Largest city (or municipality) in each state to vote for Trump
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:40:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
  Largest city (or municipality) in each state to vote for Trump
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]
Author Topic: Largest city (or municipality) in each state to vote for Trump  (Read 23755 times)
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: September 30, 2017, 08:44:06 PM »

And the largest cities overall to vote for Trump are:

27 Oklahoma City, OK
36 Mesa, AZ
40 Colorado Springs, CO
43 Virginia Beach, VA
47 Tulsa, OK (though unconfirmed)
50 Wichita, KS
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: September 30, 2017, 09:11:05 PM »

And the largest cities overall to vote for Trump are:

27 Oklahoma City, OK
36 Mesa, AZ
40 Colorado Springs, CO
43 Virginia Beach, VA
47 Tulsa, OK (though unconfirmed)
50 Wichita, KS

Cool!!!

Thanks for throwing this together....

I need to take a look at Tulsa as part of another thread to determine how the City voted, since it is home to a major college Football team from the AAC-West @ the University of Tulsa, so will update the results accordingly, if someone else doesn't beat me to it   (Hint.... Wink )

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=273504.msg5845130#msg5845130

So nclib, since this is your thread and honestly one of the best of Atlas when it comes to crowd-sourcing of election results by precinct/municipality, would be interesting to see you include the % of vote for candidate for the top Trump Cities by Population nationally, as per your list above!!!

We need to figure out what cities BRTD will boycott the most by ranking... Wink

So Trump won 6/50 top cities by population in the US if I read your numbers correctly, based upon what we know now?

BTW: Once again want to thank yourself and many of the other effort posters on this thread that you started, for being close to completing this project, since honestly it's one of the coolest threads on Atlas when it comes to more "Micro Level" election results, that helps provide a larger narrative of the 2016 US-PRES GE.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #77 on: October 08, 2017, 09:04:56 PM »

It would be good to figure out the largest raw vote margin for Trump.

It's likely one of these:

And the largest cities overall to vote for Trump are:

27 Oklahoma City, OK
36 Mesa, AZ
40 Colorado Springs, CO
43 Virginia Beach, VA
47 Tulsa, OK (though unconfirmed) [since confirmed]
50 Wichita, KS

OKC - 40K?
Mesa - 28K
Colo. Springs - 36K
Va. Beach - 7K
Tulsa - 9K
Wichita - ?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #78 on: October 08, 2017, 09:08:07 PM »

Maryland:

Glen Burie (#7) confirmed Trump by precinct summation:

Trump - 9,764 (48.28%)
Clinton - 9,049 (44.75%)


Did you find a link to CDPs by population in Maryland? IIRC, Baltimore County doesn't have any incorporated cities.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #79 on: October 13, 2017, 02:25:49 AM »

Maryland:

Glen Burie (#7) confirmed Trump by precinct summation:

Trump - 9,764 (48.28%)
Clinton - 9,049 (44.75%)


Did you find a link to CDPs by population in Maryland? IIRC, Baltimore County doesn't have any incorporated cities.

I used the figures from statistical Atlas for Maryland CDP. I arrived at "#7" because there were only 6 cities and CDPs larger than Glen Burie.

Don't suppose you have the numbers for College Park (Not that I would expect it to ever vote Republican anytime before 2032, even if the 'Pubs reinvent themselves dramatically over the next few decades, or there is such an overwhelmingly major historical event such as a massive economic collapse, or devastating overseas war pinned squarely at the hands of the Democratic Party?

Can run the numbers myself, but since you seem to have a ton of data at your fingertips, if you don't mind sharing, will provide to another thread with attribution...    Smiley
Logged
HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,037
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #80 on: October 13, 2017, 04:20:55 AM »

Maryland:

Glen Burie (#7) confirmed Trump by precinct summation:

Trump - 9,764 (48.28%)
Clinton - 9,049 (44.75%)


Did you find a link to CDPs by population in Maryland? IIRC, Baltimore County doesn't have any incorporated cities.

I used the figures from statistical Atlas for Maryland CDP. I arrived at "#7" because there were only 6 cities and CDPs larger than Glen Burie.

Sorry, not trying to be an English teacher because I love this thread, but isn't it Glen Burnie?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #81 on: October 13, 2017, 03:03:38 PM »

I don't think we need a separate thread for this, but it would be good to have a list of largest city by state to vote for Clinton for the states where the largest city voted for Trump.

That would be...

Virginia - Norfolk (2)
Oklahoma - Norman (3)
Wyoming - Laramie (3)
Montana - Missoula (2)
North Dakota - ?
South Dakota - ?
Kansas - ?
Alaska - ?
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #82 on: October 13, 2017, 04:23:25 PM »

Updating the list...

   State      City      Rank in State      Source      Method   
   Alabama      Huntsville      4      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   Alaska      Anchorage      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Arizona      Mesa      3      DecisionDeskHQ      educated inference   
   Arkansas      Fort Smith      2      reagente      precinct summation   
   California      Bakersfield      9      nclib      ?   
   Colorado                           
   Connecticut      Bristol      11      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Delaware      Milford      6      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   District of Columbia      n/a      n/a               
   Florida      Hialeah      6      Gog3451      precinct summation   
   Georgia      Roswell      8      reagente      precinct summation   
   Hawaii      Laie      45      reagente      educated inference; lack of precinct data   
   Idaho                           
   Illinois                           
   Indiana                           
   Iowa                           
   Kansas      Witchita      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Kentucky                           
   Louisiana      Lafayette      4      reagente      precinct summation   
   Maine      Auburn      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Maryland      Hagerstown      6      reagente      precinct summation   
   Massachusetts      Westfield      32      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Michigan      Sterling Heights      4      nclib      consolidated city   
   Minnesota      St. Cloud      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Mississippi      Gulfport      2      reagente       precinct summation (estimate)   
   Missouri      Springfield       3      NOVA Green      precinct summation    
   Montana      Billings      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Nebraska                           
   Nevada      Henderson      2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   New Hampshire      Rochester      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city-county   
   New Jersey      Ocean City      29      nclib      consolidated city   
   New Mexico      Rio Rancho      3      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   New York      Rome      15      nclib      consolidated city   
   North Carolina      Concord      11      reagente      precinct summation   
   North Dakota      Fargo      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Ohio      Parma      7      nclib      Ohio Department of Elections   
   Oklahoma      Oklahoma City      1      Fmr. Pres. Griffin      precinct summation   
   Oregon      Medford      8      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Pennsylvania      Altoona      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Rhode Island      Coventry      7      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   South Carolina      Mount Pleasant      4      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   South Dakota      Sioux Falls       1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Tennessee      Clarksville      5      ExtremeConservative      precinct summation   
   Texas                           
   Utah                           
   Vermont      Barre      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Virginia      Virginia Beach      1      nclib      consolidated city-county   
   Washington      Yakima      10      Keel cool-idge      ?   
   West Virginia      Huntington       2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Wisconsin      Waukesha      7      nclib      consolidated city   
   Wyoming      Cheyenne      1      nclib      inference of precinct data   


I think Derry, NH is bigger than Rochester unless we're going by actual cities and not towns
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #83 on: October 13, 2017, 05:27:28 PM »

Yes, Derry is bigger than Rochester and I addressed this on the first page along with other states where the largest municipality is not a city.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #84 on: October 13, 2017, 08:10:47 PM »

I don't think we need a separate thread for this, but it would be good to have a list of largest city by state to vote for Clinton for the states where the largest city voted for Trump.

That would be...

Virginia - Norfolk (2)
Oklahoma - Norman (3)
Wyoming - Laramie (3)
Montana - Missoula (2)
North Dakota - ?
South Dakota - ?
Kansas - ?
Alaska - ?

That's an interesting question, and pretty sure VA,OK,WY, and MT are confirmed... at least I know that OK and WY are, since I ran the precinct numbers myself. VA is official SoS results, MT is totally common logic, as well as looking at the basic math of the County, without even running precinct numbers (Although that would be cool as well).

So, spent a few hours with North Dakota after downloading a comprehensive 2016 GE precinct report for all statewide elections in the State....

Took a bit of time, since I accidentally copied all results rather than just Pres results....

1.) Fargo--  Pop 108.4k

So, I had to double-check my numbers and found that there were some precincts that I included within the Fargo City results that were actually split precincts, that overlapped with surrounding rural/exurban precincts and overlapped with West Fargo precincts.

Still, even if we only use the numbers for precincts 100% within the City limits we see the following results:

18,627 HRC (43.2% D), 19,120 Trump (44.3% Trump) with 43,137 Total Votes.

Needless to say the split-precincts, even if one were to care out the vote share by Uninc/Rural, Fargo/ West Fargo, the total percentages and raw votes would get worse for HRC within the City itself, considering the voting patterns of neighboring precincts within the Fargo itself....

2.) Bismarck---- HRC won zero precincts within Burleigh County. Although it appears she performed significantly better within the City than rural areas and places outside of City limits, this is still definitely a decent margin Trump City. Her best precinct with some 850 votes in the heart of the City, she narrowly lost by some 30 votes, while apparently getting hit hard elsewhere in the City.

3.) Grand Forks- So HRC won five precincts within the County by extremely narrow margins.... Needless to say, she lost Grand Forks by a decent margin, although she performed better than in Bismarck, and a bit worse than in Fargo.

4.) Minot---- Not much to say here.... HRC didn't win a single precinct within the County.

5.) West Fargo---- Same problem with split-precincts, but West Fargo looks like it was more of a 55-40 Trump City (Likely higher margins), so we can safely rule that out.

6.) Dickinson, ND- No HRC precincts within the County

7.) Mandan- Same

8.) Willston- Same

9.) Stutsman- Same

10.) Wahpeton- Same

Good chance that the largest community that HRC won in ND was on Native Lands, where she was killed with massive defection to 3rd Party Votes because she was perceived as supporting the Oil Pipeline Project resisted by First Nation communities from throughout the region....

Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #85 on: October 23, 2017, 06:27:07 PM »

I don't think we need a separate thread for this, but it would be good to have a list of largest city by state to vote for Clinton for the states where the largest city voted for Trump.

That would be...

Virginia - Norfolk (2)
Oklahoma - Norman (3)
Wyoming - Laramie (3)
Montana - Missoula (2)
North Dakota - ?
South Dakota - ?
Kansas - ?
Alaska - ?

I'm pretty sure Kansas is Overland Park (#2), I don't think we need to check the precincts for that, given how close the county overall was, and how most of the Republican areas are outside of the city limits.


North Dakota
is New Town / neetuhčipiriínu (#20). Clinton got 68.8% to Trump's 20.0%. A reservation town.

South Dakota is Vermillion / Waséoyuze (#11). A reservation town - all precincts went Clinton.


Alaska is Juneau (#3). Non-postal votes are Clinton: 4272 (49.8%) to Trump 3161 (36.8%) I don't think postal votes will overturn this result.

Vermilion is not a reservation town. It is majority white and is home of the University of South Dakota.

For your state capitals list, you left off Kansas and Vermont. Topeka, KS is unknown and needs to be precinct checked, and Montpelier, VT of course went Democratic.

Also, Annapolis, MD was thought to go Repub on the football cities thread, though I personally doubt it based on 2008 results, and I haven't seen numbers for Helena, MT.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #86 on: October 23, 2017, 11:41:23 PM »

I don't think we need a separate thread for this, but it would be good to have a list of largest city by state to vote for Clinton for the states where the largest city voted for Trump.

That would be...

Virginia - Norfolk (2)
Oklahoma - Norman (3)
Wyoming - Laramie (3)
Montana - Missoula (2)
North Dakota - ?
South Dakota - ?
Kansas - ?
Alaska - ?

I'm pretty sure Kansas is Overland Park (#2), I don't think we need to check the precincts for that, given how close the county overall was, and how most of the Republican areas are outside of the city limits.


North Dakota
is New Town / neetuhčipiriínu (#20). Clinton got 68.8% to Trump's 20.0%. A reservation town.

South Dakota is Vermillion / Waséoyuze (#11). A reservation town - all precincts went Clinton.

Alaska is Juneau (#3). Non-postal votes are Clinton: 4272 (49.8%) to Trump 3161 (36.8%) I don't think postal votes will overturn this result.

Bolded Overland Park, Kansas----

Pretty sure you're right on that count....

I did some work on Johnson County, Kansas as part of a previous thread....

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259050.msg5715463#msg5715463

I seem to recall Overland Park numbers looking pretty heavily Democratic as well, although I would need to find what external drive I stashed the County Precinct Excel file on, and then go back and code by precincts to see the exact numbers and '12>'16 swings....

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #87 on: October 23, 2017, 11:48:45 PM »

Updating the list...

   State      City      Rank in State      Source      Method   
   Alabama      Huntsville      4      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   Alaska      Anchorage      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Arizona      Mesa      3      DecisionDeskHQ      educated inference   
   Arkansas      Fort Smith      2      reagente      precinct summation   
   California      Bakersfield      9      nclib      ?   
   Colorado                           
   Connecticut      Bristol      11      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Delaware      Milford      6      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   District of Columbia      n/a      n/a               
   Florida      Hialeah      6      Gog3451      precinct summation   
   Georgia      Roswell      8      reagente      precinct summation   
   Hawaii      Laie      45      reagente      educated inference; lack of precinct data   
   Idaho                           
   Illinois                           
   Indiana                           
   Iowa                           
   Kansas      Witchita      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Kentucky                           
   Louisiana      Lafayette      4      reagente      precinct summation   
   Maine      Auburn      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Maryland      Hagerstown      6      reagente      precinct summation   
   Massachusetts      Westfield      32      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Michigan      Sterling Heights      4      nclib      consolidated city   
   Minnesota      St. Cloud      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Mississippi      Gulfport      2      reagente       precinct summation (estimate)   
   Missouri      Springfield       3      NOVA Green      precinct summation    
   Montana      Billings      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Nebraska                           
   Nevada      Henderson      2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   New Hampshire      Rochester      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city-county   
   New Jersey      Ocean City      29      nclib      consolidated city   
   New Mexico      Rio Rancho      3      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   New York      Rome      15      nclib      consolidated city   
   North Carolina      Concord      11      reagente      precinct summation   
   North Dakota      Fargo      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Ohio      Parma      7      nclib      Ohio Department of Elections   
   Oklahoma      Oklahoma City      1      Fmr. Pres. Griffin      precinct summation   
   Oregon      Medford      8      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Pennsylvania      Altoona      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Rhode Island      Coventry      7      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   South Carolina      Mount Pleasant      4      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   South Dakota      Sioux Falls       1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Tennessee      Clarksville      5      ExtremeConservative      precinct summation   
   Texas                           
   Utah                           
   Vermont      Barre      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Virginia      Virginia Beach      1      nclib      consolidated city-county   
   Washington      Yakima      10      Keel cool-idge      ?   
   West Virginia      Huntington       2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Wisconsin      Waukesha      7      nclib      consolidated city   
   Wyoming      Cheyenne      1      nclib      inference of precinct data   


I think Derry, NH is bigger than Rochester unless we're going by actual cities and not towns

If we're going by towns then I'm sure something on Long Island beats Rome, NY.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2017, 09:03:53 PM »

Updating the list...

   State      City      Rank in State      Source      Method   
   Alabama      Huntsville      4      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   Alaska      Anchorage      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Arizona      Mesa      3      DecisionDeskHQ      educated inference   
   Arkansas      Fort Smith      2      reagente      precinct summation   
   California      Bakersfield      9      nclib      ?   
   Colorado                           
   Connecticut      Bristol      11      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Delaware      Milford      6      reagente      precinct summation (estimate)   
   District of Columbia      n/a      n/a               
   Florida      Hialeah      6      Gog3451      precinct summation   
   Georgia      Roswell      8      reagente      precinct summation   
   Hawaii      Laie      45      reagente      educated inference; lack of precinct data   
   Idaho                           
   Illinois                           
   Indiana                           
   Iowa                           
   Kansas      Witchita      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Kentucky                           
   Louisiana      Lafayette      4      reagente      precinct summation   
   Maine      Auburn      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Maryland      Hagerstown      6      reagente      precinct summation   
   Massachusetts      Westfield      32      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Michigan      Sterling Heights      4      nclib      consolidated city   
   Minnesota      St. Cloud      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Mississippi      Gulfport      2      reagente       precinct summation (estimate)   
   Missouri      Springfield       3      NOVA Green      precinct summation    
   Montana      Billings      1      Fuzzybigfoot      educated inference   
   Nebraska                           
   Nevada      Henderson      2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   New Hampshire      Rochester      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city-county   
   New Jersey      Ocean City      29      nclib      consolidated city   
   New Mexico      Rio Rancho      3      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   New York      Rome      15      nclib      consolidated city   
   North Carolina      Concord      11      reagente      precinct summation   
   North Dakota      Fargo      1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Ohio      Parma      7      nclib      Ohio Department of Elections   
   Oklahoma      Oklahoma City      1      Fmr. Pres. Griffin      precinct summation   
   Oregon      Medford      8      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Pennsylvania      Altoona      10      nclib      consolidated city   
   Rhode Island      Coventry      7      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   South Carolina      Mount Pleasant      4      reagente      inference of precinct data   
   South Dakota      Sioux Falls       1      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Tennessee      Clarksville      5      ExtremeConservative      precinct summation   
   Texas                           
   Utah                           
   Vermont      Barre      5      NOVA Green      consolidated city   
   Virginia      Virginia Beach      1      nclib      consolidated city-county   
   Washington      Yakima      10      Keel cool-idge      ?   
   West Virginia      Huntington       2      NOVA Green      precinct summation   
   Wisconsin      Waukesha      7      nclib      consolidated city   
   Wyoming      Cheyenne      1      nclib      inference of precinct data   


I think Derry, NH is bigger than Rochester unless we're going by actual cities and not towns

Since I've spent the past 48 hours working on Maricopa County Arizona, and a few days working on Pima County I can confirm Mesa is #3....

We have the following results from Arizona:

Note---- there are some split precincts floating around here and there, but this would only make small movements on the margins for any of these communities, and it is also important to note that in the desert parts of the Southwest, generally most developers want to build within a given municipality, in order to provide all of the amenities and hookups that new homeowners expect when they buy their home...

2016 Presidential Election Results by City- Arizona:

1.) Phoenix----

276,438 HRC (53.6% D), 201,434 Trump (39.0% R)-----  + 14.6% D      + 75,004 D

2.) Tucson---

125,970 HRC (60.4% D), 67,322 Trump (32.3% R)------  + 28.1% D       + 58,648 D

3.) Mesa---

68,370 HRC (37.0% D), 99,022 Trump (53.5% R)---        + 16.5% R       +  30,652 R

4.) Chandler---

49,684 HRC (45.1% D), 47,913 Trump (43.5% R)            + 1.6 % D        + 1,771 D

5.) Glendale---

35,079 HRC (45.1% D), 36,766 Trump (47.3% R)            + 2.2% R         + 1,687 R

6.) Scottsdale---

54,002 HRC (43.2% D), 63,560 Trump (50.8% R)            + 7.6% R          + 9,558 R

7.) Gilbert---

39,081 HRC (35.9% D), 60,098 Trump (55.2% R)            + 19.3% R         + 21,017 R

8.) Tempe---

37,240 HRC (57.6% D), 21,085 Trump (32.6% R)           + 25.0% D          + 16,155 D

9.) Peoria---

27,569 HRC (35.2% D), 45,551 Trump (58.1% R)            + 22.9% R         + 17,982 R

10.) Surprise---

19,351 HRC (35.2% D), 32,287 Trump (58.7% R)            + 23.5% R         + 12,936 R


Side note, since I've been working on Maricopa County for all 724 precincts in '16 as part of a separate project, pulled the '12 numbers today and am trying to look at the various swings by municipality, economic background, age and ethnicity, since the overall swings in this County were enormous in many widely varying communities within the County....

I strongly suspect that Chandler flipped from '12 to '16, but can't confirm until I finalize the numbers....

Obviously Mesa is # 3 regardless of the DDHQ inferred reference ( We don't need to slice and dice the split precinct numbers here, unlike if this came down to Chandler or Glendale where these numbers might potentially flip a City)....
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #89 on: April 17, 2018, 03:13:51 AM »

Also, I'll have a list through the top 307 (i.e. all cities with more than 100k people in 2016), but I still need:

Overland Park, KS
Thorton, CO
Denton, TX
Carrollton, TX
Round Rock, TX
Evansville, IN
Arvada, CO
Westminster, CO
Pearland, TX
Richardson, TX
College Station, TX
Centennial, CO
Tyler, TX
Lewisville, TX
Greeley, CO


and, potentially worthwhile to revisit, though I think it's gone Clinton:
Waco, TX

Think I want through some numbers on the College Football thread and ran into some split precinct issues on the subject of Waco by Municipal Level results

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=273504.msg5906638#msg5906638

I like how you are expanding this project reagente....

Obviously the next expansion might be to compare '12 > '16 numbers not only by partisan swings, but also by DEM/REP net increases and decreases within municipalities....

I'll need to check and see if I have any of the data below sitting on my hard drive (Precinct Consolidation)....

I do seem to recall running into some municipal precinct level results with College Station and Denton, Texas (But a bit foggy since Nov '16 seems so far back these days)     Wink
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #90 on: April 22, 2018, 08:38:47 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2018, 09:16:48 PM by nclib »

Here are the 15 most dense cities (over 100,000) to vote for Trump:

94   Hialeah    Florida   10,995 / sq. mi.
114   Huntington Beach    California   7,459
293   El Cajon    California   7,156
243   Clearwater    Florida   4,415
279   Clovis    California   4,404
86   Glendale    Arizona   4,161
305   Lakewood    New Jersey   4,079
69   Plano    Texas   3,990
204   Sterling Heights    Michigan   3,628
307   Clinton    Michigan   3,573
166   Pasadena    Texas   3,525
248   West Jordan    Utah   3,520
36   Mesa    Arizona   3,514
208   Visalia    California      3,495
93   Gilbert    Arizona      3,487
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #91 on: April 22, 2018, 09:17:05 PM »

Here are the 15 most dense cities (over 100,000) to vote for Trump:

94   Hialeah    Florida   10,995 / sq. mi.
114   Huntington Beach    California   7,459
293   El Cajon    California   7,156
243   Clearwater    Florida   4,415
279   Clovis    California   4,404
86   Glendale    Arizona   4,161
305   Lakewood    New Jersey   4,079
69   Plano    Texas   3,990
268   Centennial    Colorado   3,727 maybe
204   Sterling Heights    Michigan   3,628
247   Westminster    Colorado   3,592 maybe
307   Clinton    Michigan   3,573
166   Pasadena    Texas   3,525
248   West Jordan    Utah   3,520
36   Mesa    Arizona   3,514


It seems quite likely that we were working on these posts at the same time, but I've confirmed that Centennial and Westminster went Hillary.

OK. Edited.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #92 on: April 27, 2018, 09:57:10 PM »

Here are the 15 most dense cities (over 100,000) to vote for Trump:

94   Hialeah    Florida   10,995 / sq. mi.
114   Huntington Beach    California   7,459
293   El Cajon    California   7,156
243   Clearwater    Florida   4,415
279   Clovis    California   4,404
86   Glendale    Arizona   4,161
305   Lakewood    New Jersey   4,079
69   Plano    Texas   3,990
204   Sterling Heights    Michigan   3,628
307   Clinton    Michigan   3,573
166   Pasadena    Texas   3,525
248   West Jordan    Utah   3,520
36   Mesa    Arizona   3,514
208   Visalia    California      3,495
93   Gilbert    Arizona      3,487


Anyone know more info about why these cities vote that way? I know Hialeah is Cuban, Lakewood is Orthodox Jewish, West Jordan is Mormon, as is Mesa to a lesser extent.

All of these, with the exception of Visalia, are not center cities. These are the densest center cities (over 100K) to vote for Trump:

208   Visalia    California      3,495
238   Provo    Utah   2,803 (yes, technically in Salt Lake metro, but Provo probably belongs on this list)
234   Odessa    Texas   2,608
53   Bakersfield    California   2,529
232   Evansville    Indiana   2,526
265   Billings    Montana   2,525
229   Fargo     North Dakota   2,450
50   Wichita    Kansas   2,431
76   Fort Wayne    Indiana   2,391
40   Colorado Springs    Colorado   2,378
Logged
cg41386
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 950
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.39, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #93 on: September 26, 2018, 10:39:47 AM »

Bump.

nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/election-2016-voting-precinct-maps.html
Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #94 on: September 26, 2018, 11:23:43 AM »

Bump.

nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/election-2016-voting-precinct-maps.html

Yes, this made it a lot easier.

New Jersey is obviously wrong on the list. The clear answer is Lakewood (#5*), which might also be the most Trump municipality in New Jersey.


*Although it was #7 in 2010 and only barely passed Edison and Woodbridge in 2017 so might have been #6 or #7 in 2016.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #95 on: September 26, 2018, 08:18:20 PM »

Bump.

nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/election-2016-voting-precinct-maps.html

Yes, this made it a lot easier.

New Jersey is obviously wrong on the list. The clear answer is Lakewood (#5*), which might also be the most Trump municipality in New Jersey.


*Although it was #7 in 2010 and only barely passed Edison and Woodbridge in 2017 so might have been #6 or #7 in 2016.

Well NcLib did call it out in the opening post of the thread, but it got lost in translation I believe when Reagente created the spreadsheet summary:

Conn. city:    9 Bristol
municipality: 14 Bristol

Mass. city: 29   Westfield
municipality: 33 Westfield        

R.I. city: all RI cities voted for HRC  
municipality: 7 Coventry
        
N.H.   city: 5 Rochester
municipality: 4 Derry
        
ME:  5 Auburn

VT   city: 4 Barre
municipality: 11 Barre

N.Y. city: 15   Rome   Oneida
municipality: Brookhaven,   Suffolk County
                    
Penn. city: 10   Altoona   Blair
township: Millcreek twp, Erie County
                    
NJ city: 29 Ocean City   Cape May
municipality: 7   Lakewood twp   Ocean
                              
*IL city: 22   Crystal Lake   McHenry
municipality: 21    Orland Park village (Cook, Will)
township: Orland twp, Cook County

*IL Election results are mainly done by township, and cities don't always correspond. I approximated city results by the whole townships they were in, even if the city does not necessarily make up each whole township.
        
Mich.: 4   Sterling Heights   Macomb
                    
Wisc.: 7   Waukesha   Waukesha County
                    
Minn.: 10   St. Cloud   Stearns

Va.: 1 Virginia Beach

Calif.: 9   Bakersfield   Kern

I suspect part of the confusion might have been separating City / Municipality in the OPs question, and some of the subsequent work focused more the "City" aspect and "Townships" might have fallen into more of a neglected category.

Still, good research calling this discrepancy out how the category of municipality as defined under State laws, can create some confusion or vagueness when attempting to identify the "top place" by State....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Municipalities_in_New_Jersey

Perhaps this opens up new areas to research and validate for this project?
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.149 seconds with 13 queries.