Trump approval ratings thread 1.2
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.2  (Read 180886 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #300 on: November 10, 2017, 03:24:03 PM »
« edited: November 10, 2017, 03:38:47 PM by Interlocutor »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)
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Virginiá
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« Reply #301 on: November 10, 2017, 03:43:30 PM »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)


11% approval among people ages 18 - 44, and only 30% for 45+

That is horrendous!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #302 on: November 10, 2017, 04:12:33 PM »

Gallup, 11/9

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 58 (+1)
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #303 on: November 10, 2017, 05:42:09 PM »

Trump's approvals among 18-29 year olds gives me hope. Maybe today's young people aren't going to become the new Hitler youth after all!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #304 on: November 10, 2017, 05:44:18 PM »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)

CA = Freedom state
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #305 on: November 10, 2017, 05:45:53 PM »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)

CA = Freedom state

Is there a possibility that the Democrat nominee could win California by the biggest margin yet in 2020?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #306 on: November 10, 2017, 06:21:16 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2017, 06:29:30 PM by Interlocutor »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)

22% approval in California? Surely  one of the worst approval ratings that any President has ever had in any state. If he were President of California with so low an approval rating, he would need to be watching his back for the top generals and admirals. I'd guess that that is about what the approval of Salvador Allende had among the Chilean bourgeoisie as the Pinochet coup was underway.

Only other California poll I can find that can match is this PPIC poll from October 2008 showing Bush with 19% approval and 77% disapproval. The main difference is that 48% disapproved of Bush:

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_1008MBS.pdf




Interestingly, according to the crosstabs, my lovely Inland Empire was the only region that isn't solidly against Trump. Disapproval was only at 49%, with 31% approval and 20% that didn't care
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #307 on: November 10, 2017, 11:46:32 PM »

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)

CA = Freedom state

Is there a possibility that the Democrat nominee could win California by the biggest margin yet in 2020?


There's certainly room for the Democratic nominee to squeeze out at least a million more votes, especially if Trump is really unpopular or Harris is the nominee.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #308 on: November 11, 2017, 12:48:14 AM »



22% approval in California? Surely  one of the worst approval ratings that any President has ever had in any state. If he were President of California with so low an approval rating, he would need to be watching his back for the top generals and admirals. I'd guess that that is about what the approval of Salvador Allende had among the Chilean bourgeoisie as the Pinochet coup was underway.

Only other California poll I can find that can match is this PPIC poll from October 2008 showing Bush with 19% approval and 77% disapproval. The main difference is that 48% disapproved of Bush:

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_1008MBS.pdf




Interestingly, according to the crosstabs, my lovely Inland Empire was the only region that isn't solidly against Trump. Disapproval was only at 49%, with 31% approval and 20% that didn't care


In any event, Dubya had a military intervention going badly in Iraq and an economic meltdown that people were comparing to the start of the Great Depression.  He was also soon to leave office, so he was doing little to defend his record.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #309 on: November 11, 2017, 03:46:24 PM »

Gallup (November 10th)

Approve 38% (+1)
Disapprove 57% (-1)
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Enduro
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« Reply #310 on: November 11, 2017, 10:23:01 PM »

Those numbers were expected in CA, but I thought that SurveyMonkey's were high. I would've expected the numbers to be closer to the Gallop poll Virginia published.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #311 on: November 12, 2017, 01:12:47 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)
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Person Man
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« Reply #312 on: November 12, 2017, 05:52:37 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #313 on: November 12, 2017, 05:57:01 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

I'd wager it's because the investigation has quieted down a bit and because Trump has managed to avoid saying too much stupid s**t lately.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #314 on: November 12, 2017, 05:58:11 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Don't read too much into the fluctuations of a daily tracker.  Gallup has stayed within a narrow range for a few months now, with approvals in the 35-40 range and disapprovals in 55-60, barring a few outliers.  If he breaks out of those ranges (in either direction) and stays there for more than a few days, then we can start talking about movement.
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« Reply #315 on: November 12, 2017, 05:59:22 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Don't read too much into the fluctuations of a daily tracker.  Gallup has stayed within a narrow range for a few months now, with approvals in the 35-40 range and disapprovals in 55-60, barring a few outliers.  If he breaks out of those ranges (in either direction) and stays there for more than a few days, then we can start talking about movement.

What would be the reason for him to break out of that range?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #316 on: November 12, 2017, 06:06:09 PM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Don't read too much into the fluctuations of a daily tracker.  Gallup has stayed within a narrow range for a few months now, with approvals in the 35-40 range and disapprovals in 55-60, barring a few outliers.  If he breaks out of those ranges (in either direction) and stays there for more than a few days, then we can start talking about movement.

What would be the reason for him to break out of that range?

A really serious development in the Russia story or starting a war with North Korea would probably move him to the downside.   On the flip side, a decent accomplishment diplomatically (say, brokering a Middle East deal) would move him up.  Having said that, I don't think there's too much room in either direction for him to gain or lose much.  His support and opposition are pretty strongly baked in, as shown by the strong approval/disapproval numbers in most polls. 
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #317 on: November 13, 2017, 02:57:12 AM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Trump gets poll boosts during tours abroad as he looks presidential
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Badger
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« Reply #318 on: November 13, 2017, 02:57:44 AM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Don't read too much into the fluctuations of a daily tracker.  Gallup has stayed within a narrow range for a few months now, with approvals in the 35-40 range and disapprovals in 55-60, barring a few outliers.  If he breaks out of those ranges (in either direction) and stays there for more than a few days, then we can start talking about movement.

What would be the reason for him to break out of that range?

A really serious development in the Russia story or starting a war with North Korea would probably move him to the downside.   On the flip side, a decent accomplishment diplomatically (say, brokering a Middle East deal) would move him up.  Having said that, I don't think there's too much room in either direction for him to gain or lose much.  His support and opposition are pretty strongly baked in, as shown by the strong approval/disapproval numbers in most polls. 

Don't forget the possibility of the economy starting to tank (please not). I'd consider that notably more likely than all this bluster with NK TRULY hitting the fan, and only slightly less immediately likely than more major revelations regarding his treasonous interactions with Russia.
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Badger
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« Reply #319 on: November 13, 2017, 02:58:28 AM »

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Why is he up? You think its the strong economy?

Trump gets poll boosts during tours abroad as he looks presidential

Relatively speaking of course.
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Blue3
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« Reply #320 on: November 13, 2017, 07:48:21 AM »

He looks so presidential...

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Brittain33
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« Reply #321 on: November 13, 2017, 08:32:11 AM »

He was mostly away from Twitter while he was in Asia, no?
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #322 on: November 13, 2017, 10:54:21 AM »

He was mostly away from Twitter while he was in Asia, no?

Not exactly
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #323 on: November 13, 2017, 10:56:09 AM »


It's just that The Media is so determined to re-elect Trump that they won't report on all the bad stuff he does.
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Santander
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« Reply #324 on: November 13, 2017, 10:58:38 AM »


He wants to be friends with Kim Jong Un.
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