Campaigning in Hawaii

[UWS]

Cheney thought Hawai’i was winnable for Bush.

http://archives.starbulletin.com/2004/10/24/news/index2.html

http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2004/Oct/23/ln/ln05p.html

Polls in hawaii showed that the two was going to be very close. Best guess on what happened was that in both of these polls there were high single percentage of undecideds that broke for kerry. Plus being an telephone poll at the time it missed lots of Kerry voters online. Plus Hawaii being 'traditionally democratic' had a large pool of base democrats that turned out on election day and allowed Kerry to win by a comfortable but embarrassing margin of high single digits considering the political history.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/HI/P/00/epolls.0.html

Well I think HI was winnable for Bush in 2004 but of course it would have been close. As we see in the CNN exit poll, 47 % of Hawaians approved Bush's decision to go to war in Iraq and Bush had a 49 % approval rating there.

[UWS]

The moreover that Dubya was 4 percentage points away from winning Honolulu.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/HI/P/00/epolls.0.html

[UWS]

The moreover that Dubya's campaign raised more funds in the state of HI than John Kerry did. President George W. Bush raised $700,000 more than Senator Kerry#

https://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04

https://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04

[UWS]

It was way more important for Dubya to win Ohio than in Hawaii which brought him over the top.

[UWS]

One of the reasons why Dubya performed the best among the voters aged 60 and older in HI is because most of them lived the memory of Pearl Harbor and by connecting it with the significance of 9/11 in which America lost more people than in Pearl Harbor it helped George W. Bush to keep the race somewhat competitive in HI where a poll before Election Day showed him leading Kerry by a percentage point

[UWS]

The moreover that even if Ralph Nader wasn’t on the ballot, a poll in HI showed that Nader got 4 % of the voting intentions while he got almost 6 % of the vote there in 2000. If Nader was on the ballot and got about that performance, perhaps that would have made HI more competitive