328-210
I will be spending a lot of time in the Sun Belt trying to flip back Florida, and flipping North Carolina and Georgia. I think being a hometown hero will help me in Georgia and turnout among likely Dem voters is much higher. Heavy ground game in Arizona, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, but I think in the end I wouldn't be palatable enough to working class whites in Ohio and Wisconsin to win the state like Obama and my gains in places like Milwaukee and Cleveland wouldn't be enough.
I would have a primetime rally the night before the election in Philadelphia or Miami with a midnight rally in Atlanta.