The probability that the Democratic nominee wins all counties in New England (user search)
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  The probability that the Democratic nominee wins all counties in New England (search mode)
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Author Topic: The probability that the Democratic nominee wins all counties in New England  (Read 2463 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: October 14, 2017, 08:55:55 AM »
34%
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2017, 07:33:54 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2017, 07:37:10 PM by Solid4096 »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on October 14, 2017, 09:18:34 AM
Very, very low. I'd say <0.1%

As of right now, here would be my ratings for all New England Counties



 

that map makes you look like a GOP hack.

There is no way that Trump picks up any Counties in MA, VT, or ME, and the counties he flipped in RI and CT are likely to flip back, and he is very likely to lose at least some of the counties he picked up in NH and ME.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2017, 09:52:33 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on October 14, 2017, 09:43:34 PM
0%

Unless Trump isn't the nominee (which I doubt at this point), he's going to carry ME-02, albeit by a much reduced margin...which should provide no coattails for Poliquin.

Trump is not going to carry ME-02 in 2020.

Please stop pretending that Maine trending so hard in 2016 is permanent trends.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2017, 09:08:33 PM »
Walpole
Wilmington
North Reading

the anti-bellwether trio
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2017, 08:35:10 PM »
Quote from: super6646 on October 21, 2017, 07:55:27 PM
Even goldwater was able to win a county in New England. No change in hell this happens in 2020.
Bill Clinton won every Maine County in 1996, but lost a few in New Hampshire that year.
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