OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Free Bird]

This was a Trump +11 district and a Portman +28 district. Don’t get your hopes up.

[Free Bird]

If the Emerson (lol) poll were after the rally, then I'd predict an O'Connor win by about that margin, but it wasn't. We gotta remember that Saccone was down about 5 or so before Trump swooped in to stump for him, and said stumping erased that deficit into the virtual tie that that race was. So now, I could see it go either way. I genuinely don't know.

[Free Bird]

This truly is a now or never moment for dems in Ohio 12th for the next four years till redistricting, and I am fairly confident that we are going to blow it. That said, if O'Connor somehow defies all odds and eeks it out, consider him a strong favorite for november.

Probably, which is also why I'm confident the likes of Mike Coffman and Dino Rossi. Personal popularity (if O'Connor wins) is a powerful thing.