Congressional Districts - 2016 ACS estimates.

[Brittain33]

12 North Carolina   849  Charlotte
4 North Carolina    847  Raleigh

Pretty impressive to have two Democratic vote sinks also be the two fastest-growing districts in the state. Although I suppose the NC Leg had the 2015 or 2014 data in hand when they redistricted based on 2010 Census data so it's not a coincidence.

[Brittain33]

Surprised AZ-7 is the fastest growing district in the state.

[Brittain33]

Is it possible that Illinois will only be required to have 2 BVAP majority districts? 

The question is more whether the Democratic legislature would draw a map going down from 3 to 2.

[Brittain33]

What district would be lost in Alabama?

Assume with Republican control you have to have:

1. VRA district in Birmingham, Selma, and Montgomery (AL-7)
2. Mobile-based district (AL-1)
3. Suburban Birmingham district (AL-6)
4. Huntsville-based district (AL-5)

1st district has to expand east into the 2nd district.
5th district has to expand south into the 4th district.

AL-3 and AL-4 have the most senior Republicans who also happen to be too young to retire. If driven by personalities and the same people are in office in 2020, I imagine Martha Roby loses her seat with some bits going to the 1st (rural south) and 7th (Montgomery) and the rest merging with the 3rd.

An alternative is to divide up the 4th with the 5th taking a big chunk, the 6th getting rid of rural counties south of Shelby and going west, and the 3rd taking up the populous east of the district.

[Brittain33]

Armory Houghton is still alive at age 91, so I guess carving up NY-23 is still forbidden.

[Brittain33]

The Census Bureau has recalculated the 2010 Census results for the 115th Congress (2017-2019) for Virgnia, Florida, North Carolina and Minnesota.

Did something not-so-nice happen in Minnesota?

What did they find?