Election Night 2056: The Fate of America
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Blackacre
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« on: October 05, 2017, 11:22:18 PM »
« edited: October 05, 2017, 11:29:59 PM by Spenstar »

So a little while back, in the random maps thread, I made a mini-timeline consisting of several posts detailing US Presidential elections. Everything from 2032 to 2052 and sorta beyond is there and accounted for, which you can check out over here. The big finale was going to be the 2056 election, but you know what? Why not make it more than just a post in an overcrowded thread? This is election night 2056! Pop in your favorite election night theme and let's get started!

6:45 PM EST

Good evening! I’m Taylor Weiss.

And I’m Ted Bessell! It’s 6:45 PM and you’re watching the Atlas News Network coverage of Election Night 2056! Thank you for tuning in, and happy Election Day!

Hope you’re enjoying your federal holiday, and don’t forget to submit your electronic ballot!

You have until your state’s poll closes to submit your vote! However, note that if you are waiting in line at your local library, they will let you in to vote, even if polls have already closed. So stay in line!

The first set of polls will close momentarily! We’re going to be keeping track of Presidential and Senatorial results throughout the night.

Taylor, tell them what the magic numbers are!

Certainly! President Derek Richardson and Governor Anna Byrd are both looking to get at least 278 electoral votes to win the Presidency. The Democratic and Republican parties are also vying for control of the Senate. They’ll need 53 seats to win control, or 52 seats plus the vice-presidency. The current balance of power in the Senate is 55 Republicans, 49 Democrats.


President Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Vice President Timothy Tang (R-WA): 0 EVs
Governor Anna Byrd (D-WV)/Rep. Dan Kushner (D-CA): 0 EVs
278 to win




Democrats: 37 Seats
Republicans: 32 Seats
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2017, 11:23:54 PM »

Excited for this!
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Blackacre
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2017, 11:33:33 PM »


Thanks! I have it like 95% written on google drive already, so you dont have to worry about me not finishing this one Wink

First update's coming in a couple minutes, after that it'll probably be a nightly thing
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Blackacre
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2017, 11:46:47 PM »

7:00 PM EST

Welcome back! We’ve just had poll closings in a number of states, and we have some results to report to you!

In the state of Georgia, a state that has voted Democratic more times than any other state in the union, we can project that Governor Anna Byrd has won. Governor Byrd has won the state of Georgia and its 19 electoral votes.

Similar news in Kentucky. Kentucky has voted Democratic in every Presidential election since 2024, often by large margins, mainly due to its prosperous and loyally Democratic Appalachian region. No surprise here, Governor Byrd has won this state and its 10 electoral votes.

Same story, different state! Puerto Rico has never voted Republican at the Presidential level since its admission to the union as a state in 2025. Tonight it continues that streak, awarding Governor Anna Byrd its 7 electoral votes. Similarly, Governor Byrd has won Vermont and its 3 electoral votes. The union’s second-smallest state hasn’t given a Republican its electoral votes since 1988, and President Richardson knew that wasn’t going to change tonight. Governor Byrd has won the state.

Speaking of President Richardson, the incumbent has something to celebrate at this hour, thanks to Indiana! The President is projected to win Indiana and its 12 electoral votes. No surprise in South Carolina either. The President’s homeland is the most Republican state on the East Coast, having only voted Democratic once since 1980. At risk of stating the obvious, President Richardson has won his home state of South Carolina and its 10 electoral votes.

Finally, Virginia is too close to call. Virginia has gone for the winner of the popular vote in every election but one since 2004. President Richardson is favored due to the continued rightward trend of the northern part of the state, but Governor Byrd is expected improve on past Democratic performance in the part of the state south of NoVa, so it’s anyone’s game. We repeat, Virginia right now is too close to call.


Governor Anna Byrd (D-WV)/Rep. Dan Kushner (D-CA): 39 EVs
President Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Vice President Timothy Tang (R-WA): 22 EVs
278 to win

We’re also looking at the Senate races of the evening. When this class was last up in 2050, in the 6th year of the Lopez administration, Republicans made massive gains. It’s now up to them to defend those gains.

It starts out strong for them in Virginia, where Senator Daniel Holt will win re-election. Holt did have a credible opponent, State Attorney General Virginia Greene, but my man “Leinad” quickly proved to be the superior campaigner, and tonight it looks like he will win a second term in the Senate.

On the Democratic side, we can project that Georgia Senator Scarlet Carter will win a third term. No surprise here, Georgia is a solidly Democratic state and has had two Democrats in the Senate since 2033, but we can officially project that Senator Carter will serve another six years in the Senate.

We can also project that Kentucky Senator Louis V. Thunderman will win a second term, and by a substantial margin to boot. This is the seat once held by Mitch McConnell, now held by basically the exact opposite. Just goes to show how far Kentucky has fallen.

Hey, show our viewers in Kentucky some respect! Anyway, there are two races that are too close to call. In South Carolina, longtime Republican Senator Shane Martin chose not to seek a sixth term. Republican Lt. Governor Thomas Sunrise and Democratic Congresswoman Amber Moonfall have been locked in battle for this seat, and right now all we can say is that it is too close to call. The other is in Puerto Rico. Juan Miranda was the first Republican to ever win a Senate seat in this solidly Democratic state, and now he fights for his political life against former Democratic Governor Roberto Mendoza. This race is also too close to call.


Democrats: 39 Seats
Republicans: 33 Seats

While we wait for more results to come in, let’s play a game with our viewers! Election Day is all about learning about the civics and rich political history of our great nation. So go to our website and ask us a question and we’ll give you an answer! It can be about any state, a Presidency, a region, an issue, an election, anything that’s happened in the last 40 years! The two of us and New York’s very own Senator Dettwyler will answer any questions you’ve got!

What can Dettwyler contribute to the conversation? He’s just a Dem hack, always has been, always will be. Plus he never used to finish his timelines on the Atlas forum.

Yeah, he’s annoying, but he’s good with dumb trivia, so he might be useful here for once in his life.

Oh dear god what have I signed onto...

(author's note: if you want to be represented in the Senate races here, just give me a shout, and let me know the state and party! I can't squeeze everyone in, in part because I already have several atlas references here, and it has to be for a Class 2 Senate seat)
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Blackacre
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2017, 12:55:16 PM »

One of the posts I linked you guys to in the OP contains the Class 2 Senate map going into this election, but I figured I may as well also share the current map of Senate control.

Senate map pre-2056:


Green means the state has a single Senator from each party. Red is two Democrats, blue is two Republicans, I double-checked to make sure this would be 55 Republicans and 49 Democrats, though my internal math (about which senate seats changed hands each year from 2017 until this point) is off. So some of the Senatorial sections of those election recaps in posts in the OP should be taken with a grain of salt.

Also, DC and Puerto Rico were given statehood, and they each have a Class 1 and Class 2 Senator.

Normal update is coming tonight!
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2017, 06:13:10 PM »

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Blackacre
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2017, 08:19:32 PM »

7:30 PM EST

Oooooooh, new poll closings!

We know, Zombie.

Let us do our jobs in peace, Senator. Please.

No. You invited me here, now suffer the consequences!

Anyway, we have poll closings in three more states. Let’s take a look at some projections!

Let’s start with a critical swing state, North Carolina! Home of longtime Democratic Senate leader Moises Serrano. It’s also a critical battleground state, and the projection we have right now is that it’s too early to call. That says nothing about the closeness of the race, just that we do not have enough information to make any kind of projection.

However, we can’t say the same for the state’s Senate race! Outgoing Governor Emily McCarthy will handily defeat embattled incumbent Josh Jones Abrams, making this the first Democratic pickup of the night!

Woohoo! Go Peebs!

I know the polling said that McCarthy was favored to win this race, but I wasn’t expecting it to be called so soon! If this is a harbinger of things to come, I think I’m going to need a drink...

Not on camera! Why don’t you talk about West Virginia next?

Ah, yes. It’s Governor Byrd’s home state and a longtime Democratic stronghold, so shocker, she will win the state’s 8 electoral votes. Also, Senator Cynthia Toothman will win a third term, defeating former Secretary of Homeland Security Chad Dimple. Again, I didn’t expect this race to be called so early given how strong the challenger was. Justice Riley Keaton is probably sad right now.

Credible challenger or no, this is West Virginia. They’d vote Satan (D) over Jesus (R).

That leaves Ohio! Possibly THE most solidly Democratic state in the union, and despite Republicans chasing after it like fool’s gold, it’s safely in the Byrd camp tonight! Hey, remember when Donald Trump won Ohio by like 7 points, and everyone was saying that the GOP had a lock on the Buckeye state, and no Republican’s come close to winning it since? Isn’t that amazing?

....

...just show the damn maps. The brighter colors indicate a pickup.


Governor Anna Byrd (D-WV)/Rep. Dan Kushner (D-CA): 64 EVs
President Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Vice President Timothy Tang (R-WA): 22 EVs
278 to win


Democrats: 41 Seats
Republicans: 33 Seats
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2017, 08:31:46 PM »

However, we can’t say the same for the state’s Senate race! Outgoing Governor Emily McCarthy will handily defeat embattled incumbent Josh Jones Abrams, making this the first Democratic pickup of the night!

Woohoo! Go Peebs!
Peb!
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2017, 03:18:26 AM »

I better be a Senator from Maine.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2017, 03:39:17 AM »

So, in this alignment, is the GOP more socially liberal, globalist, and less anti-Government (I'd guess so, given the way the map looks)? How are the Swampburbs voting (VA has 2 GOP Senators, so they can't be too D). I can see RINO Tom being one of the IL Senators LOL.
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Don Vito Corleone
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2017, 04:32:02 AM »

I better be a Senator from Maine New York.
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2017, 09:11:58 AM »

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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #12 on: October 07, 2017, 09:15:01 AM »

Can Israeli Foreign Minister Tom Parrotstein congratulate the winner thx Tongue
Also, this is awesome (and amusing)!
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2017, 10:42:54 AM »

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Blackacre
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« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2017, 10:47:58 AM »

So, in this alignment, is the GOP more socially liberal, globalist, and less anti-Government (I'd guess so, given the way the map looks)?

You've hit the nail on the head! The GOP is sort of a technocratic center-right party these days. They still sort of have an evangelical wing, but overall the party's not even close to the social conservatism it had in the Bush-Trump era. President Richardson is no Mike Pence. Meanwhile, the Democrats have slowly but surely gotten more economically populist, culminating in the candidacy of Anna Byrd.

Quote
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President Richardson only lost the DC suburbs overall by 1 point, 48-49, four years ago. This time around, polling indicates that he might actually win the DC suburbs, a first for the GOP in a long, long time. Either way, the DC suburbs aren't won by nearly the kinds of margins as they were in elections past, which allows the rest of their states to control the political landscape. Maryland is Democratic because of its Baltimore metro area, Virginia was Republican four years ago because the state's southern region voted so heavily Republican.

Also, yeah, Thomas Rhinoceros is an excellent fit for the state of Illinois. He's played an instrumental role over the years in helping the state transition politically from a solid Democratic state into a likely Republican one.

Can Israeli Foreign Minister Tom Parrotstein congratulate the winner thx Tongue
Also, this is awesome (and amusing)!

I can oblige these requests, no problem! Sadly I doubt I'll have the opportunity to reference New York's other Senator or Florida's delegation because neither state has a Class 2 Senator, and well, Maine doesn't have any Democratic Senators to speak of Tongue
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Kamala
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2017, 10:56:14 AM »

I see SD is open. Wink wink
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Blackacre
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2017, 10:59:39 AM »


Am I calling you Kamala Commiela? Or something else? Your call!
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2017, 11:00:57 AM »

I meant to ask this when you were fleshing it out, but do you have rough population estimates for each state circa 2050? No Senate requests here. Wink
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Kamala
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2017, 11:03:45 AM »


Am I calling you Kamala Commiela? Or something else? Your call!

Kamala Sawant.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2017, 12:07:48 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2017, 12:16:33 PM by Spenstar »

I meant to ask this when you were fleshing it out, but do you have rough population estimates for each state circa 2050? No Senate requests here. Wink

Sadly no, all I have is their population relative to other states, as you can see in the electoral map. If anyone wants to take the electoral map data and extrapolate state populations as of the 2050 census, that would be awesome!

Edit: I can say that the four smallest states are Rhode Island, Vermont, North Dakota, and New Columbia (aka DC) in that order,


You got it!
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2017, 12:30:41 PM »

So, in this alignment, is the GOP more socially liberal, globalist, and less anti-Government (I'd guess so, given the way the map looks)?

You've hit the nail on the head! The GOP is sort of a technocratic center-right party these days. They still sort of have an evangelical wing, but overall the party's not even close to the social conservatism it had in the Bush-Trump era. President Richardson is no Mike Pence. Meanwhile, the Democrats have slowly but surely gotten more economically populist, culminating in the candidacy of Anna Byrd.

Quote
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President Richardson only lost the DC suburbs overall by 1 point, 48-49, four years ago. This time around, polling indicates that he might actually win the DC suburbs, a first for the GOP in a long, long time. Either way, the DC suburbs aren't won by nearly the kinds of margins as they were in elections past, which allows the rest of their states to control the political landscape. Maryland is Democratic because of its Baltimore metro area, Virginia was Republican four years ago because the state's southern region voted so heavily Republican.

Also, yeah, Thomas Rhinoceros is an excellent fit for the state of Illinois. He's played an instrumental role over the years in helping the state transition politically from a solid Democratic state into a likely Republican one.

Can Israeli Foreign Minister Tom Parrotstein congratulate the winner thx Tongue
Also, this is awesome (and amusing)!

I can oblige these requests, no problem! Sadly I doubt I'll have the opportunity to reference New York's other Senator or Florida's delegation because neither state has a Class 2 Senator, and well, Maine doesn't have any Democratic Senators to speak of Tongue
I'll be a socialist RINO if that's okay.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2017, 01:03:01 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2017, 01:05:43 PM by Spenstar »

So, in this alignment, is the GOP more socially liberal, globalist, and less anti-Government (I'd guess so, given the way the map looks)?

You've hit the nail on the head! The GOP is sort of a technocratic center-right party these days. They still sort of have an evangelical wing, but overall the party's not even close to the social conservatism it had in the Bush-Trump era. President Richardson is no Mike Pence. Meanwhile, the Democrats have slowly but surely gotten more economically populist, culminating in the candidacy of Anna Byrd.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

President Richardson only lost the DC suburbs overall by 1 point, 48-49, four years ago. This time around, polling indicates that he might actually win the DC suburbs, a first for the GOP in a long, long time. Either way, the DC suburbs aren't won by nearly the kinds of margins as they were in elections past, which allows the rest of their states to control the political landscape. Maryland is Democratic because of its Baltimore metro area, Virginia was Republican four years ago because the state's southern region voted so heavily Republican.

Also, yeah, Thomas Rhinoceros is an excellent fit for the state of Illinois. He's played an instrumental role over the years in helping the state transition politically from a solid Democratic state into a likely Republican one.

Can Israeli Foreign Minister Tom Parrotstein congratulate the winner thx Tongue
Also, this is awesome (and amusing)!

I can oblige these requests, no problem! Sadly I doubt I'll have the opportunity to reference New York's other Senator or Florida's delegation because neither state has a Class 2 Senator, and well, Maine doesn't have any Democratic Senators to speak of Tongue
I'll be a socialist RINO if that's okay.

Works for me. New England can be... idiosyncratic, so it works! I'll just need a name to work with!

edit: alternatively, I can reference you as the state's popular Governor
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2017, 02:48:16 PM »

Rough population per state, calculated through some crazy-ass math that I will explain if asked.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2017, 06:09:21 PM »

So, in this alignment, is the GOP more socially liberal, globalist, and less anti-Government (I'd guess so, given the way the map looks)?

You've hit the nail on the head! The GOP is sort of a technocratic center-right party these days. They still sort of have an evangelical wing, but overall the party's not even close to the social conservatism it had in the Bush-Trump era. President Richardson is no Mike Pence. Meanwhile, the Democrats have slowly but surely gotten more economically populist, culminating in the candidacy of Anna Byrd.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

President Richardson only lost the DC suburbs overall by 1 point, 48-49, four years ago. This time around, polling indicates that he might actually win the DC suburbs, a first for the GOP in a long, long time. Either way, the DC suburbs aren't won by nearly the kinds of margins as they were in elections past, which allows the rest of their states to control the political landscape. Maryland is Democratic because of its Baltimore metro area, Virginia was Republican four years ago because the state's southern region voted so heavily Republican.

Also, yeah, Thomas Rhinoceros is an excellent fit for the state of Illinois. He's played an instrumental role over the years in helping the state transition politically from a solid Democratic state into a likely Republican one.

Can Israeli Foreign Minister Tom Parrotstein congratulate the winner thx Tongue
Also, this is awesome (and amusing)!

I can oblige these requests, no problem! Sadly I doubt I'll have the opportunity to reference New York's other Senator or Florida's delegation because neither state has a Class 2 Senator, and well, Maine doesn't have any Democratic Senators to speak of Tongue
I'll be a socialist RINO if that's okay.

Works for me. New England can be... idiosyncratic, so it works! I'll just need a name to work with!

edit: alternatively, I can reference you as the state's popular Governor
Governor sounds good. I'd like to be known as "the MAINEiac", a nickname almost as frequently used as my real name, which would be something Italian.
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Kamala
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« Reply #24 on: October 07, 2017, 06:11:19 PM »

Governor sounds good. I'd like to be known as "the MAINEiac", a nickname almost as frequently used as my real name, which would be something Italian.

Il Maineäco.
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