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August 24, 2019, 01:57:50 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  VA-Mason Dixon: Northam +1
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Author Topic: VA-Mason Dixon: Northam +1  (Read 642 times)
heatcharger
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« on: September 19, 2017, 09:42:56 am »

Link.

Northam 44%
Gillespie 43%

18% undecided black voters.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2017, 09:46:29 am »

Huh.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2017, 10:19:38 am »

Link.

Northam 44%
Gillespie 43%

18% undecided black voters.

Northam needs Obama to go HAM for him here at the end.
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Beet
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2017, 10:23:30 am »

Democratic Party fail v. 1543795
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2017, 10:24:38 am »

:think:

As I've said before, VA-Gov is Tossup/Tilt D, Northam SHOULD be able to win, but he isn't doing good atm.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2017, 10:24:44 am »

Worth noting that there is no poll showing Gillespie actually ahead. His absolute best case scenario is probably a redux of the 2013 Attorney General race, and that's assuming everything goes right for him.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2017, 10:39:14 am »

New Poll: Virginia Governor by Mason-Dixon on 2017-09-15

Summary: D: 44%, R: 43%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2017, 12:56:19 pm »

Because the margin of error cuts both way, it is not unusual at all to have polls as far apart as this one and the Quinnipiac poll sometimes. The conventional wisdom of a small/medium but stable Northam lead still seems to be true.
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