Dan Jones & Associates: Hatch trails Jenny Wilson by 11

[PragmaticPopulist]

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/14293-poll-romney-wins-matchup-and-likely-will-run-if-hatch-doesn-t

45% Salt Lake County Councilwoman Jenny Wilson
34% Sen. Orrin Hatch

FYI, 538 gives Dan Jones a C+.

All I'll say is that this is consistent with what other recent polls have implied: that Orrin Hatch is unpopular. I'll let you take this poll as you will.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Not that this has any significance, but this is the Utah senate seat that has not elected back-to-back senators from the same party since 1940. That has only happened twice in the seat's history.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Utah is not going to elect a Democrat.

If Hatch is the GOP nominee, it might.

lol Utah is one of those states that would elect Satan (R) over Jesus (D) in double digits. Clearly you know more about your state than I, but I just don't see the Mormons there electing a Democrat statewide. Dems shouldn't waste money here; it could be the Kansas of 2014 if they do.

I suppose if state Democrats nominate a Mormon Democrat who can distance him/herself from the national party brand, they could be competitive statewide. It would still depend on the GOP nominee though.