Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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Posts: 18,893
Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91
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« on: October 22, 2017, 02:48:32 PM » |
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« edited: October 22, 2017, 02:52:56 PM by Virginia »
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Just a quick comment on 2008 - it might not be the best year to start a baseline of generation Y (Millennials) voting habits. Obama won a 7 point victory, and many of those voters were never going to become reliable Democrats, just like how in 2006, people ages 45+ were never going to keep voting majority Democratic. It was a backlash.
As for ER, I think he's being a bit too eager to jump to conclusions, which is only possible if he's willing to ignore past results. Putting aside the voting habits of seniors under Clinton and other past presidents, in 2016, those ages 30-39 voted only marginally more Republican than they did when they were in the 18 - 29 group in 2008. In fact, if you factor in what was definitely a "backlash bonus" for Obama, there has been little shift to the GOP. The real damage was them going 3rd party instead of going for Clinton, which was a notable issue among 18-29 year olds as well.
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