Congressional Districts - 2016 ACS estimates. (user search)
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  Congressional Districts - 2016 ACS estimates. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Districts - 2016 ACS estimates.  (Read 5260 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: October 23, 2017, 10:48:41 PM »

New York

1 New York          0.972
2 New York          0.963
3 New York          1.003
4 New York          0.983
5 New York          1.136
6 New York          1.049
7 New York          1.070
8 New York          1.087
9 New York          1.016
10 New York         0.952
11 New York         1.009
12 New York         0.966
13 New York         1.176
14 New York         0.914
15 New York         1.081
16 New York         1.012
17 New York         1.028
18 New York         0.981
19 New York         0.928
20 New York         0.983
21 New York         0.958
22 New York         0.940
23 New York         0.940
24 New York         0.948
25 New York         0.978
26 New York         0.952
27 New York         0.976


With these numbers, its obvious Upstate will have to take the hit. The obvious district to cut is the 22nd, since it lacks a geographic base and is instead squished between those that do. It getting cut however probaby means a general resuffling upstate that will lock down most seats: Ithica to the 24th, Binghamton to the 23th, Rome/utica to 21st, etc.
An alternative interpretation is that NY-19 and NY-22 are merged, with the collective surplus shifted westward and southward. Kenney (New Hartford, near Utica) and Faso (Kinderhook) would be paired in a district that wraps around the southern edge of Albany.

See modified message, above.

A district that straddles the state like NY-19 usually has to change quite a bit.
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