Alberta Municipal Elections: October 16, 2017

[DL]

How did Nenshi even get elected in a place like Calgary?

because of good old liberal divide and conquer. like 1992/96 clinton wins 3-way race where you have 2 conservative spliting votes.

Wrong wrong wrong. First of all Calgary has had a string of centrist mayors with big “L” Liberal pedigrees. Second of all when Nenshi was first elected mayor he was one of two centrist candidates against one rightwing candidate Ric McIver. The woman who was a local news anchor and whose name escapes me was actually seen as more progressive than Nenshi and was backed by a lot of union and ndp types

[DL]

At Nenshi HQ they are getting results called in from scrutineers and they have him ahead 68k to 58k

[DL]

The pollsters who are the most confident and cocky are usually the one's who are the worst and end up having to eat crow after election day.

That is sooo true. Remember Forum Research when they confidently predicted that the Liberal would win Brandon-Souris by 30 points???

[DL]

When it comes to insufferable pollsters, the one who takes the cake has to be John Wright at Ipsos during the 2014 Ontario election campaign. Their polls kept showing the PCs way ahead in contrast to everyone else and they were totally arrogant and condescending about how they HAD to be correct and everyone else was wrong...then the votes were counted and he whimpered away like a dog with its tail between its legs! 

[DL]

Lotuslander is not a pollster

[DL]

There is no comparison between Probe in Winnipeg in 2014 and Mainstreet in calgary in 2017. Probe’s Winnipeg poll was published three weeks before Election Day When Bowman’s campaign was just starting to gain momentum. Their poll was probably an accurate snapshot of where things stood over three weeks before the election. In Calgary Mainstreet did three polls the last of which was in field just three days before people voted.