My way to early 2020 county map prediction(assuming a Harris type wins nom.)
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Question: Should I fix the map mistakes
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Author Topic: My way to early 2020 county map prediction(assuming a Harris type wins nom.)  (Read 2011 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: October 20, 2017, 04:03:27 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2017, 12:24:05 PM by politicalmasta73 »
newer map-
http://hostthenpost.org/uploads/c27570903fa5b9d633236afad7d2bbda.png

new map-
http://hostthenpost.org/uploads/6ba5bbf80035215b4babf6451e52c9b6.png

http://hostthenpost.org/uploads/0b366c5db768e3fad1defa6fb63fcc28.png

making a map this big, I must have made a few errors, so if you could point them out thx a lot!

discuss-

P.S- EV map-
http://www.270towin.com/maps/Bw9Po
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2017, 04:18:25 PM »
I don't see any glaring errors, but maybe this map is too generous to Trump.
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60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED
ahugecat
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2017, 04:21:57 PM »
Trump will win almost all of the Wisconsin counties, and Trump will win Lackawana, Centre, Dauphin, Bucks, and Chester counties in Pennsylvania. As well as Philadelphia county (jk lol).
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2017, 04:27:05 PM »
What the deal with Alaska?
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ahugecat
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2017, 04:29:44 PM »

The blue areas are mostly sparse and populated by Native Americans. The red areas are the more populated counties.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Alaska,_2016

Although his map shows Alaska being way more blue than it will be. Trump won it by 15 in 2016 and will easily win it by 18+ in 2020.
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Kamala
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2017, 04:30:24 PM »

Alaska’s rural population is much more Democratic-leaning than its urban/suburban areas. Here’s 2012 with media colors:
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2017, 04:35:22 PM »
any guesses on the ME-02 margin?
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ahugecat
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2017, 04:46:32 PM »

Maine 1st - Trump 46, Harris 51
Maine 2nd - Trump 54, Harris 42
Maine At-Large - Trump 50, Harris 47
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2017, 04:50:03 PM »
Quote from: 60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED on October 20, 2017, 04:46:32 PM

Maine 1st - Trump 46, Harris 51
Maine 2nd - Trump 54, Harris 42
Maine At-Large - Trump 50, Harris 47

i mean based on my county map



Tongue
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ahugecat
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2017, 04:55:45 PM »
Quote from: politicalmasta73 on October 20, 2017, 04:50:03 PM
Quote from: 60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED on October 20, 2017, 04:46:32 PM

Maine 1st - Trump 46, Harris 51
Maine 2nd - Trump 54, Harris 42
Maine At-Large - Trump 50, Harris 47

i mean based on my county map



Tongue

LOL.

Trump 50, Harris 45?
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cvparty
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2017, 05:01:56 PM »
Somerset (NJ) and Bibb (GA) should be blue, also Duval probably flips before Monroe (FL)
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Canis
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2017, 05:34:33 PM »
I think Macomb county and Erie County flip
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2017, 06:18:36 PM »

Clarke and Bibb Counties (GA) will be Democrat. HRC won Clarke by 40 and Bibb by 20.

Erie County, PA will flip back.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2017, 06:35:15 PM »
A couple of Oregon counties could probably flip. Same goes for a few in Texas.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2017, 09:00:18 PM »
This is very detailed, I like your map very much. I would echo many of the above comments. This does appear to be a Democratic win based on Arizona and added counties in the upper midwest, Wisconsin definitely looks to be a democratic win here. Looks as if Pennsylvania may have flipped depending on the county margins. Not sure on Florida. I do expect a few more counties in Texas will flip blue not sure what the final statewide margin would be there but I expect it to be a bit tighter then 2016. Possibly Tarrant and Williamson. I agree on Pensylvania's' Erie and Michigan's Macomb flipping back to Democrats. I disagree with the blue avatar's comments regarding Pennsylvania and Maine, if anything counties will be flipping blue in those two states with a much larger democratic margin in Lackawanna. and tight vote in Luzerne.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2017, 09:54:37 PM »
any guesses on Iowa margin i predict for the county map?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2017, 09:55:24 PM »
I started a map, but I currently only have 12 states done
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2017, 10:02:27 PM »
ok, so here is what I got
R to D
Macomb MI
Bibb GA
Clarke GA
Erie PA
Somerset NJ
Deer Lodge MT
Coos NH
Rockingham NH
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Solid4096
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2017, 10:04:24 PM »
Quote from: politicalmasta73 on October 20, 2017, 10:02:27 PM
ok, so here is what I got
R to D
Macomb MI
Bibb GA
Clarke GA
Erie PA
Somerset NJ
Deer Lodge MT
Coos NH
Rockingham NH

I know at least Deer Lodge County MT voted for Clinton in 2016.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2017, 10:12:29 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on October 20, 2017, 10:04:24 PM
Quote from: politicalmasta73 on October 20, 2017, 10:02:27 PM
ok, so here is what I got
R to D
Macomb MI
Bibb GA
Clarke GA
Erie PA
Somerset NJ
Deer Lodge MT
Coos NH
Rockingham NH

I know at least Deer Lodge County MT voted for Clinton in 2016.

mistake. is there anything else before i post the new map?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2017, 10:14:47 PM »
Give Dem more Maine counties, and Essex County Vermont.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2017, 10:18:08 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on October 20, 2017, 10:14:47 PM
Give Dem more Maine counties, and Essex County Vermont.
only oxford harris isnt great for the NE

also, i am flipping frederick  MD
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2017, 10:28:00 PM »
new map-
http://hostthenpost.org/uploads/6ba5bbf80035215b4babf6451e52c9b6.png
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Kamala
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« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2017, 10:30:08 PM »
I think you meant to have Todd Co, SD, go for the Dems like in 2016 and not Bennett
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Solid4096
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« Reply #24 on: October 20, 2017, 10:30:21 PM »

what is with the Red stuff in Hawaii?

Also, what is with the not-Atlas colors.
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