Mister Mets
YaBB God
Posts: 4,440
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« on: October 05, 2017, 07:00:22 PM » |
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« edited: October 05, 2017, 07:02:35 PM by Mister Mets »
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It's possible but unlikely.
It's kind of like asking if anyone from the Dakotas or Nebraska will become President. It's possible, but so few people do end up becoming President.
There are a few potential scenarios.
1. A rising star explodes as a lower-level statewide officeholder, and gets elevated White House before becoming Governor or Senator. This could happen with increasing partisanship, if you have an AG who is instrumental in stopping Presidents. Prosecutors can often be involved in fights against national boogeymen.
2. Someone in lower office comes very close in a major statewide race and gains a lot of credibility. Imagine a one term Republican California Attorney General or Texas Attorney General who gets a lot of attention as a candidate for Senate/ Governor. Tom Dewey came pretty close to securing the Republican nomination for President back in 1940 on the strength of a close loss in the 1938 New York gubernatorial race. There's a bit of chatter about Jason Kander in this way.
3. Someone in lower office goes on to major celebrity. There are plenty of politicians who become major media figures (Jerry Springer, Joe Scarborough) and Trump showed that celebrity can help in presidential races. A TV show can make a former comptroller as well known as any Governor, while the stint as comptroller would provide an appearance of experience.
It would be especially helpful if there's a political environment in which one party took a major shellacking, so that there are less incumbent statewide officeholders for the former state treasurer to compete against.
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