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December 12, 2017, 11:23:41 am
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| | |-+  Battleground Map for the 1976 Election
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Author Topic: Battleground Map for the 1976 Election  (Read 501 times)
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« on: October 10, 2017, 08:48:24 pm »
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Basically these are the states decided by 6 points or less:




Carter 114
Ford 66
Battleground 358


So basically neither candidate started out with much of a base.


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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2017, 09:57:19 am »
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Just because the states were decided by fewer than 5 points doesn't NECESSARILY mean that they were "battleground states."  For example, I don't think Ford really thought he had a chance in New York.
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2017, 10:20:47 am »
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Just because the states were decided by fewer than 5 points doesn't NECESSARILY mean that they were "battleground states."  For example, I don't think Ford really thought he had a chance in New York.

^This.

I think a lot of Carter’s close wins were supposed to be supposed to be more comfortable.
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2017, 12:53:22 am »
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I think this election often gets overlooked in just how close it was. While it was not a 2000 type election it was intriguing in its result. This election has always really fascinated me, not in it being hot button both men campaigned against each other with class and respect but in how tight the count was. Ford really came so close to winning after being around 30 points down at the time of Carter's DNC. Had less then 50,000 votes flipped in Wisconsin and Ohio or Mississippi and Ohio Ford would have won his own elected full term while losing the national popular vote.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2017, 12:55:07 am by Liberalrocks »Logged

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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2017, 04:55:03 pm »
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I think this election often gets overlooked in just how close it was. While it was not a 2000 type election it was intriguing in its result. This election has always really fascinated me, not in it being hot button both men campaigned against each other with class and respect but in how tight the count was. Ford really came so close to winning after being around 30 points down at the time of Carter's DNC. Had less then 50,000 votes flipped in Wisconsin and Ohio or Mississippi and Ohio Ford would have won his own elected full term while losing the national popular vote.


Also consider how a uniform swing of 1% for Carter putting his popular vote margin to only 4% would had been enough to give him 410 ev's. Its probably the last time where democrats had a huge structural advantage in winning more ev's with just small popular vote swings.
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