German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread

[GlobeSoc]

What places are swinging to and against Die Linke? The Greens?

[136or142]

Is a Jamaica coalition appearing most likely?

 
   
It is literally the only viable option.

So, the SDP won't go into the government to prevent the AFD from becoming the largest opposition party?  I was hoping that's what they'd do.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Is it true the CDU is outperforming the exit polls?

[TheSaint250]

Is a Jamaica coalition appearing most likely?

 
   
It is literally the only viable option.

Unless there's some kind of mutant SPD-Greens-Linke-FDP coalition

[Beezer]

SPD won't go into government cause if they did they might wind up with 15% four years from now

[Hydera]

SPD won't go into government cause if they did they might wind up with 15% four years from now

RIP the greens if they do Jamaica coalition.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Is it true the CDU is outperforming the exit polls?

Not significantly, no.

[SNJ1985]

This Bundestag election will be the first, since the end of Nazi era in 1945, in which a far-right party enters the German parliament (AfD) - a trend we are seeing in many places in Europe.

Wrong: far-right parties won seats in the first three Bundestag elections.

I just checked the 1949, 1953 and 1957 German election results and was unable to discern same. Care to name 'em?

The DP (German Party) was a right-wing nationalist party, the Bloc of Expellees was as well, and in 1949 the two other very right wing parties (the German Right Party and the Economic Reconstruction Union) also won seats. There were also right-wing elements in the early FDP.

The DP and GB/BHE even participated in governing coalitions...with the CDU!

[super6646]

Just curious, why the heck do they call it the "jamacia" coalition?

[jaichind]

Just curious, why the heck do they call it the "jamacia" coalition?

Colors of the 3 parties are the colors of the Jamaica flag.

[Yeahsayyeah]

Just curious, why the heck do they call it the "jamacia" coalition?

Because Schwampel sounds like some kind of giplets.

[jaichind]

[jaichind]

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I would not call it crushed, but it's a small but significant lead in Leipzig, which is a seventh of the population, so I think it will be enough. And in some other that are not counted yet, AfD should also slightly underperform.

Now it is 424 out of 424 with AfD 27.0 vs CDU 26.9.  Gap is a bit more than 4K votes.

[Bumaye]

MV is completely counted, here are the changes compared to the state election last year:  
  
CDU: 33,1% (+14,1%)  
AfD: 18,6% (-2,2%)  
Linke: 17,8% (+5,6%)  
SPD: 17,4% (-13,2%)  
FDP: 4,7% (+1,3%)  
Grüne: 3,6% (-1,2%)  
Animal Protection Party: 1,3% (+0,1%)  
NPD: 1,1% (-1,9%)  
Die PARTEI: 1,0% (+0,4%)

[jaichind]

It seems that AfD is at least second in all GDR states with the exception of Berlin.  If would be if we break down Berlin results between East and West Berlin pre-1991 and see if AfD is second place in East Berlin.   Most likely not.

[jaichind]

All things equal AfD is running 1%-2% behind its performance in the 2016 German State elections.

[jaichind]

I do not see how AfD gets much above 12.7 at this stage.  No idea why ARD has them still at 13.0 as forecast. 

[Hnv1]

Greens took a -16% in Kreuzberg, that's odd

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

Best results map site I've seen so far:
https://interaktiv.morgenpost.de/deutschlandwahlkarte2017/#en

[The Free North]

I apologize if its been answered already but how unlikely is it that we see another grand coalition form here?

[GlobeSoc]

I apologize if its been answered already but how unlikely is it that we see another grand coalition form here?

90% chance it doesn't

[TheSaint250]

I apologize if its been answered already but how unlikely is it that we see another grand coalition form here?

SPD said it wouldn't enter the government this time around.

[Tintrlvr]

Greens took a -16% in Kreuzberg, that's odd

Popular incumbent with a large personal vote retired. The Greens didn't drop on the list vote.

[Kamala]

The worst coalition I can come up with is double-stop-light  - Linke, SPD, FDP, Greens. Red-red-yellow-green.

Obviously would never happen, but...

[jaichind]

It seems all seats are counted.  For second vote it seems to be

CDU/CSU    33.0
SPD            20.5
Linke           9.2
Greens        8.9
FDP           10.7
AfD            12.6

AfD under-performed exit polls.