Ontario 2018 election

[toaster]

Is there any way Brown creates/leads another party into the election if he isn't allowed to run for the leadership?

[Njall]

Is there any way Brown creates/leads another party into the election if he isn't allowed to run for the leadership?

Especially given how close we are to the election, I see that as impossible.

[Krago]

Is there any way Brown creates/leads another party into the election if he isn't allowed to run for the leadership?

Especially given how close we are to the election, I see that as impossible.

The Trillium Party website shows no candidate yet for Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte (or 95 other ridings).

My favourite Trillium Party policy: "There can be no computerized artificial intelligence used in the creation of legislation, regulation or policy. This is to ensure the ministry creating the legislation, regulation and policy are accountable for the document they are creating."  What the hell does that mean?

[DC Al Fine]

Is there any way Brown creates/leads another party into the election if he isn't allowed to run for the leadership?

Especially given how close we are to the election, I see that as impossible.

The Trillium Party website shows no candidate yet for Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte (or 95 other ridings).

My favourite Trillium Party policy: "There can be no computerized artificial intelligence used in the creation of legislation, regulation or policy. This is to ensure the ministry creating the legislation, regulation and policy are accountable for the document they are creating."  What the hell does that mean?

Doubt it happens but it would be hilarious if Brown and MacLaren were on the same slate.

[the506]

Is there any way Brown creates/leads another party into the election if he isn't allowed to run for the leadership?

Especially given how close we are to the election, I see that as impossible.

Reminds me of a NB 1987 situation where the fissures started to appear close to the election, but the party didn't formally split til a couple years later.

[MaxQue]

Randy Hillier is going all-out on Brown, accusing him of financial irregularities in the investiture vote for a candidate in Toronto, for buying an house on the side of Simcoe Lake and some foreign trips.

[King of Kensington]

The Trillium Party may be a better fit for Brown:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpU4-j_eNHk

[King of Kensington]

Brown was apparently scheduled to be interviewed on CFRB today but backed out in the last minute.  Guess he realized it's owned by Bell Media (which owns CTV).

[Njall]

The National Post has reported the results of an internal poll done by Mainstreet for the Brown campaign:

Elliott: 28.85%
Brown: 28.29%
Ford: 22.24%
Mulroney: 14.15%
Allen: 6.46%

[_]

The National Post has reported the results of an internal poll done by Mainstreet for the Brown campaign:

Elliott: 28.85%
Brown: 28.29%
Ford: 22.24%
Mulroney: 14.15%
Allen: 6.46%

Oh lord Brown is close to first.  None of the Ford or Mulroney supporters will back Brown right??

[RogueBeaver]

Brown's dropping out and won't endorse anyone.

[MAINEiac4434]

Brown's dropping out and won't endorse anyone.

This has been a bizarre I’ve weeks for him to say the least.

[DC Al Fine]

Brown's dropping out and won't endorse anyone.

Yay

[_]

Brown's dropping out and won't endorse anyone.

Patrick Brown's Bizarre Adventure

To Be Continued

[SJ84]

Prediction: Christine Elliott wins the leadership on the 2nd ballot.

[RogueBeaver]

Brownout is official.

[King of Kensington]

Eric Hoskins has resigned.  He will be heading a federal commission to explore Pharmacare.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/eric-hoskins-ontario-health-minister-resignation-1.4552697

Getting the coveted Liberal nomination in St. Paul's is a bigger deal than winning in the general election.

[DL]

There are now an awful lot of Ontario Liberal vacancies in the middle of Toronto. They still have no candidate in Toronto Centre. They still have no candidate in University-Rosedale. They now have no one in St. Paul's and in Spadina-Fort York they have low profile back bencher Han Dong.

I guess no one talented wants to be an opposition backbencher

[the506]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

[136or142]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

Or Bob Rae in 1990.

[DC Al Fine]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

Or Bob Rae in 1990.

Maybe. Let's see how the PC leadership plays out though.

[lilTommy]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

Or Bob Rae in 1990.

Go back a few pages, I posted two articles from The Star and I think the Globe&Mail saying just this! shades of 90'.

The NDP has a highly valued/mildly well known candidate in University-Rosedale, Jessica Bell from the transit advocacy group TTCRiders, and has been in place for months; The Toronto Centre NDP race has three candidates from what I can see (two openly gay men, the other a female indigenous candidate), I believe the nomination race is in March. But haven't heard anything about Spadina-Fort York. You can see how they have prioritized them. Lost opportunity in SpFY i think with the weak Han Dong in a riding that could swing with NDP or Liberal.

[Jeppe]

Prediction: Christine Elliott wins the leadership on the 2nd ballot.

Do you mean 3rd ballot? I can’t imagine Granic Allen’s supporters pulling her over the edge.

[lilTommy]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

Or Bob Rae in 1990.

Go back a few pages, I posted two articles from The Star and I think the Globe&Mail saying just this! shades of 90'.

The NDP has a highly valued/mildly well known candidate in University-Rosedale, Jessica Bell from the transit advocacy group TTCRiders, and has been in place for months; The Toronto Centre NDP race has three candidates from what I can see (two openly gay men, the other a female indigenous candidate), I believe the nomination race is in March. But haven't heard anything about Spadina-Fort York. You can see how they have prioritized them. Lost opportunity in SpFY i think with the weak Han Dong in a riding that could swing with NDP or Liberal.

Another one:

http://albertapolitics.ca/2018/02/andrea-horwath-will-ontarios-next-premier-remember-heard-first-albertans/

From an Alberta perspective/comparison

[DC Al Fine]

Am I the only one that thinks all this is creating a perfect storm for Horwath a la Notley in 2015?

Or Bob Rae in 1990.

Go back a few pages, I posted two articles from The Star and I think the Globe&Mail saying just this! shades of 90'.

The NDP has a highly valued/mildly well known candidate in University-Rosedale, Jessica Bell from the transit advocacy group TTCRiders, and has been in place for months; The Toronto Centre NDP race has three candidates from what I can see (two openly gay men, the other a female indigenous candidate), I believe the nomination race is in March. But haven't heard anything about Spadina-Fort York. You can see how they have prioritized them. Lost opportunity in SpFY i think with the weak Han Dong in a riding that could swing with NDP or Liberal.

Another one:

http://albertapolitics.ca/2018/02/andrea-horwath-will-ontarios-next-premier-remember-heard-first-albertans/

From an Alberta perspective/comparison

Main takeaway from this speculation is that campaigns matter. Let the Tories pick their leader, and the campaign start. If Horwath makes some noise, she could definitely win. OTOH this speculation often veers into parallelomania by ignoring factors that contradict the narrative. (E.g. This won't be a snap election like Alberta and the Tories have been out of power for 15 years, not 5 like in 1990)