jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: September 12, 2017, 03:25:05 PM » |
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« edited: September 12, 2017, 03:28:22 PM by Jimmie »
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To be honest.. if the match up ends up with Orrin Hatch as the Republican nominee Democrats may be smart to spend money on this race.
No other year may align so perfect for Democrats to win a Senate Seat from Utah. Sure Jenny Wilson may end up as Utah's Mark Begich but a win for one term is a win.
And to be honest if someone like Claire McCaskill or Sherrod Brown begin to really falter in polls I would advise national Democrats to put that money in the Utah Senate Race if Jenny Wilson is still polling well against Hatch. Considering the dense media market it would be money well spent.
There are basically three potential big victories for Utah Democrats in the coming years if all goes well.
1) Most likely would be picking up a congressional seat in 2022. If independent redistricting passes the ballot next year it is almost certain a Lean Democratic seat will be created in Utah. In such a small state a single congressional race is a huge prize.
2) Second most plausible is an open gubernatoral contest in 2020. Utah does not have term limits for Governor but Gary Herbert is unlikely to run for re-election. Trump is unlikely to replicate Republican margins from 2004, 2008 and 2012 the open seat could be a feasible prize.
3) The Senate Contest next year is only possible if Hatch is the Republican nominee and Romney does NOT run.
Jim Matheson must be kicking himself hard for becoming a lobbyist!
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