Map of election if election became like 1912
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  Map of election if election became like 1912
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Author Topic: Map of election if election became like 1912  (Read 820 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: October 13, 2017, 07:51:55 PM »

So say the GOP convention gets contested and the GOP decides to nominate Jeb Bush then

Trump plays the part of Roosevelt and bolts the GOP and runs as an independent

Sanders seeing how divided the GOP is decides to play the part of Debs and also runs as an independent


So how would the map look like between a Hillary vs Bush vs Trump vs Sanders
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2017, 07:58:22 PM »

Inbuilt Hillary win. Less Dems would go third party than GOPers, thanks to memories of 2000.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2017, 08:01:45 PM »

Sanders does not Clinton down but she still wins due to a split republican vote.
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uti2
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2017, 08:40:27 PM »

For what it's worth, I'm surprised there haven't been more threads about this. Trump was threatening an independent run from the day he announced until the day he became the nominee and he suggested it earlier in 2011 too:

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/155415-trump-probably-run-as-independent-if-i-cant-win-gop-nod

As to the cost of a potential campaign, Perot didn't spend that much on his own campaign, he mostly received free media.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-donald-trump-could-fall-into-the-ross-perot-trap

Perot only spent 50 million on the campaign, inflation adjusted that's 110 million, Trump said he was willing to spend 100 million on the campaign, and he ended up spending 70 million anyway.

Why would you want to do it? Well, consider the context. He had damaged his brand in the eyes of the media and the left, running an independent campaign smearing the republican candidate would've largely rehabilitated his image with that crowd especially considering Trump's own personal history with the Clintons. That's the only way the 'brand building' theory of Trump's run would have worked out for him.
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uti2
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2017, 08:43:54 PM »

By the way, I will add that Pence has some parallels with Charles Fairbanks. Both Orthodox Conservatives from Indiana who were selected to balance the ticket, and Pence himself has likened Trump to Roosevelt.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2017, 09:40:25 PM »



Hillary Clinton
Jeb Bush
Donald Trump
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2017, 10:09:19 PM »



you dont see Bernie winning Vermont
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2017, 10:18:22 PM »


I didn't account for him since I figured he'd play a role more like that of William Jennings Bryan, who was pretty much the party kingmaker at the time.
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