Icelandic Snap Election, 28th Oct 2017

[Kamala]

I can't see Progressive Party joining the Left in this coaltion. It would be fatal for them. Either a minority government with LGA at the heim or a IP-CP-PP-Reform majority.

PP will never work with Centre Party.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

The fact that the right-wing of PP have joined Centre should make it easier for them to join a left government. The hard thing will be persuading SDA to cool it with the EU talk for a few years.

[JonHawk]

I can't see Progressive Party joining the Left in this coaltion. It would be fatal for them. Either a minority government with LGA at the heim or a IP-CP-PP-Reform majority.

PP will never work with Centre Party.

But they will work with Leftist LGA? Dont see that happening. Especially in a coalition government

[Lord Halifax]

There is a really good Iceland thread on VoteUK, if anyone is interested.

http://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/10603/icelandic-parliamentary-election-2017?page=1

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I can't see Progressive Party joining the Left in this coaltion. It would be fatal for them. Either a minority government with LGA at the heim or a IP-CP-PP-Reform majority.

PP will never work with Centre Party.

But they will work with Leftist LGA? Dont see that happening. Especially in a coalition government

Pretty easily. If anything, it will be harder to get them to fit in with SDA.

[JonHawk]

I can't see Progressive Party joining the Left in this coaltion. It would be fatal for them. Either a minority government with LGA at the heim or a IP-CP-PP-Reform majority.

PP will never work with Centre Party.

But they will work with Leftist LGA? Dont see that happening. Especially in a coalition government

Pretty easily. If anything, it will be harder to get them to fit in with SDA.

Really? Not sure how the PP voters will take it, unless the LGA government ends up being more "centrist".

[MAINEiac4434]

I can't see Progressive Party joining the Left in this coaltion. It would be fatal for them. Either a minority government with LGA at the heim or a IP-CP-PP-Reform majority.

PP will never work with Centre Party.

But they will work with Leftist LGA? Dont see that happening. Especially in a coalition government

Pretty easily. If anything, it will be harder to get them to fit in with SDA.

Really? Not sure how the PP voters will take it, unless the LGA government ends up being more "centrist".

VG is more rural-based, like PP, while the SDA is more urban. Importantly, both the PP and VG are Eurosceptic and populist.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

The PP voter base - especially this year - is more like the Norwegian Centre Party; rural, Eurosceptic, protectionist, eager for public spending and decentralisation, vaguely attracted to populism and not particularly wedded to idealogy.

[FredLindq]

The coalition talks has crashed...

[mileslunn]

So will the Independence Party then get a chance to try and put together a coalition?  It would seem wise to let them have a try although not sure how easy.  If no one can put one together does another election get called?

[FredLindq]

Progress party says that they do not trust the Pirates and that the majority is to slim (just one seat).

My predection from the begining has been an election victory for the Independence party and an IP guvernment.

[JonHawk]

Not suprised to see PP drop out. I think they might decide the next government

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I'm going to assume a LG-IP-SDA grand coalition now.

[mileslunn]

I'm going to assume a LG-IP-SDA grand coalition now.

So I assume IP being the largest party would head it? Or perhaps they should go with SDA as a compromise based on where they stand on the spectrums.  Any chance of another election?

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Katrina wants to be PM, and the Icelandic media believe she has more leverage than Bjarni atm.

Some demands to join coalition:

Reform: will only join coalition if EU talks are reopened, which means they will be hard to join in any government with PP, Centre or People's.

People's: want a large increase in personal allowance, that would rule out agreement with more 'fiscally conservative' parties.

[Antonio the Sixth]

What a dud. Icelandic elections have this thing of showing fascinating polling results and then reverting to something boring in the actual vote. Sad!

[MAINEiac4434]

I'm going to assume a LG-IP-SDA grand coalition now.

I dunno, the IP and SDA sort of hate each other.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Yeah you were right: it turned out to be an LG-PP-IP government that won the government. This may irritate LG's urban leftist wing (and LG seems to have suffered two defections already).

[MAINEiac4434]

Yeah you were right: it turned out to be an LG-PP-IP government that won the government. This may irritate LG's urban leftist wing (and LG seems to have suffered two defections already).

This only helps the SDA and Pirates imho.