So now that we’re in December dino is still the only republican running while it’s a clown car race on the democrats side I still leave the race at lean republican.
It's not always the case that the side with the more crowded primary loses. In fact, in many recent elections, it's just the opposite.
I'll concede that Rossi will probably overperform a generic R here, but I'd expect a generic R to lose here by at least high single digits, if not double digits. Rossi will probably at least make a race out of this, but I'd rate it a Toss-Up, and my hunch is that it flips to the Democrats, given how toxic Trump is in this district.