Will any state beat Vermont's 104 year voting streak for the same party?
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  Will any state beat Vermont's 104 year voting streak for the same party?
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Author Topic: Will any state beat Vermont's 104 year voting streak for the same party?  (Read 1111 times)
super6646
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« on: August 28, 2017, 04:54:00 PM »
« edited: August 28, 2017, 04:55:49 PM by super6646 »



Currently, 9 states hold the record for longest winning streaks for a party. Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Alaska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma have voted for the same party since 1968. Arizona had the longest streak until 1996 when it voted narrowly for Bill Clinton; Virginia and Indiana were also part of the 1968 streak till they both voted for Obama in 2008.

So the question is, will any of these states be able to surpass Vermonts 104 year streak of voting Republican (from 1856-1960), or Georgia's 108 year streak voting democratic (1852-1960 if you don't include the 4 years it didn't vote because of the civil-war)? North Dakota and South Dakota have been competitve in the past (barely in 2008, but South Dakota almost voted democratic in 1972 and 1976), while Alaska has been consistantly trending towards the Democrats for 3/4 elections. Wyoming was kind of close in 1992 because of Ross Perot, while Utah was sort of competitve because of Mcmullin. Most of these states are also going to be considerably more diverse in the future, so that could be an effect in future elections. If I had to say which states had the best chance of reaching this streak, it would be in this order (most likely to least likely): Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Kansas, Alaska.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2017, 05:00:30 PM »

Wyoming and/or one or both of the Dakotas. Maybe OK as well, but that one is trickier.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2017, 05:17:30 PM »

Wyoming and DC (I know it's not a state) are the only ones I could see never voting for another party for such a frame of time.


But it's safe to say virtually every state will vote for the other party at least once in our lifetimes, especially when you consider massive landslides and possible realignments.
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AN63093
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2017, 06:11:27 PM »

WY.  Second place goes to ND.

Every other state, I can envision scenarios where they would flip D, even OK and ID.  But I can't envision that with ND/WY.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2017, 08:21:26 PM »

Wyoming had a Democratic Governor up until 2010, so it has a relative disadvantage to North Dakota (in its 7th term of Republican Governors), South Dakota (in its 10th term of Republican Governors), and Utah (in its 9th term of Republican Governors.)

As long as Republicans remain the party of rural voters, they have a shot at a streak, but it would be really unlikely given the ways candidates for Governor can separate themselves from statewide office, and how various federal positions provide launchpads for statewide office (IE- US Attorneys are credible candidates for Governor).
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2017, 09:10:10 PM »

Wyoming had a Democratic Governor up until 2010, so it has a relative disadvantage to North Dakota (in its 7th term of Republican Governors), South Dakota (in its 10th term of Republican Governors), and Utah (in its 9th term of Republican Governors.)

As long as Republicans remain the party of rural voters, they have a shot at a streak, but it would be really unlikely given the ways candidates for Governor can separate themselves from statewide office, and how various federal positions provide launchpads for statewide office (IE- US Attorneys are credible candidates for Governor).

The Dakotas have elected a bunch of Democratic Senators though.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2017, 09:15:16 PM »

Probably not considering how much random chance was required to get Vermont to such a large streak in the first place.
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