OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[BuckeyeNut]

Reading Zach Scott's quick bio, I like him for two reasons:

1-He has the same first name as me.
2-He actually attends a Vineyard church, the same affiliation as the church I was baptized in.

So I like him already! Knowing nothing else.

Zach Scott is a piece of sh!t hated by damn near every Democrat because he received Koch money to contest the Columbus Mayoral election as a DINO in 2015.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Reading Zach Scott's quick bio, I like him for two reasons:

1-He has the same first name as me.
2-He actually attends a Vineyard church, the same affiliation as the church I was baptized in.

So I like him already! Knowing nothing else.

Zach Scott is a piece of sh!t hated by damn near every Democrat because he received Koch money to contest the Columbus Mayoral election as a DINO in 2015.

So what's really bad about him? Like what awful positions does he hold, etc.

[BuckeyeNut]

Reading Zach Scott's quick bio, I like him for two reasons:

1-He has the same first name as me.
2-He actually attends a Vineyard church, the same affiliation as the church I was baptized in.

So I like him already! Knowing nothing else.

Zach Scott is a piece of sh!t hated by damn near every Democrat because he received Koch money to contest the Columbus Mayoral election as a DINO in 2015.

So what's really bad about him? Like what awful positions does he hold, etc.

The big thing with Scott is that he's scummy and corrupt, as is anyone financially tied to Melissa Barnhart. He's also adamantly pro-cop -- and anti-CJR -- in a way you usually only see in Republicans these days. But what else should you expect from a Sheriff with three decades in law enforcement?

[windjammer]

I mean, Trump isn't partucularly unpopular in Ohio so I doubt making gains in Ohio will be possible at all

[BuckeyeNut]

I mean, Trump isn't partucularly unpopular in Ohio so I doubt making gains in Ohio will be possible at all

OH-12 was the only district in the state to trend against Trump, and has a very active Indivisible chapter. It's unlikely to happen, but it's within the realm of possibility.

[Holmes]

I mean, Trump isn't partucularly unpopular in Ohio so I doubt making gains in Ohio will be possible at all

If he -25 in Iowa and even (among voters) in Alabama....

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I mean, Trump isn't partucularly unpopular in Ohio so I doubt making gains in Ohio will be possible at all

OH-12 was the only district in the state to trend against Trump, and has a very active Indivisible chapter. It's unlikely to happen, but it's within the realm of possibility.

Gotta disagree with you on this one, the only guy who could thread the needle here is Jay Goyel and even he’d probably narrowly lose and I’m pretty sure he’s not interested.

[Antonio the Sixth]

If Alabama should teach us anything, it's that there's no race we should ever concede without a fight.

[BuckeyeNut]

Not everything is winnable, but with the right turnout, this seat is, even if it is VERY uphill. There's still the chance the GOP nominates Kris Jordan or Clarence Mingo.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Not worth our time! I understand the push for suburban voters but this is going to far! Why can't we win our own voters back before we try to convert republicans to dems? Our economic policies are not compatible with wealthy suburbanites. I mean, maybe some rich voters wont mind paying high taxes, but a lot will.

[Holmes]

Yeah why try to expand our coalition of voters when we could just stick to the same voters that have just demonstrated to us that they will not always reliably turn out?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

 I understand expanding our coalition but I don't know how reliable suburbanites are. We can win suburbanites but we have to be careful. Because while these voters might reject republicans now with trump, these areas might not be good when a democratic president comes in an enacts progressive economic policies. I would go for a suburb like AZ-6 or OK-5. Not as wealthy and growing minority populations.

[The Other Castro]

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http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180103/tiberis-last-day-in-congress-will-be-jan-15

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

LOL

Usually, when I hear about people promising to do something like this by a certain date, I usually end up thinking that they plan on doing it on the very last date in the range, and that they had planned it that way all along.

So I was completely expecting January 31st.

[BuckeyeNut]

Holy sh!t Jay Goyal -- AKA the one guy who probably could actually win this for Democrats -- is actually considering.

EDIT: Also, very oddly, Franklin County Sheriff, Dallas Baldwin, endorsed his predecessor, Zack Scott for the seat. This is odd, as Baldwin primaried Scott out along internal party division lines.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Holy sh!t Jay Goyal -- AKA the one guy who probably could actually win this for Democrats -- is actually considering.

EDIT: Also, very oddly, Franklin County Sheriff, Dallas Baldwin, endorsed his predecessor, Zack Scott for the seat. This is odd, as Baldwin primaried Scott out along internal party division lines.

It's a very good sign that between Lamb, Paul Davis, Ojeda, and now this guy that dems are nailing great recruits in tough districts

[BuckeyeNut]

The one issue is that Scott could emerge as the nominee with this big of a field. The no-name candidates need to drop out.

Though if Goyal doesn't drop, I'll be rooting for John Russell.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Do we think Kasich schedules a legitimate special, or will the seat stay vacant until November?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Holy sh!t Jay Goyal -- AKA the one guy who probably could actually win this for Democrats -- is actually considering.

EDIT: Also, very oddly, Franklin County Sheriff, Dallas Baldwin, endorsed his predecessor, Zack Scott for the seat. This is odd, as Baldwin primaried Scott out along internal party division lines.

WOW!  If he jumps in and a non-Kevin Bacon Republican gets nominated, this is definitely a long-shot pickup possibility given the current political climate.

[BuckeyeNut]

Holy sh!t Jay Goyal -- AKA the one guy who probably could actually win this for Democrats -- is actually considering.

EDIT: Also, very oddly, Franklin County Sheriff, Dallas Baldwin, endorsed his predecessor, Zack Scott for the seat. This is odd, as Baldwin primaried Scott out along internal party division lines.

WOW!  If he jumps in and a non-Kevin Bacon Republican gets nominated, this is definitely a long-shot pickup possibility given the current political climate.

There's not much of SD-03 in OH-12. Yeah, Bacon's gonna raise more money, but Carol O'Brien getting the name would not surprise me.

[Figueira]

Do we think Kasich schedules a legitimate special, or will the seat stay vacant until November?

Kasich probably wants to maximize the number of Republicans in the House, so we will probably get a quick special.

[BuckeyeNut]

Do we think Kasich schedules a legitimate special, or will the seat stay vacant until November?

Kasich probably wants to maximize the number of Republicans in the House, so we will probably get a quick special.

He'll probably do what he did when their was a special for Boehner's old seat. Put the special election on the same day of the regular election's primary.

[BuckeyeNut]

Joyce Beatty now urging Jay Goyal to run.

[BuckeyeNut]

Oddly, Kasich did not set the special election on the same date as the regular election primary. Both the regular election and special election will hold their primary on May 8th, but the special election will take place on August 7th.

[Figueira]

Oddly, Kasich did not set the special election on the same date as the regular election primary. Both the regular election and special election will hold their primary on May 8th, but the special election will take place on August 7th.

Makes sense. A May 8 general would be cutting it a bit close, wouldn't it?