VA-Fox: Northam +4 (user search)
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  VA-Fox: Northam +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Fox: Northam +4  (Read 1532 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: September 19, 2017, 06:16:34 PM »

This makes Quinnipiac even more of a ridiculous outlier. They have to be beyond embarrassed right now. Anyways, obvious Lean D race is obvious.

Why would they be embarrassed for a poll that makes statistical sense if the race is currently Northam +4?

Showing Northam up 10 when all other polls are showing a far closer race is a great sign that Quinnipiac is sh**t. That this poll also shows a close race just emphasizes how dumb Quinnipiac is with their Northam +10 finding.

That is not at all how polls and MOEs work. You should absolutely expect to see polls showing Northam +10, tied, and Northam +4 if it's approximately a 5 point race.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2017, 11:45:55 AM »

Nobody is saying Quinnipiac is without fault, just that it's a very bad idea to dismiss any poll on account of the result when such results are in line with what could be plausible toplines. Be skeptical, but not reflexively dismissive of polls.
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