When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic?
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  When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic?
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Author Topic: When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic?  (Read 1611 times)
15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« on: October 20, 2017, 06:36:40 PM »

Since Atlas thinks that every wealthy suburban county that had any level of a trend towards Hillary in 2016 will eventually be Titanium D.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2017, 07:32:24 PM »

No.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2017, 07:38:44 PM »

The next time a Democratic presidential candidate wins Tennessee.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2017, 11:22:52 PM »

I don't think it's going to just naturally happen demographically like Fairfax or Wake or Gwinnett.  That having been said, 2016 showed that it is probably not impossible.  It was nowhere close to the most R county in the state as it used to be.  How it could potentially happen:

1. Tim McGraw (D)
2. Future Republican administration makes protectionism it's #1 issue and then the economy crashes 
3. 57/40 national PV landslide reelection of a libertarian-inclined Dem   
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2017, 04:20:41 PM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2017, 09:37:21 AM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2017, 09:53:05 AM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2017, 11:53:15 AM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.

Just my personal opinion.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2017, 12:05:13 PM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.

Just my personal opinion.

Yeah, but why?  lol
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2017, 11:41:16 PM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.

Just my personal opinion.

Yeah, but why?  lol

The nation is moving leftward rapidly, and rich suburban counties like Williamson will be the first GOP counties to fall. Dying boomers, rise of the Millennials and Gen Z, secularization and rising education levels, plus a lot of moderate republicans fleeing the Trump GOP are going to hurt the GOP badly.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2017, 12:47:20 PM »

2024,  it'll flip to Dems and never go back for the foreseeable future.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2017, 01:48:37 PM »

2024,  it'll flip to Dems and never go back for the foreseeable future.

Incredibly skeptical of this idea that rich White people will become solid Democratic voters.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2017, 03:02:00 PM »

2024,  it'll flip to Dems and never go back for the foreseeable future.

Unless the Democratic nominee is winning statewide, they're not winning Williamson County.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2017, 03:25:44 PM »

2024,  it'll flip to Dems and never go back for the foreseeable future.

Incredibly skeptical of this idea that rich White people will become solid Democratic voters.
I'm skeptical too rich white people can be wishy washy when deciding who to vote for. Still I don't think Republican can keep both rich and working class white voters at the same time just to much difference between the two groups. The GOP will shed some wealthy white voters but I don't expect them to lose Williamson anytime soon but Forsyth county GA is up for debate.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2017, 05:17:49 PM »

Yeah, I'm not saying currently suburban Republican counties will remain that way forever (unless and until the GOP starts doing better with more affluent minorities and younger voters, that is), not at all ... but the reason MOST of these counties switch is because of a very significant demographic change coupled with a really rather modest "shift" of a few college educated Whites to not voting Republican anymore.  For example, I think Lake County, IL still votes for Trump with its 2000 demographics ... the Whites who stopped voting Republican aren't the reason usually, they just pad the margins.  I don't see Williamson County changing enough demographically to start voting Democratic, and I also don't see Democrats winning wealthy Whites anytime soon, especially as millennials gain more power in the party.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2017, 06:30:08 PM »

It might eventually but not for at least a few elections.
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TML
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2017, 10:53:32 PM »

I think one of the prerequisites for this to happen would be for the Democrats to nominate a southerner (Johnson and Carter were the last two Democrats to win this county).
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2017, 09:45:08 PM »

It will take a realignment decades in the future. Well-off whites in the South are not voting Democrat at this point.
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #18 on: November 22, 2017, 11:47:51 PM »

When the whites fall below 60% of county's population or democrats have an incredible landslide behind a pro-life candidate.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #19 on: November 27, 2017, 06:29:53 PM »

Not in a long time and I could care less. Not like they are going to support the economic ideas I want the democrats to adopt(like single payer, free college, etc.). I think Knox county is more realistic for dems if your talking about Tennessee.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #20 on: November 27, 2017, 09:49:35 PM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.

Just my personal opinion.

Yeah, but why?  lol

The nation is moving leftward rapidly, and rich suburban counties like Williamson will be the first GOP counties to fall. Dying boomers, rise of the Millennials and Gen Z, secularization and rising education levels, plus a lot of moderate republicans fleeing the Trump GOP are going to hurt the GOP badly.
in your dreams!
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #21 on: November 27, 2017, 09:51:23 PM »

it will go democratic if there is a political polar shift and the Democrats are on the right and republicans on the left.  there is no indication thus will ever happen, but it could.
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