WA-8: Reichert retiring
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  WA-8: Reichert retiring
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Author Topic: WA-8: Reichert retiring  (Read 20733 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #25 on: September 06, 2017, 01:05:20 PM »

It's a possibility. I doubt it, though.

Just need Darcy Burner to stay away...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #26 on: September 06, 2017, 01:08:58 PM »

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smoltchanov
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« Reply #27 on: September 06, 2017, 01:09:23 PM »

Republicans also have good bench in the district. Both Reagan Dunn and Chad Magendanz (who almost defeated Mark Mullet last year in state senate race) may try to run. And with addition of "east of Cascades" counties, this district, is, probably, somewhat more conservative then SD-05
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #28 on: September 06, 2017, 01:34:28 PM »

Republicans also have good bench in the district. Both Reagan Dunn and Chad Magendanz (who almost defeated Mark Mullet last year in state senate race) may try to run. And with addition of "east of Cascades" counties, this district, is, probably, somewhat more conservative then SD-05

Yes but 2018 is likely gonna be more favorable to D's than 2016. And I'd guess more voters are willing to send Democrats to Congress but Republicans to the state legislature to act as a check. This is one of those districts

Quite possible. We will see...
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windjammer
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« Reply #29 on: September 06, 2017, 01:38:54 PM »

Anyways - BIG news. I'd say this is Lean D. Curious if Mullet takes the leap...
Well, there is a risk of democrats not qualifying for the run off though,...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #30 on: September 06, 2017, 02:00:30 PM »

Anyways - BIG news. I'd say this is Lean D. Curious if Mullet takes the leap...
Well, there is a risk of democrats not qualifying for the run off though,...

If any big names wander in, I think some Dem candidates take a long look at the Leg races instead. Rodne is no longer a good fit in this rapidly-growing district and Graves is a first-termer who won because Darcy Burner was his opponent
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #31 on: September 06, 2017, 02:05:55 PM »

Another possibility for Republicans is Dino Rossi.

I don't think summoning a loser to run for a seat like this is that good an idea, but I can't deny he'd be a decent candidate.

Overall this seat is tossup, but this is great news for the dems.

I'm pretty sure Rossi carried the district in all of his statewide runs though. It's a little like Charlie Crist running for congress in Pinellas.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #32 on: September 06, 2017, 02:07:25 PM »

I just heard this and I love it!

Somewhere between lean and tilt D.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #33 on: September 06, 2017, 03:02:09 PM »

Update on possible candidate:

Sen. Joe Fain (R) says he has "No interest" in running.
Rep. Drew Stokesbary (R) says it's too early to rule anything out, sounds like he may differ to Rossi
Reagan Dunn (R) is interested, but "focused on re-election to county council"


A few other Republicans reportedly being talked about: State Rep. J.T. Wilcox (From Roy, his district is mostly in the 10th) and Pierce County Councilwoman Pam Roach (From Sumner, a legendarily bad personality who isn't popular with party establishment).
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #34 on: September 06, 2017, 03:07:17 PM »

This best case scenario for Democrats in this district. This is lean D at the moment this also puts Beutler in more vulnerable spot if WA-8 isn't much of an uphill battle.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #35 on: September 06, 2017, 03:23:09 PM »

I'm sure that Reps can find someone better then a three-time loser who lost political relevancy in 2010. But maybe it is time for the Rossi comeback? 

I mean, he's an incumbent State Senator atm.

I believe that's an appointment. He hasn't really won any big, noticeable elections.
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UWS
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« Reply #36 on: September 06, 2017, 03:40:47 PM »

Another opportunity for the Dems in this strongly blue state.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #37 on: September 06, 2017, 04:20:48 PM »

If the 2016 numbers in the presidential race are the new normal then this should be lean/tilt D in an open race,  the Seattle suburbs are definitely a bright area for Dems in the future.

I'd predict right now D+1.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #38 on: September 06, 2017, 04:39:28 PM »

If the 2016 numbers in the presidential race are the new normal then this should be lean/tilt D in an open race,  the Seattle suburbs are definitely a bright area for Dems in the future.

I'd predict right now D+1.

It doesn't even need to be 2016 numbers, Obama carried this district under its current lines twice by similar amounts, Reichart just had a strong enough personal brand/moderate streak to lock down what should have been a competative seat.
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Seattle
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« Reply #39 on: September 06, 2017, 04:39:59 PM »

I'm not quite as optimistic. Tossup D.

This is fairly R district downballot. It's got suburbs like Issaquah, Sammamish, Auburn, and Kent that are fairly D on both sides of ballot, but the unincorporated rural communities in Pierce County (and some of King) and smaller suburbs, Covington, Maple Valley, Black Diamond, Enumclaw, and Bonney Lake are not. Combine that with solidly red Eastern portion it becomes a turnout game.

Anti-trump sentiment will probably be enough to get a good D over the top. It'll still be a tough election.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #40 on: September 06, 2017, 06:15:45 PM »

I really hope Dino Rossi runs I want to see him win for once.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #41 on: September 06, 2017, 07:08:26 PM »

I think Dino is in
https://www.facebook.com/DinoRossiWA/?fref=ts
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Xing
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« Reply #42 on: September 06, 2017, 07:49:29 PM »

Toss-Up at worst for Democrats. Unlike GA-06, this is the kind of district where Trump is really toxic, and it's not like it's "ancestrally Republican". Reichert was just very entrenched, and he still came within inches of losing once.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #43 on: September 06, 2017, 07:58:34 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2017, 08:02:38 PM by Virginia »

Toss-Up at worst for Democrats. Unlike GA-06, this is the kind of district where Trump is really toxic, and it's not like it's "ancestrally Republican". Reichert was just very entrenched, and he still came within inches of losing once.

Going by the data, he only really became entrenched once the district was redrawn. All of his pre-2012 wins were within 5 points or so.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #44 on: September 06, 2017, 08:41:45 PM »

I just hope he's in it to win it.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #45 on: September 06, 2017, 08:46:18 PM »

He should be since he won his first governors then after 2 more counts he lost for his second race for governor he lost by 6% while obama was winning by almost 20% and in 2010 he almost beat patty Murray only losing by 3% or 5% he won the old Washington 8 everytime and since the new Washington 8 is more republican he should be able to eek out a small victory of 3-5%.
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Holmes
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« Reply #46 on: September 06, 2017, 08:49:09 PM »

Rossi? Really? The perenial loser? Republicans would be smart to nominate someone fresh.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #47 on: September 06, 2017, 08:53:15 PM »

Rossi? Really? The perenial loser? Republicans would be smart to nominate someone fresh.
Rossi really you do realize he WON the governors race in 2004 right?
He won the first count and the second count but on third she narrowly won he tried to get 1 last count and the courts said no he is the rightful governor of Washington.
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Holmes
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« Reply #48 on: September 06, 2017, 08:54:50 PM »

Rossi? Really? The perenial loser? Republicans would be smart to nominate someone fresh.
Rossi really you do realize he WON the governors race in 2004 right?
He won the first count and the second count but on third she narrowly won he tried to get 1 last count and the courts said no he is the rightful governor of Washington.

Yeah and Strickland actually won the governor's race in 2006. Sure helped him lots in 2016.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #49 on: September 06, 2017, 08:55:06 PM »

BEST FREAKING NEWS ALL WEEK Smiley.
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