Ontario 2018 election

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The National Post has reported the results of an internal poll done by Mainstreet for the Brown campaign:

Elliott: 28.85%
Brown: 28.29%
Ford: 22.24%
Mulroney: 14.15%
Allen: 6.46%

Oh lord Brown is close to first.  None of the Ford or Mulroney supporters will back Brown right??

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Brown's dropping out and won't endorse anyone.

Patrick Brown's Bizarre Adventure

To Be Continued

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Oh lord

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Welp

Ontario PCs Cannot Govern meme is gonna shoot up in popularity again.

"Can't even run their own Leadership Election, why should they run Ontario?"

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Ontario Election 2018 is now a three way race instead of a coronation of the PCs.


LET'S GO NDP!

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Well Horwath has some work to do.

Wynne is not winning this election though.

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So the NDP begin to slowly push their way up against the PCs, good.

Today is the First Debate too?  Is there any site that'll be streaming it?

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I thought Andrea Horwath rocked the City TV debate.

Is there a recording of the debate or something I could watch?

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I got this

https://votecompass.cbc.ca/ontario/results/?s=15b3bf2c0de8c395feec429184d00ec0463672e01525907851

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So the numbers in the poll that was Tweeted are the unweighted numbers?

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According to the Toronto Star, the Liberal campaign song is “Just Like Fire” by P!nk.

https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2018/05/17/ontario-election-campaign-songs-hint-at-messages-leaders-want-to-send.html

The first line of the song is: “I know that I’m running out of time.”

Whoever picked that has to be a PC/NDP plant

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https://twitter.com/innovativerg?lang=en

I can't find the data, but its linked in their TWitter above, Innovative REsearch Group poll:

PC - 35%
NDP - 31%
OLP - 27%

I find those OLP numbers high? but the graph shows a major downward trend.

Ok this is getting very interesting.  GO NDP

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Ipsos has the NDP leading the Tories 37-36.

Regional Polls/Crosstabs from that article.



NDP actually winning the 905 yet losing Toronto itself, cool.

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If the NDP are actually leading this is going to be amazing, probably not 1990 level amazing but I can definitely see a narrow NDP Majority.  If the NDP start winning the 905 by decent numbers however....

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Well that Forum poll is trash, oof.

But the momentum is clear, NDP is moving towards a majority.

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Ford sure doesn't like this Forum poll

https://twitter.com/JohnLorinc/status/1000098044531036160

That just makes it look like they're panicking.

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Game changer!

https://twitter.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1000439982430085121

But why

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Game changer!

https://twitter.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1000439982430085121

But why

Because otherwise, their campaign's croaking ;-)

HELLO MY HONEY HELLO MY BABY HELLO MY RAGTIME GAL

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Pollara:

NDP 43% (up 5)
PCs 32% (down 5)
Liberals 17% (down 1)

https://www.macleans.ca/politics/the-macleans-pollara-ontario-election-poll-the-ndp-lead-keeps-growing/

This is real. People are saying NDP = No Doug Party!!!

If it's real there goes any advantage the PCs had in vote distribution

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Doug Ford would run higher deficits than NDP and the Liberals according to economists. So that means that the NDP has become the party of fiscal responsibility.

https://globalnews.ca/news/4245631/doug-ford-pcs-deficit-economists/

Oh how far the PCs have fallen.

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The NDP still seem to have the momentum going into the final week, even with the small Liberal bounce.  I believe at the end of the day it's going to be a nailbiter on Election Night, but the NDP will pull out a majority.