Feel the Franken DISCONTINUED

[Heisenberg]

Uuugghhh >80 seats. More like feel the communism (LOL JK). BTW, MN-02 should be a D pickup, unless Jason Lewis resigned and there was a special election with a D gain. I'd suggest you just do that, it saves the trouble of changing all the D+(whatever) numbers.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Also, I just noticed, What happened in ND-AL?

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Assuming ND is a GOP hold:


Light green = UUP gain.

[Sirius_]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

We're in a scenario of democratic domination yet SC-1 doesn't flip?

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Great TL! Writers here usually shy away from giving the Democrats a (possibly unrealistic) 2018 landslide, but this fallout makes it all worth it. Could we get something from Tom Perez's side of the story?

[MAINEiac4434]

Also, I just noticed, What happened in ND-AL?

Annexed by Canada.

No, but seriously

North Dakota-AL: Kevin Cramer

You must be logged in to read this quote.

We're in a scenario of democratic domination yet SC-1 doesn't flip?

SC-01 is R+10. As I stated upthread, everything R+7 or less flipped, as did some, but not many, above.

[Deblano]

Well, The GOP is certainly boned in this timeline.

[Blackacre]

what happened in state legislatures?

[MAINEiac4434]

what happened in state legislatures?

Demslide. Don't wanna go through all fifty states.

[MAINEiac4434]

"...thank you, and god bless America!" Tom Perez walked off the stage to thunderous cheers, just 12 hours after the Democrats had retaken both chambers. He poured himself a glass of water backstage and sat down to think.

When Tom Perez had first started as chairperson of the DNC, he'd been booed by audiences who'd felt he'd unjustly stolen the chairmanship out from Bernie's chosen candidate, Keith Ellison. But he'd won over rank-and-file Democrats (including Berniecrats) with his fiery passion and his willingness to work outside of his own faction of the party.

And it had largely worked. 2018 was the most successful year for the Democrats...maybe ever.

But the next chapter of his chairmanship was his most important. In a few months, candidates would begin announcing. He already knew who some of them would be. Kirsten, Kamala, Terry, Andrew...probably Bernie. He was scared that the party was making the same mistake it had in 2016...career politicians who couldn't speak to average Americans.

And then there was Al. Al wasn't a career politician, was charming and affable, and smart as hell. He knew Hillary had already pressured Al to run. Unsurprising, consider her history of butting heads with Joe and Bernie, Andrew's unpopularity, Kamala's inexperience...

He was scared, though. If Bernie ran and lost again, what would happen in November?

[America Needs R'hllor]

I love this.

[MAINEiac4434]

Hate doesn't make America great, and we need a President who understands and respects the contributions all Americans make! That's why I'm running for President! 

It's time to Make America Love Again. That's been my message for my entire career in public service, and it will be my message as President of the United States!

The time has come for real progressive leadership to come back to the White House, to make the country better for everyone! And that's why I'm running for President of the United States!

The establishment has hurt everyday Americans for too long. We need to work together to defeat it. That is why I'm running for President of the United States.

I am the only candidate currently, and will be the only candidate with a consistent track record of progressive accomplishment for my state. That is why I should be President of the United States.

No one in this race has done more for the cause of social justice than I. And no one will do more as President for social justice, for economic justice, for healthcare reform. These issues have always been close to my heart, and they're what's motivating my campaign for President of the United States.

I have a long track record of bringing not just prosperity to my commonwealth, but progress. I will use the Old Dominion Model as a national template so that all shall take part in the21st Century economy. That is why I'm running for President of the United States!

You know who I am, you know where I stand, and you know I will stand with you as President.

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

[BuckeyeNut]

The fun thing about this timeline is that, if 2018 is to 2006 what 2020 will be to 2008, House Republican's freefall is far from over.

[MAINEiac4434]

The fun thing about this timeline is that, if 2018 is to 2006 what 2020 will be to 2008, House Republican's freefall is far from over.

Also, your sig made me laugh.

[MAINEiac4434]

Atlas Forum
- Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-- 2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: NebraskaTrot, Bill, MAINEiac8868)
--- Will Anyone Else Jump In?

Small Wyvern Albus        YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 1392

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « on: April 5, 2019, 05:16:09 pm »Will anyone else jump in for the Communist Party? That's what I'm calling them now because they're all running like Trotskyists.

NebraskaTrot Omaha Trotsky Moderators      YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 9212

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #1 on: April 5, 2019, 05:17:15 pm » You must be logged in to read this quote. Are you kidding? Anyway, I'm thinking one or two more might jump in. Murphy, maybe. Tammy Duckworth, maybe. I'm inclined to believe that Liz's denials are serious and that she won't jump in, even though she'd win. I guess she's just not interested in the job. I'm surprised Klobuchar hasn't announced, she'd need the name recognition of announcing early. Maybe she knows something about Flawless Beautiful Al.

America First America1st YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 4122

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #2 on: April 5, 2019, 05:18:36 pm »Agreed, NebTrot. I think there's one more shoe to drop. And if you're a Dem, you better be hoping for it because this field is weak, weak, weak so far.

CUOMO markwarner2020 YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 80000

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #3 on: January 5, 2040, 05:20:12 pm »lmao Andrew will crush Al Frunken and Timmy Buckworth and Kris Moophy. ANDREW 2020

Kamala is my Queen Jill YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 1223

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #4 on: April 5, 2019, 05:24:30 pm » You must be logged in to read this quote. This is your 80,000th post, and this is what you have to say? Anyway, the more the merrier. I'm open to voting for any one of these candidates, except Tulsi. Never Tulsi.

Never Tulsi ihatetulsigabbard YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 3848

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #5 on: April 5, 2019, 05:24:47 pm »I certainly hope so. More people to beat Tulsi.

Al Franken 2020 maineica4434 YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 8849

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #6 on: April 5, 2019, 05:26:39 pm »I want to believe you about Franken, NebTrot, I really do, but I don't think he does it. He had to be begged just to run for Senate. Do you guys think it's too early for Jared Golden or Betsy Sweet? I know they were just inaugurated but already they're Making Maine Great Again.

Kamala (2020) Kamala YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 4554

Will Anyone Else Jump In? « Reply #7 on: April 5, 2019, 05:28:09 pm » You must be logged in to read this quote. Oh, you.

[MAINEiac4434]

"So. This is it." Al couldn't help but smile as he sat backstage listening to Amy introduce him. Standing in front of him was Stephanie Schriock, the former Emily's List director and his 2008 campaign manager. She was back for 2020.

"This is it, Senator. Are you ready?"

"Nope," Al grinned, "but what the hell."

"...and I want you to give a warm, Minnesota welcome to Senator Al Franken!"

"Thank you, Amy, for that wonderful introduction. And thanks to all of you for coming out on the beautiful Minnesota day!"

"20 years ago, I never thought I'd be standing in front of you as your Senator. 20 years ago, I had written a couple of highly successful books, satirizing politics. One of them was called Why Not Me?, and it was about me running for President of the United States.

Well, why not me?

My friends, I am officially announcing my candidacy for President of the United States!"

[Kamala]

What a great logo.

[MAINEiac4434]

Daww, thanks.

------

FiveThirtyEight Election Chat
April 20, 2019

micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): So. Al Franken announced, electrifying progressives and fans of satire everywhere. Is this it? Are there any more Democrats announcing?

natesilver (Nate Silver, editor in chief): No, I don't think so. Garcetti won't because Harris is in, Klobuchar won't because Franken is in, Warren just won't...and who's left for the Democrats? A bunch of freshman congresspeople and governors?

clare.malone (Clare Malone, senior political writer): The field is Senator-heavy and Governor-light. Only Cuomo and McAuliffe for the Guvs.

perry (Perry Bacon Jr., senior writer): Uh guys, aren't we forgetting THE ZUCK

harry (Harry Enten, senior writer): oh god

clare.malone: oh no.

natesilver: He's not running.

micah: Perry plz no

perry: He started a PAC!

clare.malone: Only to help his friends...can we get back on topic please?

perry: I insist Zuck is in the header image.

natesilver: fine

perry: okay, back on topic: Democrats are always Senator-heavy. Bill Clinton was the last Gov to win a Dem primary. But Hillary was a Senator, Obama was a Senator Mondale was a Senator, McGovern was a Senator, HHH was a Senator before becoming veep, LBJ was a Senator, JFK was a Senator...

harry: We get it perry

harry: and the answer is obviously no. This is it for the Democrats. I love Andru Volinsky but he's  been Governor for 20 minutes, as has almost every other Democratic governor.

natesilver: Actually

harry: oh god what

perry: if you say Oprah I swear to god I'm resigning right now

natesilver: I'm hearing noises about Steve Bullock

harry: interesting

micah: Huh. Serious noises?

natesilver: yes

clare.malone: In all honesty that might eat into Franken's potential base, being from somewhere other than the coasts.

perry: but other than that there's no crossover...Franken is the consummate liberal, Bullock's more Blue Doggy.

micah: well it's not as if Bullock was Joe Manchin. He's pretty progressive, especially for a red western state.

harry: and extremely popular

natesilver: I think he'd make a good impression on Iowans and New Hampshirites.

harry: this is where I mention I'm so sad that Andy Volinsky won't run.

micah: he's been Governor for 20 minutes Harry

harry: even still...

clare.malone: You know, watching the 2018 results really reinforced that the Obama midterms were tough for the Democrats.

natesilver: they had 16 governorships before winning NJ in Nov. 2017.

micah: and what do we think Al Franken's floor and ceiling is?

perry: ceiling: nominee.

micah: YES

natesilver: really? Over everyone else?

clare.malone: I like it, Perry.

harry: Bold prediction

perry: Franken is uniquely capable as painting himself as a Trump foil, as a non-politician, even better than Bernie was in 2016.

natesilver: But he has a funding problem. Literally everyone else can raise more money than him.

perry: I'm not sold on that, Nate. I think he can get a decent amount of Sanders' 2016 grassroots support. Let's be honest, even if they love Bernie some of them HAVE to know that nominating a dude who will be 79 years old is not their best shot.

clare.malone: But: Gillibrand's more liberal than him.

micah: According to the metrics, yes. But he's not connected to Wall Street like Gillibrand is.

harry: I forgot Micah is a big Franken guy.

micah: we prefer the term "Franken Wankers".

natesilver: great now I'm going to have to put an NSFW tag on this.

clare.malone: I guess another problem I have is he has no natural constituency.

perry: I disagree Clare. He can win over many Bernie supporters and a decent amount of Hillary supporters who don't like the rest of the establishment field. His charm and humor give him an in with young voters, the Daily Show and Colbert and Sam Bee fans.

clare.malone: You bring up good points...

natesilver: great, now everyone on the chat is a Franken Wanker.

micah: Who do we think is the weakest candidate.

harry: John Delaney

perry: Delaney

natesilver: John K. Delaney

clare.malone: Delaney

micah: who do we think is the weakest candidate not named Delaney

natesilver: Cuomo. In spite of his progressive reforms, he lost to Preet Bharara in the Democratic primary last year. And it wasn't really close.

perry: true, and he wasn't the most popular man in true blue New York either.

clare.malone: I actually think it's Booker. Everyone seems to think he's New Jersey Obama, but Bernie people have been on him since the last cycle. I think he'll wilt under pressure.

harry: and it'd be easy to paint him - and Cuomo too, for that matter - as part of the swamp if they were to win the nomination.

natesilver: But we don't think they'll win the nomination, do we?

perry: no

clare.malone: not a chance

micah: LOL

harry: nope

natesilver: So...who wins Iowa next year?

harry: Bernie. Already has an established base of support, nearly won it in 2016, and now the Hillary vote will be split like 9000 ways

clare.malone: Bullock, if he runs. He'll really resonate there.

perry: Kamala. I know she's California but she's charismatic as all hell.

micah: Al Franken, and it won't be close.

[TheSaint250]

Loving this so far!

*whispers* can I be included as an Atlas member?

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Loving this so far!

*whispers* can I be included as an Atlas member?

[MAINEiac4434]

Loving this so far!

*whispers* can I be included as an Atlas member?

Yes! I was reluctant to add real people because I was afraid of passing someone off. But everyone in that thread is based off a real person.

[Canis]

Loving this so far!

*whispers* can I be included as an Atlas member?

[MAINEiac4434]

"I'm sorry, Governor. But I'm not going against my party."

John Kasich sighed. He supposed that John Hickenooper had always been a loyal Democrat, if close to the center.

"I understand, Governor. Do you think any Democrats would be interested?"

"No. But Mitt Romney might. He hates Trump almost as much as you." Hickenlooper was partially lying...Lincoln Chafee probably would've been interested, but he didn't want to divide the Democratic Party.

"Would he be okay, playing second fiddle?"

"You'd have to ask him that."

Kasich liked the idea...Romney was respected on all sides. So was McCain, God rest his soul. Defeat had made them beloved and respected. He wanted that, almost as much as he wanted to beat Trump.

[brucejoel99]

South Carolina-06: Jim Clyburn

Majority Whip-elect?

Jim Clyburn has retired from the leadership. Steny is the Whip, Rosa DeLauro is the Majority Leader.

So Steny took a demotion, then?