Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 33,080
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2017, 02:16:58 PM » |
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1968: Humphrey 1972: Nixon 1976: Carter 1980: Reagan 1984: Reagan 1988: Dukakis
Before 1980, the North was very much a coalition of evangelicals, farmers, environmentalists, liberals and anti-war/New Age activists.
Then Reagan's Super Southern Strategy [because Nixon's didn't do it, otherwise McGovern wouldn't have done better than Carter or Mondale] dismantled the conservative elements. At the same time, the religious turn eroded away the upper-crust coastal areas in SoCal.
Dukakis picked up on the movement and nearly won based on coastal counties alone. Just one more county would've done it.
You've got Alameda/San Francisco as your consistently D Massachusetts/Rhode Island-esque area, Plumas as your Georgia..except without a significant black population, Alpine as your Eastern Tennessee, Marin as your Maine or Vermont. And Sacramento as New York pretty much.
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