Why is the GOP so good at ultra narrow wins? (user search)
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  Why is the GOP so good at ultra narrow wins? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why is the GOP so good at ultra narrow wins?  (Read 1269 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: October 18, 2017, 01:56:50 AM »

I'd say the simplest way of explaining it is that in situations where there is an effective 50/50 climate (which, to be fair, is most elections, but I mean the notably close ones), enthusiasm, geographic distribution and (most notably) voting propensity ultimately decide the outcome.

All voters are not created equal: 1 GOP voter is worth more on average than 1 DEM voter, and I don't just mean in terms of how voters are geographically distributed. The average GOP voter is much more likely to vote in presidential, midterm, municipal and special elections than the average DEM voter. If the country is in a 50/50 mood, then the GOP wins more often than not because of voter distribution but also (and perhaps more importantly) because they have higher-propensity voters.
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