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  How would you imagine YOURSELF winning the Electoral College?
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Author Topic: How would you imagine YOURSELF winning the Electoral College?  (Read 4803 times)
The Saint
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« on: October 11, 2017, 07:53:17 pm »
« edited: October 13, 2017, 09:52:17 pm by Acting Southern Delegate The Saint »

?
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2017, 08:17:07 pm »

Do you mean in a close race, i.e. what would my easiest path to victory be? As unoriginal as it is, probably this:



Pennsylvania and New Hampshire would be my narrowest wins.
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Georgia Is A Swing State
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2017, 08:25:28 pm »
« Edited: October 11, 2017, 08:27:49 pm by RFKFan68 »



328-210

I will be spending a lot of time in the Sun Belt trying to flip back Florida, and flipping North Carolina and Georgia. I think being a hometown hero will help me in Georgia and turnout among likely Dem voters is much higher. Heavy ground game in Arizona, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, but I think in the end I wouldn't be palatable enough to working class whites in Ohio and Wisconsin to win the state like Obama and my gains in places like Milwaukee and Cleveland wouldn't be enough.

I would have a primetime rally the night before the election in Philadelphia or Miami with a midnight rally in Atlanta.
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Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2017, 10:29:40 pm »

November 2, 2032

The junior senator from Maine stands offstage. It's a brisk night in Deering Oaks Park in Portland. But he's feeling anything but cold.

The Senator grabs his wife's hand. The former actress smiles at him, then laughs.

"What?" the Senator says, bemused.

"I wonder where Siobhan McClean is now..." she says, looking wistfully up.

"Who the hell is Siobhan McClean?"

"She was the other actress going for Hermione." the Senator laughs, then kisses his wife on the cheek.

"Well, Emma, I think you've shown her...several times."

Offstage, not far from where the new first couple were standing, the public address announcer grabs the microphone."

"Ladies and gentlemen, the President-elect of the United States."

He hears his fans cheering, then his wife whispering in his ear

"Showtime, Mr. President."

It makes him weak in the knees.

He floats up the stairs and then onto the stage, Emma holding his hand the entire time. They wave to the roaring crowd, soaking it in for a few minutes. She turns to him, and kisses him, then exits the stage.

He's up there alone, blinded by the TV lights and flashbulbs. He floats to the podium.

"Thank you!" he says, and the crowd roars more. "Thank you all so much! Thank you!"

He pauses again, waves again.

Finally, after what felt like ages, the crowd has settled down.

"My fellow Americans," the President-elect begins. He catches the electoral map on one of the large screens brought in to the park for his supporters to watch the results.



He held the sunbelt, and won back the south. President Cotton hadn't been popular since his cuts to Lizcare, the national health service. His working-class background helped him in places like West Virginia and Ohio, and his economic populist message helped him there. Wisconsin was too far gone for any Democrat at this point.

What would historians think of, when they think of this election?

He thought back to those that came before him. 100 years ago, Franklin Delano Roosevelt was elected President, and reformed America. Pretty big shoes. Twenty-four years ago, Barack Obama, now recently deceased, was elected President, and reformed America - and inspired the man who would now follow in his footsteps. He felt that quoting the popular late President would be appropriate at this time.

"If there is anyone out there who still doubts that America is a place where all things are possible, who still wonders if the dream of our founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer."
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MB
MB298
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2017, 10:41:36 pm »

I'll say it's a three-way race. Versus Nancy Pelosi and Mitch McConnell to make it a bit easier.

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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2017, 07:55:35 am »



Madigan/Walker ticket.  Probably overestimating my support among College Educated Whites in VA and CO, but the rest I think is plausible.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2017, 01:47:51 pm »

Ok there is two scenarios. What i think/want such a map to look like. Both of these take place in the future because i cant run for president at the moment. So say its the 2060 elections and i'm middle aged. The realignment in both maps are based off the BTM type scenario. Electoral votes are from the 2010 census though so the results will be different in that time

Option A: What i want such a winning map to look like



Option B: How i think the map would actually go in a future election where i win against a standard republican of this realignment (Socially Moderate, Economic Moderate) in a close election

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Trans Rights Are Human Rights
Peebs
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2017, 02:30:14 pm »

Autistic trans lesbian Bernout = I wouldn't. But just for kicks, let's say this is 2044 (age 43), and based on Spenstar's TL set in the mid-21st century.


Roughly 332-223. Same as his Lopez 2044 map, but trading MT and WY for FL.
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2017, 06:04:31 pm »



Campaign

In this scenario, I am West Virginia's junior senator,age 41. The year is 2040, and the political backdrop is changing. The current is Madigan, who won 2036 in a wave election that brought many republicans to power. Many see him as a Eisenhower like figure, and his approval is at 55%. I had the establishment reluctantly behind me, so I win the primaries with ease. I pick Texas senator Juan Lopez, a bastion of the senate and someone to help me in the suburbs, as my running mate. My opponent is CT senator Ben Howie, a generally boring senator. The convention is in Madison, WI, which will help with WI. The only scandal involving me in the election is me using government funds for charter airflight. NO serious damage is done. The election comes around, and the race is a deadheat. Madigan is popular, but party fatigue still exists. Election comes around, and I win. Most Political scientists believe I won because of popular senator's coattails.
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The Saint
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2017, 12:38:10 am »

Do you mean in a close race, i.e. what would my easiest path to victory be?

Pretty much just if you were running, how do you think you would win?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2017, 12:53:03 am »

Glad so many see the reality on Mississippi by the 2040's.


Though Peebs should flip SC on her map. Maybe SC and OK.
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here2view
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« Reply #11 on: April 20, 2018, 08:55:33 pm »



304-234 victory. Big play to the Rust Belt.
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MB
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« Reply #12 on: April 21, 2018, 12:08:07 am »

Just say I run in 2048. I run as a Democrat. Just for fun, I don't know what the climate will be then.

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RINO Tom
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« Reply #13 on: April 21, 2018, 09:30:46 am »

I couldn't, LOL.  I'd say something too stupid before the end of the campaign, and we appear to be in a rather "populist age" in both parties right now.  Makes sense after 2000-2008.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #14 on: April 21, 2018, 11:33:24 am »

I run as a populist, moderate Republican and focus heavily on winning over blacks and Hispanics as well as College-Educated Suburbanites. I easily win my home state of Virginia and keep the rest of the South, doing much better than a generic R in the Black Belt and in big, populous counties like Hinds, MS and Jefferson, Alabama. Since the South alone isn't enough for victory, I campaign hard out west in states like Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, and Oregon, presenting my more Libertarian social views as well as my pro-gun rights stance to Western voters. I have my girlfriend campaign for me in many areas, especially Nevada which is where she was born. on election night I hold a large rally in Las Vegas, Nevada and the day of the election I hold a GOTV rally in NOVA. in the end, I hold on to the traditionally GOP states and pick up several swing/lean D states for a narrow victory over my Generic Democrat opponent. I think the map looks something like this:


 
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Ninja0428
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« Reply #15 on: April 21, 2018, 07:01:09 pm »

Let's say for the sake of it that it's 2040, the first election I'll be eligible to run in, and I'm a strong candidate. And I run as a democrat.



Of course, by 2040 I don't expect to still be a democrat. So let's say that I run as a republican.



These would both be optimistic scenarios, but you did specify "win".



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Lok
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« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2018, 07:39:12 am »
« Edited: April 28, 2018, 06:59:59 pm by Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok »

Landslide: http://www.270towin.com/maps/yvOzv

Comfortable: http://www.270towin.com/maps/rBOp4

Nailbiter: http://www.270towin.com/maps/1jm3N

Being pro-union and economic stances would be my main platform in the US.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: April 22, 2018, 05:03:28 pm »

November 7, 2040
1:30 AM

The crowd roared inside the main dining room of the Victorian-era restaurant as they waited to see him arrive.  The chicken and buttered noodles were long gone, but nobody had mellowed out from gluttony yet.  There was only standing room inside, and more throngs of onlookers stood outside the building.  The other restaurant across the street, with its Bavarian architecture and adjacent hotel, was equally crowded.  At the Cobo Center in Detroit and the Michigan state Capitol, more crowds watched television screens set up on stage.   Until now, few people in the farming community and tourist trap of about 5,000 believed it could happen.  But now the map on TV, with states lit up in red and blue, had proven them wrong.  "He's done it!" one of them shouted excitedly.  "He's really done it!" 

Oldiesfreak1854, the popular Republican governor of Michigan, had just been elected the 48th President of the United States.

Upstairs, the governor finished the Vernors he had toasted with his wife and skimmed his acceptance speech one last time.  He had waited for his Democratic opponent to call him and to give his concession speech to his own supporters.  Now, with a clear Electoral College majority and 51 percent of the national popular vote, it was time for the president-elect to claim his prize.  But before he went down, he kissed his beautiful wife, her bright red lipstick smearing.  As he made his way downstairs with his wife, children, and mother, he thought about how he had made it to this moment, and how proud he was to have won such a clear and commanding victory.  Tonight, he hoped, was the end of the Clinton Coalition, the dawning of the new Republican majority he had longed so hard to create.  It hadn't been easy; he had been forced to defend his conservative credentials on his way to the nomination against a series of opponents.  His past religious affiliations had been called into question by Catholic voters.  And Democrats had called him every dirty name in the book, accusing him of racism, sexism, and homophobia and claiming he was a "reverse Robin Hood," a stalking horse for the rich who would destroy the middle class.

The music blared and confetti rolled down as he made his way up to the front stage in the dining room.  He grabbed arms with his wife, along with his running mate and his wife, for a photo-op.  Then he gave his speech, the speech he had been waiting to make ever since his landslide reelection as governor.

"Tonight," he said, "America has rejected the 'me first, country second' politics of the past and chosen the 'country first, me second' politics of the future.  And you helped make it happen."



Narrowest State Wins
PA (50-48%)
FL (51-48%)
NH (51-47%)
WI (51-47%)

Narrowest State Losses
VA (49-48%)
MN (49-48%)
NM (52-46%)
IL (52-46%)
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
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« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2018, 01:52:03 am »

It's 2032.  I'm facing a moderately unpopular Democratic nominee who focused primarily on social liberalism in his election win in 2028, a narrow victory over President Shapiro, who defeated President Harris in 2024 (who defeated President Trump in 2020).  So, as you can see, I'm following a long string of one-termers, as the political cycle has been spinning more rapidly.

Now, in this timeline, immigration has receded as a political issue, with President Harris passing immigration reform and President Shapiro slightly scaling back the plan.  It was a non-issue in the 2028 campaign, as the Democratic president accepted Shapiro's changes.  That isn't to say us-versus-them rhetoric isn't there, as it certainly is, but it is more geared towards traditional, religious people versus secular people.  Under this alignment, President Shapiro made significant gains among minority voters in 2028, even while losing re-election, carrying 45% of Hispanics and 20% of African-Americans.

During the Democratic president's administration, he made a comment that came to be viewed as a gaffe: "There are two types of people on Sunday mornings- there are the dying breed who cling to their Bibles- and there are the modern folks who have a good time at brunch.  Our presidency is about the modern folks."

In my campaign, I campaign on an enhanced version of Reagan conservatism.  I actually name Former President Shapiro my running mate, as he adds religious and regional diversity, while sharing my values and has a record of a strong performance with all people with family values, regardless of race.  From Day One, we are in majority black and Hispanic neighborhoods showing how the left's policies against business and for abortion have decimated their communities.  The plan works and then some.  Additionally, the 36 year-old Governor of Tennessee is able to seem relatable to religious young voters.

Here are how demographics vote in the election:
Non-Hispanic White (63%): 56-42 Republican
Hispanic (21%): 57-40 Republican
African-American (13%): 60-38 Democrat
Other (3%): 63-35 Democrat

Frequent attendance at religious service (38%): 92-6 Republican
Sometimes attend religious service (40%): 53-45 Democrat
Rarely/never attend religious service (22%): 88-10 Democrat

Male (49%): 58-40 Republican
Female (51%): 52-46 Republican

Very small gaps in terms of education with the exception of a notable divergence towards the Democrats with postgrads and with the least educated.

NPV: 55-43 Republican

The map:

(California is viewed as the stunner of all stunners and pundits cannot believe it when it is called three weeks after the election)

This ushers in a realignment that eventually results in a complete depolarization of race where race is completely forgotten about in society.  Additionally, to the point that people still talk about race, Hispanics come to be considered white.

Following an even bigger landslide in 2036 (I flip Wyoming, Minnesota, Michigan, Illinois, Hawaii, and Delaware), the 2040 election is a nail-biter and looks something like this:

(California pretty much stays a swing state because, even factoring in its Hispanic population being more open to the GOP, it still sits around the average in terms of personal values)

---------------------------------------------------------------------
How it would really be likely to look in the nearer future:
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Representative Thumb21
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« Reply #19 on: April 26, 2018, 02:56:18 pm »



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Cold War Liberal
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« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2018, 10:11:55 am »

November 4, 2036
The Governor

He'd done it. The youngest Maryland governor, ever, had become the youngest U.S. president ever.

After 8 years of Trump, America had gotten hope back in the form of Kamala Harris, but after Stefanik won in '32, America had again lost its way. Now, progressivism was back.

At his rally in his hometown, a quaint small town in northern Maryland, the President-elect prepared to give his speech. He sent the next Vice President, Michigan Senator Jewell Jones, out to give the introduction. Before he spoke, he pulled up the New York Times on his SmartSpectacles. The (Atlas) red needle shined into his retina. The map was fantastic; it had been a blowout. He'd held the Northwest, of course, even ME-02 and New Hampshire, as his middle class roots played well there. Jones hadn't helped in the Midwest except in his home state, but that didn't matter. He'd built on the Jones Coalition in the south, and the Harris coalition in the southwest. Oh, and he'd taken 54.4% of the popular vote, more than any president since Reagan (narrowly edging out Harris's 54.1% victory in '24).


Stefanik might have been a disaster, but America had a new President now.

"Ladies and gentlemen, the 48th President of the United States!"
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Temporarily Embarrassed Millionaire
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« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2018, 11:59:29 am »



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Spark
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« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2018, 10:15:55 pm »



335-203

Due to my stances, I'd find it more feasible to run as a moderate Democrat at the national level. In this particular scenario, I serve as Governor of Pennsylvania in 2046 and decide to run for President after my term expires. I run a campaign heavily based on immigration, environmentalism, and protectionism.

In terms of electoral strategy I'd win my home state by large margins due to protecting industries in Western PA and being palatable enough in the suburbs of Philly. I'd lose heavily in the T part of PA however. The same applies for WI, MI, and MN which will be much more R at this time but I'll still be able to win them due to guarding against automation and the resulting structural unemployment. I'd also be prudent enough to focus on the Sun Belt and make inroads with the higher immigrant populations by granting amnesty and citizenship.
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« Reply #23 on: May 21, 2018, 11:34:57 pm »

That would be a nightmare.

I'd rather be a Congressman or a Senator than President.

Less Paperwork...plus the Secret Service following me into the bathroom...
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Speaker YE
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« Reply #24 on: May 21, 2018, 11:38:57 pm »

Obama 12 - Virginia + Arizona (pending national environment obviously but I'd like to think I'm an excellent candidate with some crossover appeal)
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