Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state

[Bidenworth2020]

3,2,1,go

Texas

[Xing]

High turnout among Latinos, very strong performance in the cities/suburbs (Clinton's margins or better in Houston/Dallas, plus winning counties like Hays, Tarrant, and Williamson), along with at least marginal improvement in the Eastern part of the state.

Ohio

[Beet]

A right-wing third party candidate runs as the "conservative Independent" and takes about half the GOP with him. xingkerui barely squeaks by with 36% of the vote.

D.C.

[RFayette]

Not commit too many felonies before election day

If we're talking about a primary, then probably the key would be high turnout among HRC supporters of all stripes.

Wisconsin

[OSR stands with Israel]

Do well in the WOW counties and run up the totals in Rural Wisconsin , and you will win.


Oregon

[TheLeftwardTide]

Max out Eastern Oregon against a weak Dem opponent and appeal to socially liberal, fiscally moderate-to-conservative suburbanites to the point of pandering.

Mississippi (I get that it would be nigh-impossible, but serious answers please)

[Xing]

Run against a Republican seen as both elitist/out-of-touch and virulently racist. Work to get turnout among black voters way up, while trying to win over at least a small percentage of WWC voters. Then, a "true conservative" third-party candidate would need to get at least 3-4% of the vote.

Florida

[At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder]

Winning Florida would be simple and easy enough. Just turn out enough Hispanics in South Florida and win them by HRC margins or greater and flip just enough voters back in the Orlando and Tampa-St. Petersburg areas. Also, try to cut the huge Republican margins in the panhandle as well as flip Jacksonville.

Oklahoma

[Dr. MB]

Southern credentials help, extremely high turnout among Hispanics and blacks and in urban areas, a conservative independent runs against the Republican candidate which gives you a narrow victory. You win Tulsa, OKC, and most of the surrounding counties as well as some in the eastern parts of the state with high Native American populations.

Alaska

[The Govanah Jake]

Extremely large margins of victory in the northern Alaskan boroughs. You use your Left Libertarianism to play well with many white votes and off the backs of urban and minority voters (which make up like 35% of the population) you are able to win Anchorage and Fairbanks and are able to push over a slim plurality or bare majority

Missouri

[Mr. Smith]

Extremely good performances in St. Louis and Kansas City, flip a few more neighboring counties around St. Louis, up performance in Boone, flip Adair, and keep the GOP in high 50's in rural areas

Montana

[White Trash]

Drives up turnout in Billings and Helena, while keep margins in rural areas close. Runs a campaign similar to Schweitzer, emphasizing bipartisan credentials and good ol' country charm.

West Virginia

[Don Vito Corleone]

Run up the margins in the Southern half of the state, especially the South East of the state.

Kentucky.

[Dr. MB]

Run as a populist with emphasis on bringing back jobs, campaign hard in eastern KY and in Louisville and Lexington

[MAINEiac4434]

Since you didn't say a state, I'm just going to go with Oregon:

Run up the numbers in Portland and you should be fine.

North Carolina

[The Govanah Jake]

Big margins and turnout in the Black majority areas in the Northeast and South Central regions (this could probably be done with a black VP) combined with huge turnout and margins in Wake County and Mecklenburg county's which are very possible combined with and overall improved white performance throughout the state due to a Left-Populist campaign and you could get anywhere from 49-53%.

Tennessee

[Mr. Smith]

Massive performance in the Memphis area via high black turnout, improve greatly in Nashville, and don't get slaughtered in Eastern Tennessee.

Pennsylvania

[America Needs R'hllor]

Run up the margins in Philadelphia and other urban areas while winning back some WWC voters with your populist message, and keeping most suburban voters, and you should be able to win solidly, depending on national environment and on the Republican.

Indiana

[Xing]

Run a populist campaign against an unpopular candidate with strong ties to Wall Street. You'd need really strong margins in the NW, and you'd also need to improve on Clinton's numbers in Marion and Hamilton. Also, work on flipping back counties like Vigo and Delaware.

Iowa

[Cactus Jack]

Run up progressive and populist turnout in more rural areas while just generally running up turnout, period, in Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, and the bigger cities. Also, emphasize agricultural issues.

Montana?

[Bidenworth2020]

run up the margins in Missoula, get within 5 points in Yellowstone, stay above water in rural areas

Idaho

[The Govanah Jake]

Win Boise in a landslide at least over 55%. Win Latah big and at least 60% in you want a chance. Hold Blaine county by at least over 65% and probably 70% and win Bancock County by at least 5-10% and hold Teton county. Then improve in al of the rural areas and then maybe you could win though it's unlikely. You'd probably also need a running mate from Idaho or Utah who is Mormon to get some of the Mormon vote and all in all run a populist campaign and taking a strong position of social libertarrism and anti-war opinions. Also try to talk positive on oil due to the large oil industry there and also try to emphasis a rural agricultural populism due to the agriculture that dominate the state. That reminds you could do better if your facing a republican incumbent with the country in a war that is unpopular. But the most important way to have a chance is to campaign hard there which would be worthless since it doesn't have much electoral votes

South Dakota

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't know that there is one unless the Republican had some terrible scandal and there was a split conservative vote.

Pennsylvania

[Canis]

Appeal to the WWC and hope that turnout in Philly is low

Louisiana

[Bidenworth2020]

run up margins in Baton Rouge and New Orleans , while simultaneously winning 40% in other