Among which demographic did Gary Johnson perform well in?
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  Among which demographic did Gary Johnson perform well in?
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Author Topic: Among which demographic did Gary Johnson perform well in?  (Read 1389 times)
jman123
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« on: October 17, 2017, 10:40:42 AM »

What group of people were the main drivers behind his  relatively strong showing ( in context )as a third party candidate last November?
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JA
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2017, 12:28:18 PM »

Your subject line is triggering my OCD.
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Vosem
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2017, 02:13:26 PM »

Young men.
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JonHawk
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2017, 07:51:10 PM »

Pot smoking males, where lighting up a joint>>>>>>>>>>>
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White Trash
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2017, 08:11:39 PM »

White, upper middle class, college men.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2017, 08:16:03 PM »

New Mexicans.
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FEMA Camp Administrator
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2017, 08:27:13 PM »

Hopefully his domestic partner.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2017, 09:11:31 PM »

The exit poll grouped all 3rd party votes together, but it had whites under 30 as the group that voted most for 3rd party candidates, and Johnson obviously dominated the 3rd party vote.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2017, 04:13:37 PM »

White straight men under the age of 30.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2017, 04:19:08 PM »

White straight men under the age of 30.
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Hydera
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2017, 04:54:49 PM »

"Anti-establishment" left wingers who didnt want to vote for Hillary or Stein.

"Libertarian leaning" or moderate republicans who didnt want to vote for Trump.

New Mexican residents who still remember Gary Johnson and voted for him regardless of their politics because they didnt want to vote for the other three.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2017, 10:01:24 PM »

I'm wondering what his demographic percentages were in New Mexico. NM has a roughly equal percent of whites and Hispanics, and also with a lot of native Americans. He got about 10% in NM total. I'd guess it would be higher among whites so what percent of the white vote did he get? 15%?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2017, 11:15:27 AM »

I'm wondering what his demographic percentages were in New Mexico. NM has a roughly equal percent of whites and Hispanics, and also with a lot of native Americans. He got about 10% in NM total. I'd guess it would be higher among whites so what percent of the white vote did he get? 15%?

Here is the New Mexico exit poll, so you can look for yourself:

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/new-mexico/president
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tallguy23
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2017, 04:36:06 PM »

Young white men (under 50).
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2017, 04:50:29 PM »

After all, he did best in New Mexico with a population that is 50% Hispanic Tongue

I don't think he did best in the state due to Hispanics but do to the fact that he was the former New Mexico governor.
Now as for best performance:

"Anti-establishment" left wingers who didnt want to vote for Hillary or Stein.

"Libertarian leaning" or moderate republicans who didnt want to vote for Trump.

New Mexican residents who still remember Gary Johnson and voted for him regardless of their politics because they didnt want to vote for the other three.
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Santander
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2017, 04:51:30 PM »

Stoners who have never been locked up for drug possession because of white privilege.
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Hydera
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2017, 04:52:30 PM »

I'm wondering what his demographic percentages were in New Mexico. NM has a roughly equal percent of whites and Hispanics, and also with a lot of native Americans. He got about 10% in NM total. I'd guess it would be higher among whites so what percent of the white vote did he get? 15%?

Here is the New Mexico exit poll, so you can look for yourself:

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/new-mexico/president


The amount of votes in new mexico in 2012 and 2016 didnt change dramatically so comparing that exit poll with 2012 is really useful.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NM/president/

Compared to 2012...


12% of Men: he took 3% from other, 1% from Republican and 8% from the Democrats

7% of Women: 1% from Other, 5% from republicans, 1% from the democrats.


Gary Johnson: 4% in 2012 for Other, 17% among 18-29 in 2016 for Gary, he took 5% from the GOP and 12% from the democrats.


Party: 6% of Democrats of which 5% voted for Obama and 1% voted for romney


Basically he got more out of the democrats than he did from republicans which show that half of his increases had to do with democrats voting for Johnson because they didnt like Hillary and the rest either from republicans or different reasons.


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2017, 06:06:05 PM »

Basically he got more out of the democrats than he did from republicans which show that half of his increases had to do with democrats voting for Johnson because they didnt like Hillary and the rest either from republicans or different reasons.

Yeah, but New Mexico voters actually knew him well from his time as governor, whereas in much of the rest of the country, many voters might have simply seen him as Generic Libertarian Protest Candidate.  I wouldn't take it as a sure thing that the profile of Johnson voters in New Mexico matched the profile of Johnson voters in the rest of the country.
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« Reply #18 on: November 15, 2017, 01:14:45 PM »

I'm wondering what his demographic percentages were in New Mexico. NM has a roughly equal percent of whites and Hispanics, and also with a lot of native Americans. He got about 10% in NM total. I'd guess it would be higher among whites so what percent of the white vote did he get? 15%?

Here is the New Mexico exit poll, so you can look for yourself:

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/new-mexico/president


unmarried independent 25-29 year old latino men with some college making under $30k/year and that decided who to vote for in october, got it
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Hydera
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« Reply #19 on: November 15, 2017, 01:29:48 PM »

I'm wondering what his demographic percentages were in New Mexico. NM has a roughly equal percent of whites and Hispanics, and also with a lot of native Americans. He got about 10% in NM total. I'd guess it would be higher among whites so what percent of the white vote did he get? 15%?

Here is the New Mexico exit poll, so you can look for yourself:

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/new-mexico/president


unmarried independent 25-29 year old latino men with some college making under $30k/year and that decided who to vote for in october, got it


http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/MN/G/exit.poll.html


If you wanna go back further. Jesse Ventura's campaign in 1998 did better among 15-75K. 18-29. Men, High school to some college, independents, liberals. These kind of demographics are lean democrat but are prone to voting 3rd party if they don't like the dem candidate.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: November 15, 2017, 02:20:03 PM »

I'm still annoyed by the fact that there was no "Who did you vote for in the *last* presidential election?" question in the exit poll this time.  They usually include that question, but left it out in 2016.  I'd love to know, of the 2016 3rd party voters...

what % voted Obama in 2012?
what % voted Romney in 2012?
what % voted 3rd party in 2012?
what % voted didn't vote in 2012?
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tschandler
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« Reply #21 on: November 19, 2017, 06:16:42 AM »

I'm a Johnson voter (obviously). I'm white, straight, 30 yr old, male from rural Alabama.  I have a BSE and work in Flexographic Printing.  My peers that bachelors or higher voted Johnson.  Do you know how hard it was being in manufacturing and not being a Trump voter?
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