NV-SEN: Who wins GOP primary

[I’m not Stu]

Who wins the NV-SEN GOP primary?

[Bidenworth2020]

heller

[TrumpBritt24]

Chris Gibson or Rob Astorino.

[Heisenberg]

Chris Gibson or Rob Astorino.

It says Nevada, not New York.

[MarkD]

heller

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Tarkanian

[Holmes]

Probably Heller but I doubt it's an impressive win.

[windjammer]

Tarkanian

^^

Heller is definitely not bright

[Holmes]

Not that there's been any recent polling and Nevada polling generally sucks anyway, but I get the sense that Heller has recovered a bit. He's been laying pretty low and that's probably helped him some. Unlike Flake who's just been a total train wreck.

[Maxwell]

Probably Heller but I doubt it's an impressive win.

and its a win that's going to require Heller and the Senate Majority PAC quite a bit of moolah.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Not that there's been any recent polling and Nevada polling generally sucks anyway, but I get the sense that Heller has recovered a bit. He's been laying pretty low and that's probably helped him some. Unlike Flake who's just been a total train wreck.

I actually think Heller will lose by more than Flake (assuming both somehow make it to the GE), I haven't really seen any evidence that Heller's recovered at all. 

[Holmes]

Not that there's been any recent polling and Nevada polling generally sucks anyway, but I get the sense that Heller has recovered a bit. He's been laying pretty low and that's probably helped him some. Unlike Flake who's just been a total train wreck.

I actually think Heller will lose by more than Flake (assuming both somehow make it to the GE), I haven't really seen any evidence that Heller's recovered at all.  

I meant for the primary. I agree that both their goose is cooked for the general (assuming they even make it). Both have strong challengers but Nevada's just a more Democratic state so Rosen benefits from that.

[Holmes]

Isn't Rosen stronger than Sinema though? I feel like Rosen is more "safe". Sinema has carefully crafted her image these past years and it's helped her, but I just know Ward will bring up the "childless atheist lesbian Satan worshipper" angle. Because she has nothing else going for her.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Not that there's been any recent polling and Nevada polling generally sucks anyway, but I get the sense that Heller has recovered a bit. He's been laying pretty low and that's probably helped him some. Unlike Flake who's just been a total train wreck.

I actually think Heller will lose by more than Flake (assuming both somehow make it to the GE), I haven't really seen any evidence that Heller's recovered at all.  

I meant for the primary. I agree that both their goose is cooked for the general (assuming they even make it). Both have strong challengers but Nevada's just a more Democratic state so Rosen benefits from that.

Yes, but there is straight up hatred for Jeff Flake among the KKKelli Ward supporters. They won't be giving him their votes in the numbers he needs in a general. And Sinema is stronger than Rosen and Heller>Flake/Ward.

Rosen is a much stronger candidate than Sinema although I expect both to win.  For one thing Rosen didn't vocally oppose the war in Afghanistan less than a week after 9/11 and lacks Sinema's history of coddling Palestinian terrorists.  For another, Rosen never claimed that most stay-at-home mothers are just "leeching off their husbands or boyfriends [...]."  Then there's the time Sinema said it didn't matter whether or not the ACA was repealed which will probably piss off both sides.  And of course, there's the fact that Sinema is a Romney-level flip-flopper/sellout (I think flip-flop accusations are how the Republicans will sneak in the Socialist stuff without looking too ridiculous).

[Holmes]

Isn't Rosen stronger than Sinema though? I feel like Rosen is more "safe". Sinema has carefully crafted her image these past years and it's helped her, but I just know Ward will bring up the "childless atheist lesbian Satan worshipper" angle. Because she has nothing else going for her.

Can you imagine the backlash in this day and age that would receive though? Elizabeth Dole got blown out after she tried similar tactics against Hagan. And Rosen is still relatively untested whereas Sinema has built up a huge warchest and presumably has good name rec in Phoenix from her prior House runs.

There would be backlash, yeah. But it's Kelli Ward. There's no filter there.

[Holmes]

But what Ward does has nothing to do with Sinema's strength as a candidate.

[SamTilden2020]

Heller. Tark is a joke IMO.

[Maxwell]

Heller. Tark is a joke IMO.

That's what people said before Tark beat the established Republican in the primary before ultimately losing to Rosen.

[Ye We Can]

Chris Gibson or Rob Astorino.

Man I wish Gibson was running.

[JonHawk]

Heller, unfortunately.. but it will be close between him and Tark

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Isn't Rosen stronger than Sinema though? I feel like Rosen is more "safe". Sinema has carefully crafted her image these past years and it's helped her, but I just know Ward will bring up the "childless atheist lesbian Satan worshipper" angle. Because she has nothing else going for her.

Can you imagine the backlash in this day and age that would receive though? Elizabeth Dole got blown out after she tried similar tactics against Hagan.

Elizabeth Dole got backlash because it was a complete and obvious lie that Hagan was an Atheist, due to the fact that Hagan taught Sunday School in a Presbyterian Church at the time. But with Sinema, while she refuses to call herself an athiest, it's pretty obvious that's what she is. So the attack would have a chance of working.

[Cactus Jack]

Isn't Rosen stronger than Sinema though? I feel like Rosen is more "safe". Sinema has carefully crafted her image these past years and it's helped her, but I just know Ward will bring up the "childless atheist lesbian Satan worshipper" angle. Because she has nothing else going for her.

Can you imagine the backlash in this day and age that would receive though? Elizabeth Dole got blown out after she tried similar tactics against Hagan.

Elizabeth Dole got backlash because it was a complete and obvious lie that Hagan was an Atheist, due to the fact that Hagan taught Sunday School in a Presbyterian Church at the time. But with Sinema, while she refuses to call herself an athiest, it's pretty obvious that's what she is. So the attack would have a chance of working.

Maybe in certain regions and circles (Paul Gosar's entire district of fruit loops comes to mind), but going that low would firebomb Ward's chances with virtually every other voter bloc in the state. Arizona has never been a hardcore Religious Right place, and we're moving left by the day.

[SamTilden2020]

Tark loses again.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Likely Heller, but whoever does win will come out battered and most likely will lose to Rosen.