Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
Posts: 22,714
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« on: September 12, 2017, 09:44:09 AM » |
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Honestly, I don't know. It's tough to overcome the gerrymandering that much. Democrats must win the PV by at least five points or so to be anywhere near 218 seats. That's possible, I guess. If Trump's approval rating stays at its current level, I think the GOP will narrowly hold on (225-230 seats). If he is under 33% approval permanently in the months before the election, Democrats have a decent shot to win. But I warn my fellow Democrats not just to run on a pure Anti-Trump message. We also need to make the case what we're standing for. Democrats will make net gains, that's 99% certain. So, in the worst case about 2012 levels, at best narrow control of the House. Probably maxed out at 225 seats. Gun to my head? I say GOP control with approximately 225 seats.
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