OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[BuckeyeNut]

Paul Ryan is parachuting in to do a fundraiser with Balderson. $1,000/plate in Dublin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully,  Democrats can steal this race.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Balderson is a strong candidate, he should be able to keep this one.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

Except Balderson is a solid quality candidate, Saccone sucked. Also, Lamb is a better candidate than O'Connor.

[Politician]

Tossup/Tilt D. I see Atlas is dismissing special election results in the past and going off "muh too Republican" again.

[Devout Centrist]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

Except Balderson is a solid quality candidate, Saccone sucked. Also, Lamb is a better candidate than O'Connor.

Hindsight, friend, hindsight.

[Alabama_Indy10]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

Except Balderson is a solid quality candidate, Saccone sucked. Also, Lamb is a better candidate than O'Connor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Democrats steal this race, with Trump's incredibly low approval ratings,  their chances of winning the gubernatorial mansion and sealing the deal on Brown's reelection is that much greater.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Tossup/Tilt D. I see Atlas is dismissing special election results in the past and going off "muh too Republican" again.

[BuckeyeNut]

One thing that could hamper Balderson, despite this being a federal election, is his refusal to return money he received from the founder of scandal-plagued ECOT. It plays well into general themes of Republican corruption.

If Democrats steal this race, with Trump's incredibly low approval ratings,  their chances of winning the gubernatorial mansion and sealing the deal on Brown's reelection is that much greater.

Agreed. The special election is scheduled for late August. A nailbiter loss, and especially a win, would realy gin up Democrats and depress Republicans just a few short months later. Ohio Democrats have momentum right now, but we need to do well here.

[Badger]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

Except Balderson is a solid quality candidate, Saccone sucked. Also, Lamb is a better candidate than O'Connor.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.

Except Balderson is a solid quality candidate, Saccone sucked. Also, Lamb is a better candidate than O'Connor.

True, but O’Connor is still a pretty strong candidate and Balderson isn’t a rockstar recruit (although the pubs could do much worse).  Both parties have strong recruits who weren’t the best person they could’ve run.  I think the race is probably Tilt R at this point.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The race isn't until August 7th, Dems have plenty of time to win.

[BuckeyeNut]

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

[ON Progressive]

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

Hopefully this flips the primary.

[ON Progressive]

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

Hopefully this flips the primary.

I wonder what would happen if a tie happened.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

Hopefully this flips the primary.

I wonder what would happen if a tie happened.

Probably they both move on to the general, making it even more likely that O Connor will win. That is how it works in California when there is a tie for 2nd.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats need to steal this race,  to put pressure on DeWine and the House Majority,  without OH and or FL,  it would be difficult to flip not one but both Houses and the Presidential election

[BuckeyeNut]

New PPPP poll has O’Connor down by 2%, up 5% after some message testing on the evils of special interest. I really do think ECOT might have play here, even though it’s a federal election.

[BuckeyeNut]

Leneghan is only challeneging the primary for the general election, not the special.

[BuckeyeNut]

O'Connor's first TV ad is out after Monmouth found him down 10% against Balderson -- though the one past poll showed Balderson only up by 2%. In the ad, O'Connor swings hard against Pelosi, emphasizing that both parties need a change in leadership.

O'Connor's also just received a $17,000 cash infusion from SwingLeft, which is now targeting the district.

[Lamda]

Avere time that Trump or the "GOP machine" attacking Democartic candidates the are using Pelosi or Schumer,to differentiate himself from them is a smart move.
Conor Lamb did it and it worked.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Danny O'Connor is trying to pull a Conor Lamb. Only problem, Balderson is no Saccone and O'Connor is no Conor.