glad Obama has 4 more years! Hopefully, Huntsman starts some kind of 3rd party...
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« Reply #324 on: April 06, 2018, 02:49:40 pm »

This Timeline is complete junk & malpractice.
no u
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