Quinnipic - VA: Northam +10

[Beet]

Image what this race would be if Trump were actually popular. Gillespie would be running away with it. This is the guy who nearly beat Mark Warner, and became a giant killer. People tend to forget that the only reason McAuliffe barely squeaked by was because Cuccinelli was cast as some religious right social fundamentalist. Gillespie is seen more as a technocratic Rockefeller Republican. At this point, I'll say pure tossup.