Honolulu County without 1st congressional district (user search)
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  Honolulu County without 1st congressional district (search mode)
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Author Topic: Honolulu County without 1st congressional district  (Read 927 times)
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« on: October 18, 2017, 10:58:48 PM »

I think Laie is marginal because it's heavily Mormon (home to BYU-Hawaii). Otherwise, as I recall, there were no McCain or Romney precincts in all of Hawaii. I doubt Trump won more than maybe a handful.

HI-01 isn't much more Democratic than the island as a whole. It was 63-30 Clinton while Honolulu County was 61-32 Clinton.

You'd better be careful with such assumptions.
Over 71% of Honolulu County's population lives in the 1st CD.
So that means Honolulu County outside 1st CD was just 56% Clinton and 37% Trump.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2017, 11:03:02 PM »

I think Laie is marginal because it's heavily Mormon (home to BYU-Hawaii). Otherwise, as I recall, there were no McCain or Romney precincts in all of Hawaii. I doubt Trump won more than maybe a handful.

HI-01 isn't much more Democratic than the island as a whole. It was 63-30 Clinton while Honolulu County was 61-32 Clinton.

You'd better be careful with such assumptions.
Over 71% of Honolulu County's population lives in the 1st CD.
So that means Honolulu County outside 1st CD was just 56% Clinton and 37% Trump.

Where did you get the data from?
Just doing math assuming the county and CD numbers are correct.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2017, 11:51:24 PM »

Ah, pity! I hoped I could calculate the data myself.
Especially the 2004 presidential election, the 2016 Democratic caucus and the 2014 gubernatorial election would be very interesting to analyze.
I suggest you do those.
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