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| | |-+  What happened to the Jewish vote in 1992?
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Author Topic: What happened to the Jewish vote in 1992?  (Read 761 times)
TDAS04
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« on: September 12, 2017, 12:45:27 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?
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Hydera
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2017, 02:05:55 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?


Bill Clinton ran on a tough on crime campaign thats widely criticized nowadays. But that along with being less left-wing on economics made a lot of middle class jews(along with the middle class suburbia in general) turn to him.
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Zyzz
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2017, 05:12:05 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.
« Last Edit: September 12, 2017, 05:14:05 pm by Zyzz »Logged

TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2017, 05:19:39 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.

Even McGovern got 65%, so it's not like Carter's 71 was that huge, especially compared to Humphrey's 81 or JFK's 82.
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Hydera
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2017, 06:33:49 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.


Its not so much Carter as it is Jewish American longstanding support for the Democrats.

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

McGovern got 65%.

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Zyzz
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2017, 05:02:40 pm »
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https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.

Even McGovern got 65%, so it's not like Carter's 71 was that huge, especially compared to Humphrey's 81 or JFK's 82.

Ford was so inoffensive and the last 'decent' Republican president. I am just surprised at his relative under performance. There was no anti intellectualism, and no Christian fundamentalism from Ford either. While Carter was openly evangelistic which could have turned a lot of Jews off. I would have expected 1976 to more of a 60-40% thing among Jews considering all that.
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mathstatman
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2017, 06:13:47 pm »
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I wonder about the 71/27 result from 1976 as well. In Brookline, MA for example, Ford won 39.9% compared to Nixon's 37.1% in 1972 and Reagan's 30.4% in 1980. I think idea that Jews swung strongly to Reagan in 1980 is a conservative myth: Jews did reject Carter in large numbers in 1980, but many of the defectors went to Anderson, not Reagan.

As for 1992, Clinton's centrist campaign appealed I'm sure, but you also had the prominence of Patrick J. Buchanan in the 1992 GOP campaign that year, which probably scared off a lot of Jews.
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2017, 06:24:35 pm »
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I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2017, 08:02:17 pm »
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I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.

BECAUSE HE WAS A PROGRESSIVE LOL
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L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2017, 10:06:57 pm »
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I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.

BECAUSE HE WAS A PROGRESSIVE LOL

Very funny, but FDR LOST his overall PV share between 1936 and 1940.

And that still doesn't explain why Cox did so badly, or why Davis of all people did so well.
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marty
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2017, 11:27:33 pm »
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Here's a different question;

Why did Obama decline so much among jews in 2012?
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TDAS04
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« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2017, 12:11:06 pm »
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Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.

What was going on in Europe in 1940 and 1944?
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #12 on: September 23, 2017, 05:30:26 am »
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There was a perception that H.W. had failed to support Israel.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2017, 07:43:50 pm »
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Bush Sr. refused to provide a loan guarantee to Israel and came under heavy criticism from the pro-Israel lobby.   His Secretary of State James Baker criticized the Israeli government for continued settlement building and was reputed to have said "F--- the Jews, they didn't vote for us anyway."
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2017, 07:56:11 am »
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Bush didn't sufficiently bend over backwards for Israel?
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