Gerrymandering project 2020 reapportionment
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Strudelcutie4427
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« on: October 09, 2017, 04:49:28 PM »
« edited: October 09, 2017, 05:24:33 PM by Singletxguyforfun »

So my political science class decided to do a project on DRA to see what kind of things we could come up with for each state. I've done every state besides the 1 district ones and California since it crashes my computer. It isnt due until December but I figured I'd post my work here and see what you all think. All ratings are based off the 2008 PVI but if you have any guesses as to what they would've been in 2016 that would be great! Any feed back is welcome and I'm very open to your opinions and recommendations! That said, here we go:

Alabama is projected to lose a district
District 1: Gulf Coast R+15
District 2: SE Alabama R+13
District 3: Birmingham Suburbs, East Central R+23
District 4: NE Alabama R+29
District 5: NW Alabama, Huntsville R+17
District 6: West Alabama to Montgomery D+9


Arkansas will keep its 4 districts
District 1: NE Arkansas R+15
District 2: Little Rock Area R+8
District 3: Rural Southern Half of the State R+15
District 4: Fayetteville, NW corner R+19


Arizona will probably gain 1 district
District 1: Northern Half R+8
District 2: SE Corner, Tucson Suburbs R+9
District 3: Tucson, Santa Cruz D+6
District 4: Yuma, Western Phoenix exurbs R+17
District 5: Surprise, Goodyear R+9
District 6: Glendale, W Scottsdale R+10
District 7: Phoenix D+13
District 8: Scottsdale, NE Maricopa R+12
District 9: Chandler, Pinal County R+15
District 10: Tempe, Mesa R+7


Colorado is expected to gain 1 Seat
District 1: Denver D+23
District 2: Lakewood, Centennial R+6
District 3: Boulder, Fort Collins D+10
District 4: Eastern Plains, Greeley, Pueblo R+9
District 5: Colorado Springs R+13
District 6: Aurora, Englewood D+2
District 7: Broomfield, Arvada, Thornton D+4
District 8: Western Slope, Grand Juntion R+5


Connecticut will retain its 5 districts
District 1: Hartford, Enfield, Glastonbury D+15
District 2: Eastern 4 Counties D+7 (D+1 in 2016)
District 3: Most of New Haven County D+9
District 4: Stamford, Bridgeport, Greenwich D+8
District 5: Waterbury, Bristol, Danbury, Litchfield County D+1


Florida is expected to gain 2 seats bringing it up to 29
District 1: Pensacola, Santa Rosa R+20
District 2: Panama City, Tallahassee R+7
District 3: Big Bend, Gainesville R+8
District 4: Jacksonville, Southern Jax Suburbs R+11
District 5: Jacksonville, Northern Jax Suburbs R+10
District 6: Daytona Beach, Flagler Beach R+2
District 7: Ocala, The Villages (Florida's Friendliest Home Town) R+10
District 8: Seminole County, NW Orange County R+3
District 9: Orlando D+8
District 10: Disney World, Kissimmee, Osceola County D+6
District 11: Citrus, Sumner, Hernando County, North Tampa Suburbs R+9
District 12: Pasco County, N. Pinellas, N. Hillsborough R+4
District 13: Tampa D+9
District 14: St. Petersburg D+3
District 15: Polk County, NE Hillsborough R+8
District 16: Bradenton, S Hillsborough, inland to Highlands County R+10
District 17: Sarasota, Fort Myers, Port Charlotte R+4
District 18: Cape Coral area R+9
District 19: Cape Canaveral, Titusville, Vero Beach R+9
District 20: Port St. Lucie, Jupiter, Inland areas south of Lake O R+4
District 21: Palm Beach Gardens, West Palm Beach, Palm Beach D+8
District 22: Boynton Beach, Boca Raton D+10
District 23: Pompano Beach, Coral Springs D+13
District 24: Fort Lauderdale D+16
District 25: Plantation, Davie D+21
District 26: Hollywood, North Miami Beach D+17
District 27: Hialeah, Inland Broward County R+11
District 28: Miami R+3
District 29: Florida Keys, Marco Island, Homestead R+7
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2017, 05:21:48 PM »

1. Pop distribution ain't the same as in 2010. In order to get a reasonable projection, you need to do some math with census numbers and calculate the growth of each county and project it forward. I should know, I did some. Here are two Colorado's - one if non-partisan, one if dems get full control which is very likely.





2. According to RI, DRA will soon have 2012-16 data on it. even if you don't want to do the above (its hard) you could wait for that. Currently, I have only seen GA with data.

3. If you are doing 2020 maps try to assume who has control. Alabama for example would obviously be under republican domination, while Arizona would be nonpartisan. Pennsylvania, another example, has a high chance of spit control with a Democratic upper hand, while Virginia could be anything from a Republican upper hand to a Democratic Trifecta. Hence why I did two CO maps. I think I did like 4 PA maps or something like that.

An addition to the above - assume lack of change in the event of similar control to 2010. Hence why your Connecticut map makes little sense. 

Also, why do people keep complaining about CA? I got my computer to open two instances of it, and my laptop 1, and both are over 3 years old (desktop close to 5). 
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2017, 05:35:16 PM »

1. Pop distribution ain't the same as in 2010. In order to get a reasonable projection, you need to do some math with census numbers and calculate the growth of each county and project it forward. I should know, I did some. Here are two Colorado's - one if non-partisan, one if dems get full control which is very likely.





2. According to RI, DRA will soon have 2012-16 data on it. even if you don't want to do the above (its hard) you could wait for that. Currently, I have only seen GA with data.

3. If you are doing 2020 maps try to assume who has control. Alabama for example would obviously be under republican domination, while Arizona would be nonpartisan. Pennsylvania, another example, has a high chance of spit control with a Democratic upper hand, while Virginia could be anything from a Republican upper hand to a Democratic Trifecta. Hence why I did two CO maps. I think I did like 4 PA maps or something like that.

An addition to the above - assume lack of change in the event of similar control to 2010. Hence why your Connecticut map makes little sense. 

Also, why do people keep complaining about CA? I got my computer to open two instances of it, and my laptop 1, and both are over 3 years old (desktop close to 5). 

True. Yeah it would be very time consuming to try to break down the growth of all 3100 counties in the country hahah. I think I might just wait for DRA to update to a more recent election and population estimates. And I always forget the whole partisan control thing, for some I did, but others I just tried making blocky compact districts. Can't wait for the new data to come out on DRA though, I've been fiddling around with the 08 numbers for a while. It's be nice to see the changes a few cycles made. And with California, I've got it to work a few times (my laptop is 5 years old and handles it better than my school library computers) But it usually slows down to a snails pace of one precinct per 4 seconds by the time i get down towards Los Angeles, I can usually get the north, Valley, and Bay Area fine though
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muon2
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2017, 11:39:43 PM »

If you are using whole counties or nearly whole counties (which seems to be the case) then there are some things you can do to improve the accuracy of your project. First is to get the updated county populations from the estimates on census.gov. If you have a spreadsheet you can project the 2016 estimates on either a linear or compounding basis to what the county populations will be in each state in 2020. It's pretty simple once you set up one state to do all 50. I do that when ever I post a projected map on this site.

Now you can use DRA to draw districts but ignore their population totals and just use your spreadsheet. If a county is split you can count the splits as the weighted fraction of the 2010 numbers. For example, if the county is split wit 10% in one district and 90% in the other to get 2020 numbers to work out correctly, just take 10% of the 2010 population of the county in DRA. If you have the time you can get fancy and use city population estimates to guide county splits.

Finally for CDs that are mostly whole counties you can take the 2012 and 2016 votes for the two major parties and directly calculate the PVI. If the county fragments are less than 5% of the total CD population the PVI will still be accurate even if you just assume whole counties.

If DRA acts as it did 10 years ago, it will start putting out estimated data in 2019, but that's too late for your project. Follow my suggestions and you'll be much closer to what the future numbers will be.
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2017, 07:44:24 AM »

Are you taking into account the VRA? I am not sure your Alabama map is VRA compliant.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2017, 08:03:47 AM »

Are you taking into account the VRA? I am not sure your Alabama map is VRA compliant.

Similarly with the Florida map you just posted. Florida has more stringent VRA restrictions (state law), requiring VRA access seats even if 50% +1 is not achievable. Its why the 5th and the 20th right now need to exist (though the 20th will probably be VRA mandated come 2020).

Also its common courtesy here singletxguy to do zoom in pics of Urban areas so that we actually know whats going on there. I can barely tell whats happening in Miami. The only reason I didn't do a Denver zoom in is that those are old pics.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2017, 10:28:32 AM »

Are you taking into account the VRA? I am not sure your Alabama map is VRA compliant.
FL was a bit hard since i dont know how many im supposed to have minus the 3 cuban ones and the 2 in the orlando area. Alabama I pretty much tried to recreate the current 7th VRA black district into the 6th, which is the reason behind that arm up to Birmingham. How do you decide how many VRA districts each state is supposed to have?
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Torie
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2017, 11:38:13 AM »

Are you taking into account the VRA? I am not sure your Alabama map is VRA compliant.
FL was a bit hard since i dont know how many im supposed to have minus the 3 cuban ones and the 2 in the orlando area. Alabama I pretty much tried to recreate the current 7th VRA black district into the 6th, which is the reason behind that arm up to Birmingham. How do you decide how many VRA districts each state is supposed to have?

The law is not crystal clear.  But what is clear is that if there is a contiguous minority area (one minority), as to which a 50% minority CVAP CD can be drawn, then it must be drawn.  The one exception to this is MD, where 3 such black CD's can be drawn, but only 2 need to be drawn since that gets blacks up to 25% of the delegation, which comports with their percentage of the MD population. In Alabama, it is fuzzy, because the black population in Birmingham is not contiguous to the black rural population zone, but it is pretty close (with rural versus urban also being an issue). But if a black CD were not drawn, there would almost certainly be litigation over the issue.  
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2017, 02:45:42 PM »

Cool. Looking forward to seeing what you come up with for Georgia and North Carolina.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2017, 04:41:48 PM »

Cool. Looking forward to seeing what you come up with for Georgia and North Carolina.

I'll try getting the next few up when I get home. But here's Georgia. My NC is actually very fair and not goofy looking in anyway lol (DRA recently added up to date PVIs so this data is probably inaccurate)


1. Coastal Georgia and SE R+15
2. Columbus and SW R+3
3. Western Atlanta Metro to the AL border R+17
4. Southern Cobb, Central Fulton, SW Dekalb D+23
5. Atlanta, Jackson County D+20
6. Northern Fulton, North Atlanta suburbs R+21
7. Most of Gwinnett R+10
8. Savanna to Southern Augusta metro R+9
9. NE Georgia, Appalachia R+21
10. Macon, Warner Robins, Central GA R+9
11. Most of Cobb R+12
12. Augusta, Martinez, towards Atlanta R+9
13. Most of Dekalb county D+15
14. NW Georgia R+27


1. Urban Honolulu Area D+17
2. Rural Oahu, all of the other islands D+21


1. Boise and the SW R+14
2. East and the stovepipe/panhandle R+19


Chicago Area
1. Southern Cook County D+17
2. South side of Chicago D+40
3. Berwyn, Brookfield D+24
4. Cicero, Downtown D+32
5. North side of Chicago D+28
6. Des Plains, Ohare Airport area D+11
7. Northern Cook County "The Home Alone District" D+6
8. Schaumburg, Elgin EVEN
9. Naperville, Aurora D+5


10. Lake County D+6
11. Joliet, Kankakee, a few rural counties R+1
12. Peoria, northern Springfield suburbs R+4
13. Rockford east to Lake County line Even
14. Rock Island, the NW D+3
15. Quincy, Springfield, northern St. Louis suburbs R+3
16. East St. Louis, Southernmost Illinois R+2
17. Rural SE Illinois R+5
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2017, 05:10:50 PM »

GA requires 4 BVAP 50% +1 seats.

ID 2nd is not connected by a road between the Panhandle and the South-East. We have had discussions here previously on this topic.

IL requires 2-3 BVAP seats and 1 HVAP seat (why the ear-muffs of the 4th exist). Its 2-3 because it currently requires 3, but may ax down to 2 depending on pop amounts, and what Madigan and the incumbents agree on.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2017, 05:18:14 PM »

GA requires 4 BVAP 50% +1 seats.

ID 2nd is not connected by a road between the Panhandle and the South-East. We have had discussions here previously on this topic.

IL requires 2-3 BVAP seats and 1 HVAP seat (why the ear-muffs of the 4th exist). Its 2-3 because it currently requires 3, but may ax down to 2 depending on pop amounts, and what Madigan and the incumbents agree on.

There's really no road connecting the two? Damn. I was just trying to go for a Boise centric one and not a 500 mile tall string. And I forgot to take down the demographics for the Illinois ones. I'm just kinda New at all this and I always had a bit of trouble with the vra requirements vs racial gerrymandering like the old NC-1
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muon2
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2017, 05:28:31 PM »


Chicago Area
1. South Cook  D+17
2. Chicago - South Side D+40
3. West Cook D+24
4. Chicago - Near South and West Sides D+32
5. Evanston, Chicago - North Side D+28
6. O'Hare are, Chicago Northwest Side D+11
7. North and Northwest Cook D+6
8. DuPage, Kane EVEN
9. Naperville, Aurora D+5


10. Lake County D+6
11. Joliet, Kankakee, a few rural counties R+1
12. Peoria, northern Springfield suburbs R+4
13. Rockford east to Lake County line Even
14. Rock Island, the NW D+3
15. Quincy, Springfield, northern St. Louis suburbs R+3
16. East St. Louis, Southernmost Illinois R+2
17. Rural SE Illinois R+5

Your PVI numbers aren't going to be very accurate if they are based on 2008. Obama was a popular home state Senator and he probably overperformed in every area of the state by up to 5%.

In Chicago there has to be at least one CD with a Hisp VAP of 60% or more by court order, which I don't see. There should be at least two CDs with a Black VAP of 50%.

I think the names in Chicagoland aren't quite matching the districts either, I've edited them assuming the standard DRA colors.

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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2017, 07:45:35 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2017, 09:28:16 PM by Singletxguyforfun »


1. East Chicago, Gary, Lakeshore D+10
2. South Bend, Notre Dame, North Central R+4
3. Fort Wayne, NE Indiana R+10
4. NW Indy Suburbs, West Central R+9
5. Eastern Indy Suburbs, East Central R+6
6. Indianapolis D+15
7. Southern and Western Indy Suburbs to Terre Haute R+9
8. Evansville and the SW R+7
9. Bloomington, Columbus, and the SE R+6


This one I was easily able to calculate the 2016 PVI
1. Cedar Rapids, Dubuque, NE Iowa R+3
2. Iowa City, Davenport, SE Iowa R+3
3. Des Moines, SW Iowa R+3
4. Ames, Sioux City, NW Iowa R+14


1. Rural Northern and Western Kansas R+23
2. Topeka, Lawrence, Eastern Kansas R+8
3. Kansas City Area R+3
4. Wichita Area and South Central Kansas R+13


1. Western Kentucky R+13
2. Bowling Green, Southern Louisville Suburbs R+20
3. Louisville D+3
4. Eastern Louisville Suburbs, Southern Cincinnati Suburbs, North of Lexington R+15
5. Greater Lexington Area R+11
6. Coal Country R+18


1. Slidell, St. Tammany to Baton Rouge R+23
2. New Orleans to Baton Rouge D+10
3. Metairie, Mississippi Delta, Houma R+18
4. Lake Charles, Intracoastal City R+19
5. Central Louisiana R+15
6. Shreveport, Northern Louisiana R+12


Another one I was able to get the 2016 PVI for (Estimate Based on Kennebec Split, but makes sense due to Maine being right at the national average last year)
1. Portland, Augusta, York, South Coastal Maine D+6
2. Waterville, Bangor, Lewiston. Northern Maine R+6


1. Eastern Shore, Northen Baltimore Exurbs R+12
2. Baltimore Suburbs, Most of Baltimore County D+5
3. City of Baltimore, some SW suburbs D+28
4. Northern DC suburbs, College Park, Silver Springs D+30
5. Eastern DC Suburbs and Southern Counties D+22
6. Western Panhandle to Caroll and West Howard R+11
7. Annapolis, Laurel, Anne Arundel County D+1
8. Bethesda, Montgomery County D+17


1. Berkshires, Springfield, Amherst D+16
2. Worcester, Fitchburg, Gardner D+3
3. Lowell, Billerica, Lexington. Route 2 Corridor D+5
4. Framingham, Foxboro, Marlboro D+4
5. Inner Boston Suburbs. Newton, Cambridge, Somerville D+22
6. Essex County minus Lynnfield D+7
7. Boston, Quincy, Milton, and Randolph (probably majority minority) D+23
8. Bristol County, Brockton D+8
9. Cape and Islands, Plymouth County, Eastern Norfolk D+1


1. Upper Peninsula and Northern LP. Grand Traverse, Alpena R+4
2. Grand Rapids Suburbs, Muskeogan R+6
3. Grand Rapids, Eastern Suburbs, West Lansing R+3
4. Bay City, Saginaw, Central LP EVEN
5. Flint to Lansing D+10
6. Kalamazoo, St Joseph, SW Michigan EVEN
7. SE Michigan, Southern Detroit Suburbs R+2
8. Livingston County, North and West Oakland County R+4
9. Grosse Pointe, SW Macomb, SE Oakland R+1
10. The Thumb R+5
11. Central Oakland County, NW Wayne County D+8
12. Detroit and Hamtramck D+34
13. Ann Arbor Western Detroit D+18


1. Rural parts of the South and West R+5
2. Dakota County, Rochester, the SE R+1
3. Western suburbs of Minneapolis R+7
4. St. Paul and Eastern Suburbs D+9
5. Minneapolis and Inner Metro D+18
6. Northern Suburbs R+9
7. The far North. Duluth, Fargo suburbs D+2


1. Tupelo, Memphis suburbs, North Mississippi R+14
2. Jackson, Yazoo, Delta Region D+9
3. Meridian, Kosciuszko, East Mississippi R+13
4. Biloxi, Gulfport, Pascagoula, Laurel R+22


1. St Louis and NW Inner Suburbs D+27
2. SW St Louis Suburbs to Washington and Pacific R+6
3. O'Fallon, Columbia, North St Louis exurbs R+7
4. Northern Rural Missouri R+8
5. Kansas City Metro D+7
6. Central Missouri, Southern KC Suburbs R+16
7. Springfield, Joplin R+17
8. SE Missouri, Cape Girardeau, New Madrid R+13


1. Lincoln, SE Nebraska R+10
2. Sarpy County, Most of Douglas R+7
3. NE Omaha, North Platte, Most of the State R+18


1. Henderson, South and East Vegas Metro D+8
2. Reno, Carson City, Elko, North Nevada R+4
3. Exurban Clark County, Pahrump, Area 51 (lol) R+3
4. North Las Vegas, Northern parts of Vegas Proper D+11


I also calculated these for 2016 based off town data
1. Manchester, Nashua, Portsmouth R+3
2. Keene, Concord, Laconia, West and North NH D+2


1. Camden D+11
2. Cape May, Atlantic City, Salem D+2
3. Ocean and Burlington Counties R+3
4. Northen Ocean County and Monmouth R+8
5. Northern Mountains, Paterson suburbs R+9
6. Bergen County, part of Paterson D+3
7. Hoboken, Jersey City D+19
8. Edison, New Brunswick D+5
9. Clifton, Montclair, Paterson D+17
10. Newark Area D+22
11. Morristown, Flemmington R+4
12. Trenton, Princeton D+13


Since I kept the Counties whole, it was easy to calculate the 2016 results
1. Albuquerque D+7
2. Southern and Eastern NM, Roswell, Las Cruces, Carlsbad R+7
3. NW NM, Farmington, Santa Fe, Los Alamos D+7


Suffolk and Nassau
1. Eastern 1/2 of Long Island R+1
2. Western Suffolk County EVEN
3. Northern Nassau D+1
4. Southern Nassau plus the Rockaway Peninsula EVEN


5. Northeast Queens D+17
6. Southern Queens, JFK Airport D+28
7. NW Queens adjacent to Manhattan and part of Brooklyn D+27
8. SE Brooklyn D+42
9. Southern Brooklyn containing most Jewish neighborhoods R+1
10. Western Brooklyn and Southern Manhattan D+36
11. Staten Island and SW Brooklyn R+4
12. Midtown New York, Central Park, East Side D+29
13. West Side, Harlem D+38
14. Southern Bronx, Yankee Stadium D+41
15. Northern and Eastern Bronx D+28
16. Majority of Westchester County, Yonkers, Hillary's House D+8


17. Rockland, Putnam, Western Orange, Southern Dutchess Counties R+1
18. Sullivan County up to Binghamton R+1
19. Schenectady, Saratoga, Troy R+2
20. Albany to Poughkeepsie D+7
21. Adirondack Park, Watertown, Lake Placid R+2
22. Syracuse, Oswego D+3
23. Monroe County perfectly becomes its own district D+5
24. Ithaca, Finger Lakes R+4
25. Buffalo Suburbs, Niagara Falls R+8
26. Buffalo D+9

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Torie
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« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2017, 11:56:28 AM »

The VRA drives the shape of CD's in NYC. I suspect you are missing one black, and one Hispanic, CD.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2017, 11:59:47 AM »

The VRA drives the shape of CD's in NYC. I suspect you are missing one black, and one Hispanic, CD.

Plus the Asia access 6th which doesn't need to exist, but once its been created, its going to be hard to destroy.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2017, 07:16:23 PM »

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2017, 08:40:56 PM »


Broken image.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #18 on: October 11, 2017, 09:48:49 PM »


1. Durham, Chapel Hill, Raleigh D+19
2. Inner Banks, Rocky Mount, Wilson D+2
3. Outer Banks R+8
4. Suburban Raleigh R+2
5. Outside the Triangle to Burlington and Greensboro R+3
6. Greensboro and Charlotte to Fayetteville R+7
7. Wilmington, Sneads Ferry R+6
8. Fayetteville and Southern/Eastern Raleigh Suburbs R+6
9. Fayetteville to Charlotte along the SC Border R+7
10. Winston-Salem, Salisbury R+13
11. Winston-Salem and Northern Appalachians R+11
12. Charlotte D+15
13. Gastonia, Hickory, The Piedmont R+16
14. Asheville and the Southern Appalachians R+7

Skipped Ohio. Planned to have it here but it's frozen on me right as i was about to finish twice now

I'll get the rest up tomorrow or Friday, just have to write a long paper tonight
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2017, 12:41:29 AM »
« Edited: October 12, 2017, 12:44:09 AM by Southern Speaker/National Archivist TimTurner »


Ugh whatever, just quote the post via quick reply and, instead of posting, copy the text in between the image tags
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2017, 10:38:37 AM »


1. Tulsa Area R+17
2. Muskogee and the East R+18
3. Panhandle, Lawton, Northern OKC metro R+26
4. Moore, Norman, East side of Lawton R+19
5. OKC R+12


Probably the one I'm most happy with, I was able to make 3 perfectly EVEN districts, a Likely Dem one, and a Safe seat for both parties
1. Astoria, Washington County D+6
2. "Transcascadia" R+10
3. Portland D+27
4. Medford, South Coast, Eugene EVEN
5. Salem, Albany, Mid Coast EVEN
6. Clackamas County, North and East Deschutes, Eastern Multnomah EVEN


Not a huge fan of how it turned out but PA is one of those states that slows my computer down
1. South Philadelphia and Delaware County along the River D+26
2. Central and West Philly "The Fresh Prince District" D+38
3. Erie, Bradford, NWPA R+4
4. York and Lancaster R+8
5. Western Pittsburgh Suburbs to State College, The Groundhog lives here R+4
6. Northern Northampton and Lehigh, Reading, NE Lancaster County R+2
7. Bucks County, Suburban Philly (NE Philadelphia), Southern Northampton EVEN
8. Allentown, Southern Berks, North and East Montgomery County EVEN
9. Newcastle, Butler, North Pittsburgh Suburbs R+10
10. Scranton, NEPA, Williamsport R+5
11. Harrisburg, Central Mountains R+8
12. SW Pennsylvania R+8
13. Southern Bucks, E Philly, S and W Montgomery County (Brendan Boyle District) D+13
14. Pittsburgh D+12
15. Altoona, South Central R+16
16. Chester and Northern Delaware Counties R+1
17. Wilkes Barre, Hazelton, Pottsville R+2


1. Charleston, Kiawah Island, Hilton Head R+8
2. Aiken, Lexington, Columbia suburbs R+10
3. NW Corner, Anderson, Seneca R+18
4, Greenville, Spartanburg R+15
5. Rock Hill, Lancaster R+8
6. Columbia, Charleston (Black Majority) D+11
7. Myrtle Beach, Georgetown R+7


1. Kingsport, Johnson City R+24
2. Knoxville Area R+18
3. Chattanooga, Cleveland R+17
4. Hendersonville, Lebanon, North Central TN R+20
5. Nashville D+4
6. Murphreesboro, Columbia, South Central TN R+15
7. Franklin, Clarksville, West Nashville Suburbs R+17
8. Memphis Suburbs, Western Tennessee R+15
9. Memphis D+20


Apologies in advance for not getting a close up of the metro areas, I have to limit my zooming with Texas or it could freeze up the computer
1. El Paso D+12
2. Big Bend, Transpecos, Western San Antonio suburbs R+8
3. Midland, Odessa, Southern High Plains R+29
4. Abilene, Wichita Falls, Part of Lubbock R+27
5. Amarillo, Western Lubbock R+31
6. Fredericksburg, Northern San Antonio R+19
7. Waco, Brownwood R+23
8. Southern Tarrant County, West Fort Worth R+9
9. Fort Worth, Northern Arlington D+5
10. Northern Tarrant R+19
11. Most of Denton County R+15
12. Most of Collin County to the Red River R+20
13. SW Collin County, NE Dallas, Rockwall R+13
14. NW Dallas County R+7
15. Northern Dallas D+8
16. Southern and Downtown Dallas D+24
17. Suplhur Springs, NE Texas R+21
18. Longview, Tyler R+22
19. Waxsatchee, Athens, Palestine R+22
20. Bell County, Western Williamson, West Travis R+11
21. Round Rock, College Station, East Austin suburbs R+14
22. Western and Southern Bexar County, Pleasanton R+4
23. West Austin, San Marcos, Seguin R+2
24. Austin D+22
25. San Antonio D+17
26. NE Bexar, Yoakum (Big rural area between San Antonio and Ft. Bend) R+17
27. Beaumont, Port Arthur, SETX R+17
28. Montgomery, Walker, San Jacinto counties R+28
29. Western Harris County (light gray one) R+12
30. Part of Northern Harris County (Peach colored one) R+14
31. NE Harris County (cream color) R+8
32. N/E Houston (orange) D+18
33. Pearland, League City (blue) R+15
34. South Houston into Fort Bend County (green) D+24
35. Northern Fort Bend in towards Houston (purple) EVEN
36. Galveston to Port Aransas R+16
37. Corpus Christi to Brownsville D+3
38. McAllen to Western Cameron County D+15
39. Laredo, much of Rio Grande Valley D+17


1. Ogden, Logan, NE Utah R+22
2. Provo, Southern Salt Lake R+26
3. Salt Lake City D+2
4. Rural Part of the state R+30


1. Western Chesapeake, Rural area west of the Tidewater R+9
2. Virginia Beach, Chesapeake, Delmarva R+4
3. Norfolk, Portsmouth, Newport News D+15
4. Richmond Metro D+9
5. NW Virginia R+9
6. Charlottesville, Blue Ridge Mountains R+8
7. Rocky Mount, Danville, SW Richmond area R+8
8. Prince William and Southern Fairfax D+4
9. Roanoke, SW Virginia R+10
10. Western Fairfax, Eastern Loudoun D+6
11. Arlington, Alexandria, Inner Fairfax D+15


1. NW Washington, Bellingham, San Juan Islands D+3
2. Everett, NE Seattle inner Suburbs D+9
3. SW Washington, Vancouver, Morton R+2
4. Southern Spokane, Yakima, SE Washington R+12
5. Most of Spokane, NE Washington R+8
6. Olympic Peninsula D+3
7. Seattle D+31
8. Suburban King County, Carbonado, Roslyn R+3
9. Auburn, Renton, Des Moines D+11
10. Tacoma, Olympia, Lakewood D+8


Amazing how much more republican WV has gotten since 2008
1. Northern Half, Wheeling, Morgantown R+10
2. Huntington, Charleston R+10


1. Rockville, Kenosha, Racine EVEN
2. Madison and the SW D+18
3. Eau Claire, LaCrosse, Stevens Point D+6
4. Milwaukee D+20
5. Waukesha, Portage, Jefferson R+10
6. Sheboygan, Oshkosh R+7
7. Merrill, Chippewa Falls, Superior EVEN
8. Green Bay, Appleton EVEN
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muon2
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2017, 11:12:20 AM »

So why is this called the gerrymandering project? It seems that your states are neutrally drawn and not gerrymandered.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2017, 11:30:59 AM »

So why is this called the gerrymandering project? It seems that your states are neutrally drawn and not gerrymandered.

It's a school project more for reapportionment and stuff. I tried being more neutral for this one just because I know the professor's definitely a liberal hahaha. I'm gonna work on another one later where I try maxing out republican seats
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muon2
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« Reply #23 on: October 12, 2017, 11:33:00 AM »
« Edited: October 12, 2017, 11:34:39 AM by muon2 »

So why is this called the gerrymandering project? It seems that your states are neutrally drawn and not gerrymandered.

It's a school project more for reapportionment and stuff. I tried being more neutral for this one just because I know the professor's definitely a liberal hahaha. I'm gonna work on another one later where I try maxing out republican seats

Are you going to redo the neutral ones to take into account the required minority districts? I would think that the professor would score the project higher if it complies with the law.
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Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2017, 12:31:56 PM »

So why is this called the gerrymandering project? It seems that your states are neutrally drawn and not gerrymandered.

It's a school project more for reapportionment and stuff. I tried being more neutral for this one just because I know the professor's definitely a liberal hahaha. I'm gonna work on another one later where I try maxing out republican seats

Are you going to redo the neutral ones to take into account the required minority districts? I would think that the professor would score the project higher if it complies with the law.

Probably. I just gotta figure out how many I need in each state besides the obvious ones like 1 in each LA, SC, AL, and MS. Do you know how many each state needs?
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