WA-8: Reichert retiring
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 10:33:49 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  WA-8: Reichert retiring
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 11
Author Topic: WA-8: Reichert retiring  (Read 20494 times)
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 06, 2017, 10:57:46 AM »

Breaking.
Logged
_
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2017, 10:59:01 AM »

Oh jeez..
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2017, 11:01:36 AM »

Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2017, 11:09:43 AM »

I remember from an earlier discussion, that there are no local dems within the district with a profile to run here - Democrats are probably going to need to recruit a popular businessperson/teacher/veteran/ etc. But this is probably the second guaranteed pickup after FL-27 since it has a D+1 to Even PVI.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2017, 11:17:26 AM »

I remember from an earlier discussion, that there are no local dems within the district with a profile to run here - Democrats are probably going to need to recruit a popular businessperson/teacher/veteran/ etc. But this is probably the second guaranteed pickup after FL-27 since it has a D+1 to Even PVI.

Two-term state senator Mark Mullet of LD5? Which is almost entirely comprised within WA-8.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2017, 11:18:57 AM »
« Edited: September 06, 2017, 01:49:15 PM by Mr.Phips »

I've always been kind of dubious about Dem chances here along with seats like PA-06 and PA-07.  The district is pretty much gerrymandered to include enough of eastern Washington to dilute the Dem strength in the Seattle suburbs.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2017, 11:21:20 AM »


That goes to a blank page. Is this a joke?
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2017, 11:23:28 AM »

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Oops, I seem to distinctly remember that was said by another WA poster - guess I was wrong.

Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2017, 11:24:53 AM »

Not a joke:

http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/u-s-rep-dave-reichert-says-he-wont-run-for-re-election/
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2017, 11:25:24 AM »

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Oops, I seem to distinctly remember that was said by another WA poster - guess I was wrong.



Granted, it would mean the Rs have a chance of once again reclaiming the state senate with their likely upcoming loss in LD-45.
Logged
SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,463
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2017, 11:43:03 AM »

That moment when all of my favorite congresspeople are retiring Cry
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2017, 11:54:02 AM »
« Edited: September 06, 2017, 11:56:27 AM by publicunofficial »

As far as Republicans who could run for this seat: State Sen. Joe Fain, State Rep. Paul Graves, State Rep. Drew Stokesbary, King County Councilman Reagan Dunn, and State Rep. Jay Rodne.


Of those I'd think Dunn would be the strongest (Pretty sure he won this district when he ran for AG) and Rodne the weakest (Massive Islamaphobe).
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2017, 11:58:15 AM »

D+1.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2017, 12:00:39 PM »

Damn. Now he will never be beaten. Sad
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2017, 12:00:53 PM »

Another possibility for Republicans is Dino Rossi.
Logged
_
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2017, 12:05:10 PM »

Another possibility for Republicans is Dino Rossi.

I don't think summoning a loser to run for a seat like this is that good an idea, but I can't deny he'd be a decent candidate.

Overall this seat is tossup, but this is great news for the dems.
Logged
UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,498


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2017, 12:06:25 PM »

Definitely Leans D, though Dino Rossi is an interesting option. I've driven through the eastern side of this district a fair bit since moving to Seattle and pretty much everyone I met there (around Sammamish / Issaquah) seemed fairly apolitical but left-leaning culturally, so I'd guess that while the right Republican *could* win regardless of Trump it would require a significant lift and someone very well-liked. Dems meanwhile just need to find a fairly generic anti-trump Democrat to pick this up IMO

Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2017, 12:08:00 PM »

It would be hilarious if Rossi took the seat, because that's what happened in my TL. But it probably won't happen.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2017, 12:22:15 PM »

I'm sure that Reps can find someone better then a three-time loser who lost political relevancy in 2010. But maybe it is time for the Rossi comeback? 
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2017, 12:28:53 PM »

Oh boy.
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 06, 2017, 12:33:32 PM »

I'm sure that Reps can find someone better then a three-time loser who lost political relevancy in 2010. But maybe it is time for the Rossi comeback? 

I mean, he's an incumbent State Senator atm.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,376
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 06, 2017, 12:36:26 PM »

One of the most "balanced" districts in the nation (50-48 Obama, 48-45 Clinton). In old (pre-2012) incarnation would almost surely elect Democrat, in new one - well, both parties have chances, but pragmatic moderate would probably be better then "ideologized activist" (in both parties)
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 06, 2017, 12:37:14 PM »

As far as Republicans who could run for this seat: State Sen. Joe Fain, State Rep. Paul Graves, State Rep. Drew Stokesbary, King County Councilman Reagan Dunn, and State Rep. Jay Rodne.


Of those I'd think Dunn would be the strongest (Pretty sure he won this district when he ran for AG) and Rodne the weakest (Massive Islamaphobe).

Fain is a future Senate GOP leader if he doesn't lose next year, though I suspect he has his eye on higher office. So does Dunn, though, and his mom represented the 8th before Reichert so I have a feeling he's the GOP's top choice here
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 06, 2017, 12:38:03 PM »

Anyways - BIG news. I'd say this is Lean D. Curious if Mullet takes the leap...
Logged
Meatball Ron
recoveringdemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,289


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 06, 2017, 01:02:14 PM »

What are the odds that several credible Dems run but only two credible Republicans run, splitting the vote big-time and allowing two Republicans to advance from the top-two primary? Sabato seems to think it's realistic enough to be worth mentioning...
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 11  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 12 queries.