Uncommitted
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Author Topic: Uncommitted  (Read 347 times)
Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 10, 2017, 11:59:57 AM »

In case Trump runs unopposed in the GOP primary and every state offers the possibility to vote for "uncommitted", would Trump lose any states? What would be his best state, what his worst?
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TPIG
ThatConservativeGuy
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2017, 12:09:32 PM »

It's very unlikely that he would lose any states, considering he has around an 80% approval rating with Republicans (according to Gallop). However, if that were to change and he dipped into the 60s or 50s with Republicans, I could see him losing some of the Western states like Utah and Idaho but not really much else.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2017, 02:16:17 PM »

What about Vermont and California? Could he lose those states in such a scenario?
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TPIG
ThatConservativeGuy
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2017, 03:13:32 PM »

What about Vermont and California? Could he lose those states in such a scenario?

I don't think Trump would lose VT or CA. The Republicans in those states are more moderate and tend to like Trump's non-traditional brand of conservative populism. They're not like voters in Utah, where traditional conservatism is more popular.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2017, 03:19:27 PM »

Without another candidate on the ballot, NeverTrump Republicans will have no reason to get out to vote.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2017, 03:25:37 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2017, 05:58:29 PM by Mr. Morden »

How often is there really only the one name plus "uncommitted" on the ballot?  Obama was "unopposed" in 2012 when he ran for re-nomination, yet there were many states where he faced a nobody who only qualified for the ballot in a handful of states.  And he was held to only 57% in Oklahoma, for example, despite his opponents being nobodies.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2017, 03:29:50 PM »

What about Vermont and California? Could he lose those states in such a scenario?

Lol what? Trump wouldn't lose Vermont even if he had competition.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2017, 03:36:35 PM »

How often is there really only the one name plus "uncommitted" on the ballot?  Obama was "unopposed" in 2012 when he ran for re-nomination, yet there were many states where he faced so nobody who only qualified for the ballot in a handful of states.  And he was held to only 57% in Oklahoma, for example, despite his opponents being nobodies.

I know that Kentucky has that option on its ballots.
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