Approval rating of Brian Gallant is a bit over the map with some like Angus-Reid showing him sub 30 which would mean trouble, while others like CRA showing over 50% which would mean likely re-election.
I can't put a handle on this one this far out. Higgs definitely has the policy chops - he was very much a straight shooter as finance minister and didn't care who he pissed off. If elections were only fought on that, he'd win in a landslide. But he hasn't come across as an effective campaigner, even during the PC leadership race. Gallant is the exact opposite. He had (still has) no discernible policy beyond "do what it takes to get elected".
Maybe he should talk to Theresa May or David Peterson or anyone who worked with the late Jim Prentice. Each of them called early elections opportunisticly and all lost or did much worse than expected in the case of Theresa May who should have been able to beat hard left Jeremy Corbyn in a landslide but barely scraped by.
Any chance Brian Gallant is meeting with the lieutenant-governor to tender his resignation as Premier, as he steps aside for a more policy-oriented Liberal MLA as the Liberal poll numbers, still formidable, begin to falter? I'm thinking Kevin Rudd-Julia Gillard 2010, only voluntary and amicable.
