German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread

[Bumaye]

I thought this election was boring?  Why is turnout so damn high?

 
  
It's the combination of people protest voting against the current political standstill (AfD, Linke, PARTEI) and the fear of a major AfD victory I'd say. We saw this in the Netherlands already where people flocked to the polling stations to stop the PVV from finishing first.  
  
 

[Bumaye]

Do you think the AfD could have received a plurality in Saxony (and maybe in a second Land)?

 
  
The SPD is so weak in Saxony that I believe the CDU is still ahead. I have fears for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern though...

[Bumaye]

A minor thing that gives me some relief: There wouldn't be a majority for CDU/CSU and AfD. I believe that the FDP is at least in that case steadfast enough to not work with the AfD but the Union in 4 years? Looking at Austria that doesn't seem impossible. Good that it is mathematically impossible for now.  
  
Also Jamaica - which means a conservative Green party - will mean big gains for Die Linke next time around.

[Bumaye]

Please tell me how Jamaica will not be suicide for the Greens.

 
 
Won't lie to you. The Greens are dead meat. And honestly I don't see yet how they will form a coalition to begin with. Seehofer already has declared that the CSU will go hard left to close the gap opened for the AfD but that is something not even the " our ideals"-party of the Greens will go with.

[Bumaye]

The Greens (18%) have beaten the SPD (17%) among voters with a university degree according to Infratest Dimap.

[Bumaye]

Schultz is so bitter lol.

 
 
I actually enjoy him quite a bit right now, he is acting like an opposition leader, not like Angie's sidekick.   
 
Merkel: "Mathematically it is enough for a Grand Coalition." 
Schulz: "Mathematically, but not politically." 
 
It's funny though how the FDP (first Kubicki, now Lindner) criticize the SPD for ruling out a Grand Coalition. They already fear to go into another Merkel-lead government since they know they will get ed by it again.

[Bumaye]

So far Die Linke (18,5%) is ahead of the SPD (18,3%) in Berlin. Holy balls.

[Bumaye]

Looking at the result in Chemnitz, Saxony's third largest city where the AfD got 24,3% and is only 0,6% behind the CDU, I doubt that Dresden and Leipzig will make that much of a difference.

[Bumaye]

To be honest I'm quite relieved right now seeing the results in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. In my voting district (Schwerin) they only ended up 4th and overall they might even stay below their result from the state elections. The only district I was worried about to fall to the AfD (Vorpommern-Greifswald) has the CDU 7,7% ahead. The turnout is 6,2% higher then 4 years ago and Die PARTEI has crushed it's state election result from last year and almost doubled their numbers.

[Bumaye]

It seems also Bautzen I. won by AfD candidate. The border region with Czech Republic is the stronghold for the Alternative.

 
  
I'm starting to see a pattern between AfD-strongholds and Crystal Meth users.  
  

[Bumaye]

Is a Jamaica coalition appearing most likely?

 
   
It is literally the only viable option.

[Bumaye]

MV is completely counted, here are the changes compared to the state election last year:  
  
CDU: 33,1% (+14,1%)  
AfD: 18,6% (-2,2%)  
Linke: 17,8% (+5,6%)  
SPD: 17,4% (-13,2%)  
FDP: 4,7% (+1,3%)  
Grüne: 3,6% (-1,2%)  
Animal Protection Party: 1,3% (+0,1%)  
NPD: 1,1% (-1,9%)  
Die PARTEI: 1,0% (+0,4%)