Campaigning in Hawaii
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  Campaigning in Hawaii
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Author Topic: Campaigning in Hawaii  (Read 78283 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 18, 2017, 11:45:05 PM »

Campaigning in Hawaii is quite easy for a gubernatorial candidate (or for another statewide office).
But what about incumbent congressmen? Or presidential caucus candidates? Or presidential nominees (if Hawaii were a swing state)?
Well, the last case is quite obsolete for Hawaii, as it is as blue as the ocean, which embraces the state.
But if Hawaii had, let's say, 10 electoral votes and if it were at least Minnesota-blue, would any presidential nominees fly there in order to campaign?
And what what about U.S. congressmen? They actually have only to campaign for their respective primaries. But how do they do this? And what if Hawaii were a swing state? Their challengers would have a leg-up on the incumbent.

Has a presidential nominee or a caucus candidate ever canvassed in Hawaii? I think even Obama visited "all 57 states" but neither Hawaii nor Alaska. LOL
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2017, 09:41:06 PM »

Nixon visited every state during his 1960 campaign, this is often seen as contributing to his loss since he didn't focus enough on the swing states.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2017, 04:31:17 AM »

Nixon visited every state during his 1960 campaign, this is often seen as contributing to his loss since he didn't focus enough on the swing states.

That must have been even more expensive back then. how much does it cost to travel and canvass there with the whole campaign crew?
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #3 on: November 17, 2017, 09:51:23 PM »

Obama returned to Hawaii to be with his dying grandmother during the 2008 campaign, though this wasn't a campaign event.
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Kamala
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« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2017, 03:08:28 PM »

Cheney thought Hawai’i was winnable for Bush.
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Hydera
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« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2017, 06:06:06 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2017, 06:08:26 PM by ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) »


http://archives.starbulletin.com/2004/10/24/news/index2.html

http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2004/Oct/23/ln/ln05p.html

Polls in hawaii showed that the two was going to be very close. Best guess on what happened was that in both of these polls there were high single percentage of undecideds that broke for kerry. Plus being an telephone poll at the time it missed lots of Kerry voters online. Plus Hawaii being 'traditionally democratic' had a large pool of base democrats that turned out on election day and allowed Kerry to win by a comfortable but embarrassing margin of high single digits considering the political history.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/HI/P/00/epolls.0.html
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2017, 11:59:31 PM »

Campaigning in Hawaii is quite easy for a gubernatorial candidate (or for another statewide office).
But what about incumbent congressmen? Or presidential caucus candidates? Or presidential nominees (if Hawaii were a swing state)?
Well, the last case is quite obsolete for Hawaii, as it is as blue as the ocean, which embraces the state.
But if Hawaii had, let's say, 10 electoral votes and if it were at least Minnesota-blue, would any presidential nominees fly there in order to campaign?

It's too far away if you don't live near a major air hub.  pbrower tried to warn us about this.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2017, 01:47:36 AM »

Campaigning in Hawaii is quite easy for a gubernatorial candidate (or for another statewide office).
But what about incumbent congressmen? Or presidential caucus candidates? Or presidential nominees (if Hawaii were a swing state)?
Well, the last case is quite obsolete for Hawaii, as it is as blue as the ocean, which embraces the state.
But if Hawaii had, let's say, 10 electoral votes and if it were at least Minnesota-blue, would any presidential nominees fly there in order to campaign?

It's too far away if you don't live near a major air hub.  pbrower tried to warn us about this.

And how do the congressmen from Hawaii canvass in their home state? Do they get extra allowance?
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2018, 02:30:45 AM »

How does Colleen Hanabusa campaign in Hawaii?
How often is she flying to her home state?
I guess once she wins the nomination for governor in August, she's gonna stay in Hawaii?
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2018, 11:35:44 AM »

How does Colleen Hanabusa campaign in Hawaii?
How often is she flying to her home state?
I guess once she wins the nomination for governor in August, she's gonna stay in Hawaii?

Well, the primary is right around the time they leave Washington for a month. She'd have a free month to campaign but I assume she'll be spending more time in HI bc they don't really have plans for the rest of the year.
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Clarktucky
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« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2019, 01:03:54 AM »

This is very interesting
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2019, 11:08:32 AM »

Campaigning in Hawaii is quite easy for a gubernatorial candidate (or for another statewide office).
But what about incumbent congressmen? Or presidential caucus candidates? Or presidential nominees (if Hawaii were a swing state)?
Well, the last case is quite obsolete for Hawaii, as it is as blue as the ocean, which embraces the state.
But if Hawaii had, let's say, 10 electoral votes and if it were at least Minnesota-blue, would any presidential nominees fly there in order to campaign?

It's too far away if you don't live near a major air hub.  pbrower tried to warn us about this.

And how do the congressmen from Hawaii canvass in their home state? Do they get extra allowance?

No.  I have a friend who worked as a scheduler/executive assistant for a Hawaiian congressman.  The member traveled to his district less frequently than other members of Congress, and Hawaiian congressmen rely much more heavily on their district staff than most others. 
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2019, 12:06:56 AM »

It's a waste of time for presidential candidates to campaign here, especially Republicans.

Sorry but I gotta take the time here to quibble not with this statement, which I agree with,  rather your signature:

Quote
Radicals aren't people with bad ideas, they're just bad people.

See this is interesting to me because your signature is comprised of three rather radical statements — radical in the sense that they are pretty far outside mainstream thought. This would imply that you yourself are to at least some extent a radical, and therefore are by your own logic a “bad person.”

Now I’m not saying I think you are a bad person because you are a radical (as someone who is not a radical, nor a fascist despite being liberal contrary to one of your other radical statements, I don’t see things or people as that black-and-white and find the statement to be logically dubious at best), but if we are to follow what you say in your own radical statement you must think of yourself as a bad person. That would suggest you are depressed and/or have low self-esteem. Please know that you are not alone and help is available to you if you seek it. If you ARE in fact mentally ill, embracing yourself and seeking help would seem to be the best course of action rather than such radical, fascist ideas as “erasing” you for your illness.
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UWS
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« Reply #13 on: June 23, 2019, 12:38:46 PM »


http://archives.starbulletin.com/2004/10/24/news/index2.html

http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2004/Oct/23/ln/ln05p.html

Polls in hawaii showed that the two was going to be very close. Best guess on what happened was that in both of these polls there were high single percentage of undecideds that broke for kerry. Plus being an telephone poll at the time it missed lots of Kerry voters online. Plus Hawaii being 'traditionally democratic' had a large pool of base democrats that turned out on election day and allowed Kerry to win by a comfortable but embarrassing margin of high single digits considering the political history.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/HI/P/00/epolls.0.html

Well I think HI was winnable for Bush in 2004 but of course it would have been close. As we see in the CNN exit poll, 47 % of Hawaians approved Bush's decision to go to war in Iraq and Bush had a 49 % approval rating there.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2019, 08:47:36 AM »

I wonder if Cruz, since he is latino, would campaign in PR, should it become a state in 2024, should Trump lose, Cruz will be the nominee
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: July 04, 2019, 05:05:14 PM »

Has a presidential nominee or a caucus candidate ever canvassed in Hawaii? I think even Obama visited "all 57 states" but neither Hawaii nor Alaska. LOL

Gingrich campaigned there in 2011, but it was a thinly veiled excuse to have his campaign pay for a wedding anniversary trip with his wife:

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2011/08/gingrich-heads-hawaii-place-where-he-wants-retire/354241/
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #16 on: June 06, 2020, 04:57:15 PM »

in the far far future when hawaii has 100 ec ans a swing state it will
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2020, 11:31:37 PM »

Dick Cheney campaigned in Hawaii in 2004. Dubya only lost it by 9% that year.

Aloha State Has Become a Surprise Campaign Battleground

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2004-oct-30-na-hawaii30-story.html
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2020, 09:01:54 AM »

Maybe Hawaii becomes a battleground if Tulsi runs as a Republican? lol
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Amanda Huggenkiss
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« Reply #19 on: June 09, 2020, 06:44:54 AM »

Dick Cheney campaigned in Hawaii in 2004. Dubya only lost it by 9% that year.

Aloha State Has Become a Surprise Campaign Battleground

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2004-oct-30-na-hawaii30-story.html

This really raises the question of how many "safe" states could be turned to be made competitive if the challenging party invested more in them.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #20 on: June 11, 2020, 12:22:33 AM »

This really raises the question of how many "safe" states could be turned to be made competitive if the challenging party invested more in them.

I'm thinking 4? UT, AK, NM, HI.

Possibly a few more (the ND-to-KS stack?) if the Democrats go full populist (and if they do, that probably gives Republicans a chance to grab a bit of the northeast, maybe RI or something).
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The Mikado
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« Reply #21 on: June 11, 2020, 02:01:58 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2020, 02:56:34 PM by The Mikado »

This really raises the question of how many "safe" states could be turned to be made competitive if the challenging party invested more in them.

I'm thinking 4? UT, AK, NM, HI.

Possibly a few more (the ND-to-KS stack?) if the Democrats go full populist (and if they do, that probably gives Republicans a chance to grab a bit of the northeast, maybe RI or something).

If Dems want to lose North Dakota by 20 rather than 40, they probably could do that rather easily. It's just going from that to actually winning that'd be the challenge. Most safe states are like that: if the other party put a LOT of effort in, it could cut the gap significantly, but it's not worth it because you're not going to win it anyway in the end.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: July 09, 2020, 06:24:14 AM »

It's too hot in HI in the Summer time. It's like Palm Springs, that's why they dont celebrate daylight savings time. Difference is that it rains, unlike the Desert in Summertime
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2020, 10:54:29 PM »

Hawaii isn't going republican with the modern Republican party and it's tied to white grievances. Whites are a minority in Hawaii with multi-racial households being normal, they might not be lockstep democrats but they certainly will never vote republican today.
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Figueira
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« Reply #24 on: November 09, 2020, 07:05:47 PM »

Nixon visited every state during his 1960 campaign, this is often seen as contributing to his loss since he didn't focus enough on the swing states.

How clear was it which states were swing states and which weren't? It's not like they could extrapolate from 1956.

Also Hawaii was actually a swing state that year. It voted for Kennedy by less than a point. I can see how it has few enough electors that it doesn't make much sense to bother travelling that far.
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