NV-SEN: Does Heller win or lose primary?

[I’m not Stu]

What is Dean Heller's fate? Win primary, lose to Tarkanian, or retire?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Wins primary, loses General election.

[IceSpear]

Wins primary, loses General election.

[I’m not Stu]

Please move this thread to "Congressional Elections." I made a mistake on where to place the post.

[Badger]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He runs as a bona fide Trumpist who accuses Heller of not being subservient enough to King Donald.

[Badger]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He runs as a bona fide Trumpist who accuses Heller of not being subservient enough to King Donald.

Any reason not to assume that'll work with today's NV Republican primary voters? Serious question. Yeah, incumbency is a strong factor, and Heller IIRC hasn't crossed Trump either in statements or votes, but DT will have plenty of cash and is hardly an unknown quantity.

[IceSpear]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He's a gadfly perennial candidate. I doubt he has any ideological gripes with Heller.

[Badger]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He's a gadfly perennial candidate. I doubt he has any ideological gripes with Heller.

Well, that makes him sound like Harold Stassen, when in fairness he's come quite close in multiple races, including for Secretary of State and Congress, including being the GOP nominee 3 times.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He runs as a bona fide Trumpist who accuses Heller of not being subservient enough to King Donald.

Any reason not to assume that'll work with today's NV Republican primary voters? Serious question. Yeah, incumbency is a strong factor, and Heller IIRC hasn't crossed Trump either in statements or votes, but DT will have plenty of cash and is hardly an unknown quantity.

All recent polls show Heller trailing by 5-10 points. Not exactly Flake-like deficits but still not a great place for an uncontroversial incumbent to be a few months before the primary.
Tarkanian is a perennial candidate but last year he won his primary against a well-conected establishment candidate, not  that different from Heller, who was considered a prohibitive favorite and a recruiting coup by NRCC.

[Maxwell]

Narrowly wins the primary, loses the general.

[I’m not Stu]

Tarkanian narrowly wins the primary and loses to Jacky Rosen.

[NewYorkExpress]

Heller finally gets the message and retires. Sandoval jumps in, and he loses to Tarkanian.

[Joe Republic]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He's a gadfly perennial candidate. I doubt he has any ideological gripes with Heller.

Well, that makes him sound like Harold Stassen, when in fairness he's come quite close in multiple races, including for Secretary of State and Congress, including being the GOP nominee 3 times.

His father Jerry was the head coach for the UNLV basketball team for twenty successful years, and was a local icon.  The name still carries some weight, though at this point just with old people.  His son is doing his best to re-associate the name with failure.

At this point I think Republicans are just used to seeing his name on the ballot, and they like seeing things they're used to seeing.  It makes them feel safe.  Plus he surely appeals to the anti-establishment crowd; you can't really be considered part of the establishment if you, you know, never get elected to anything.

[Sir Mohamed]

I suppose he'll narrowly win.

[IceSpear]

Just curious. I don't know that much about DT, and his Wikipedia page talks about his many failed elections rather than his political views. What's the basis of his primary challenge? Is it from the right? (Of Heller??) Is it a Trumpist "anti-establishment" run? Is it just a parochial power struggle within the NV GOP and/or a power grab by Tarkinian?

He's a gadfly perennial candidate. I doubt he has any ideological gripes with Heller.

Well, that makes him sound like Harold Stassen, when in fairness he's come quite close in multiple races, including for Secretary of State and Congress, including being the GOP nominee 3 times.

It takes a lot of talent to have such a consistent losing streak that you can't even take advantage of your party's wave years in a swing state.

[MT Treasurer]

Heller is hilariously overrated, but I really doubt that he'll lose the primary.