More likely: Newsom doesn't make CA-GOV runoff or Jones beats Moore in AL-SEN?

[I’m not Stu]

Zoltan Istvan making it into the run-off is more likely than Jones beating Moore.

That must mean a Chiang-Crisell or Villaraigosa-Agbede runoff is more likely than Jones winning.

Me winning the Powerball then getting struck by lightning immediately after is more likely than Jones winning.

You mean even a R vs. R runoff in a California US Senate race between Sanford Kahn and Steve Jones (who both live in the same House district!) due to Democrats running 3 times as many candidates in a jungle primary is more likely than Doug Jones beating Roy Moore?